Campaign Recap May 19, 2012: Mitt Romney: GOP/ Republican Presidential Candidate — This Week On The Campaign Trail

CAMPAIGN 2012

CAMPAIGN BUZZ 2012

This Week On The Campaign Trail

Source: Mitt Romney Digital, 5-19-12
romney-2012-blog-picture-florida-rally-lt-gov-carroll.jpg

After celebrating Mother’s Day with Ann, Mitt hit the campaign trail focusing on his message of more jobs and less government. With President Obama’s policies only leading to bigger government and out-of-control-spending, more Americans want to see him as a one-term president.

Mitt has the private sector experience needed to help turn the American economy back to prosperity. On November 6th Americans will be given a choice between a president with a record of failed leadership or a businessman who is ready to lead.

Catch up on the latest from the campaign trail in this week’s edition of Mitt Weekly….MORE

Campaign Recap September 26, 2011: Herman Cain & Mitt Romney Beat Rick Perry in Florida & Michigan Straw Polls — GOP Candidates Debate in the Fox News / Google GOP Republican Presidential Debate

CAMPAIGN 2012

By Bonnie K. Goodman

Ms. Goodman is the Editor of History Musings. She has a BA in History & Art History & a Masters in Library and Information Studies from McGill University, and has done graduate work in history at Concordia University. Ms. Goodman has also contributed the overviews, and chronologies in History of American Presidential Elections, 1789-2008, 4th edition, edited by Gil Troy, Fred L. Israel, and Arthur Meier Schlesinger to be published by Facts on File, Inc. in late 2011.

CAMPAIGN BUZZ 2012

Chip Litherland for The New York Times

STATS & POLLS

Republican Presidential Candidates: Primaries 2012 — NYT

Democratic Nominee 2012: President Barack Obama’s Official Reelection Campaign Website — BarackObama.com

Republican National Committee

Democratic National Committee

  • Gallup Poll: Election 2012 — Track GOP Contender’s Images Week by Week — Generic Ballot Gallup
  • Gallup: Presidential Job Approval Gallup
  • Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval: Each result is based on a three-day rolling average Gallup
  • Poll Watch: Polls and Related Articles From The New York Times NYT
  • Perry present favorite among Florida Republicans: A poll released early Thursday indicates Florida Republicans slightly prefer Perry over Romney in their party’s battle to find a nominee to face President Barack Obama next year. Perry was favored by 28 percent of the 374 registered Republican voters…. – AP, 9-22-11
  • Romney dominates NH poll, well ahead of Perry: Mitt Romney may be tightening his grip on New Hampshire voters, despite tremendous buzz surrounding Texas Gov. Rick Perry in the nation’s first presidential primary state and elsewhere.
    The former Massachusetts governor now leads his nearest rival, Texas Rep. Ron Paul, by 27 points among likely New Hampshire voters, according to a Suffolk University-7News poll released Wednesday night. Perry finished far back, earning 8 percent compared with Romney’s 41 percent. Paul took 14 percent and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman received 10 percent to round out the top four finishers…. – AP, 9-21-11
  • Is Michele Bachmann’s campaign cratering?: A new poll shows Michele Bachmann falling back in the Republican field – and that her problems extend beyond front-runner Rick Perry siphoning off her supporters…. – CS Monitor, 9-20-11
  • Poll: Perry, Romney far ahead of field as SC looms: The Winthrop Poll shows Perry as the first choice among 30 percent of Republican voters; Romney is close behind at 27 percent. That’s within the 4 percentage-point margin of sampling error for the 596 GOP or Republican-leaning voters called between Sept. 11 and Sept. 18.
    Businessman Herman Cain had 7 percent, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin 6 percent and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich 5 percent.
    Reps. Michelle Bachmann and Ron Paul, both tea party favorites, were at 4 percent…. AP, 9-20-11

POLLS: MITT ROMNEY WINS MICHIGAN STRAW POLL OVER RICK PERRY

Romney Wins Michigan Straw Poll: Mr. Romney won 51 percent of the vote in the straw poll, far surpassing Gov. Rick Perry of Texas, who finished second with 17 percent. Herman Cain, the former chief executive of Godfather’s Pizza, was third…. – NYT, 9-25-11

  • Romney bests Perry in Michigan straw poll: Michigan native Mitt Romney rolled over Texas Gov. Rick Perry and the rest of his Republican presidential rivals in a Michigan straw poll on Sunday, reinforcing a favorite son status that could make it tough for anyone else to win the state’s GOP primary.
    It was the second day of bad news for Perry, who lost to businessman Herman Cain in a Florida straw poll Saturday before heading to the Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference in Michigan.
    Perry’s second-place finish in Florida came just days after he faltered in a debate in Orlando, Fla. Romney came in third there, although he isn’t officially competing in straw polls.
    More than 1,600 elected officials and party regulars attended Michigan’s three-day conference, and state Republican Chairman Bobby Schostak said it’s no surprise that the former Massachusetts governor did so well in Sunday’s poll…. – CBS News, 9-25-11
  • On Home Turf, Romney Prevails in Straw Poll: Mitt Romney didn’t disappoint on his home turf this weekend, receiving 51 percent of the votes at the Michigan Straw Poll, a wide victory over Texas Gov. Rick Perry who garnered just 17 percent. Third place in the straw poll went to Herman Cain…. – ABC News, 9-25-11
  • Mitt Romney wins Michigan straw poll, Rick Perry a distant second: Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney says he isn’t competing in any straw polls — not even the one this weekend on the island where he spent summers as a boy, where pictures of his father adorn the Grand Hotel and where George Romney’s legacy as a popular governor hung over the proceedings.
    To say Romney was the heavy favorite at the biennial Mackinac Republican Leadership Conference would be an understatement. And he did not disappoint, winning the straw poll with 51 percent of the 681 votes cast. His top rival for the nomination, Texas Gov. Rick Perry, finished second with 17 percent.
    For Romney, the victory was especially sweet considering that Perry flew here — a remote island on Lake Huron, accessible only by ferry and where visitors ride bicycles or horse-drawn carriages because automobiles are banned — to deliver a luncheon speech Saturday to conference attendees. Romney was here, too, and gave his speech during Saturday night’s dinner program.
    Former Godfather’s Pizza chief executive Herman Cain, who won the Florida straw poll Saturday, finished third in Michigan with 9 percent, according to the results announced Sunday morning. He was followed by Rep. Ron Paul (R-Tex.) with 8 percent; Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.), 4 percent; former House speaker Newt Gingrich, 4 percent; former senator Rick Santorum, 3 percent; and former Utah governor Jon Huntsman Jr., 2 percent.
    The straw poll, organized and sponsored by National Journal Hotline and the National Association of Home Builders, surveyed the party leaders, donors and activists who attended this weekend’s conference.
    The poll also surveyed voters’ favorites to be the GOP vice presidential nominee. Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) easily won, with 23 percent of the 481 votes cast in that category. Cain finished second with 14 percent, followed by Gingrich with 13 percent and Bachmann with 12 percent…. – WaPo, 9-25-11

PRESIDENCY 5: HERMAN CAIN WINS FLORIDA STRAW POLL OVER RICK PERRY

Herman Cain Wins Florida Straw Poll: Herman Cain, the former chief executive of Godfather’s Pizza, won the Florida straw poll today, defeating second-place Rick Perry…. – NYT, 9-24-121

FLORIDA STRAW POLL RESULTS:
In a stunning upset Saturday, Herman Cain won Florida’s Presidency 5 straw poll, a vote of 2,657 Republican activists that in past years has predicted the party nominee. Here are the results:

Herman Cain: 37 percent
Rick Perry: 15 percent
Mitt Romney: 14 percent
Rick Santorum: 10.9 percent
Ron Paul: 10.4 percent
Newt Gingrich: 8 percent
Jon Huntsman: 2.3 percent
Michelle Bachmann: 1.5 percent

“Folks, this is what you call momentum. The Herman Cain train is picking up steam.” — Herman Cain, the former CEO of Godfather’s Pizza

“Floridians and voters nationally want a candidate who is clear on the issues and talks honestly about the future. Not someone who takes multiple sides of an issue and changes views every election season. Today’s vote demonstrates that Floridians are energized and ready to help get America working again.” — Rick Perry

“Cain won, we still have work to do. It’s his day. The conservative message won today. We’ve been in this race for five weeks. We’re going to continue campaigning hard….
It’s more of what happened to Mitt Romney. He’s not going to be crowned president of the United States. He’s going to have to work for it. And after five and a half years he once again got rejected in a key state in the Republican primary process.” — Rick Perry spokesman Mark Miner

  • Cain upsets Perry in Florida Republican straw poll: Former pizza executive Herman Cain surprised rival Rick Perry with an upset victory on Saturday in a nonbinding Republican presidential straw poll in Florida, dealing a disappointing loss to the Texas governor two days after a shaky debate performance.
    Perry, leading in the polls for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012, had needed a victory in the key test of strength in a crucial state to salve the wounds left over from a debate with his rivals on Thursday in which he struggled.
    Instead, former Godfather’s Pizza executive Cain, who is far behind the two top-tier candidates Perry and Mitt Romney, won with 37 percent of 2,657 votes cast.
    Perry was a distant second at 15 percent, just ahead of Romney, who won 14 percent despite not participating in the poll. Further back were Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman and Michele Bachmann.
    Florida’s straw poll is a nonbinding popularity poll and is significant only in terms of showing a candidate’s strength in the state. The state contests to determine the Republican nominee do not start until early next year.
    The Perry camp shrugged off the results…. – Reuters, 9-24-11
  • Cain’s Moment in the Sunshine State: The former chief executive of Godfather’s Pizza has hit his rhetorical stride in the Republican contest, whipping up crowds of true-believers everywhere he goes. And he was rewarded on Saturday with a decisive win in the straw poll…. – NYT, 9-25-11
  • Herman Cain upsets Rick Perry in Florida straw poll: Rick Perry in a straw ballot of Florida Republican activists Saturday. The vote has no bearing on the choice of a 2012 nominee but, along with recent campaign events, is likely to increase the chances that the Republican presidential contest will … – LAT, 9-24-11
  • Cain wins Florida straw poll, finishing far ahead of Perry: Businessman Herman Cain won the Florida GOP presidential straw poll in a major surprise on Saturday, finishing well ahead of Texas Gov. Rick Perry…. – WaPo, 9-24-11
  • Perry on Straw Poll: “I have all my hopes on Florida”: In an effort to regain momentum after Thursday’s debate performance that left many Republicans here disappointed, GOP front-runner Governor Rick Perry lashed out at his rivals who have decided to skip Florida’s P5 presidential straw poll– a forum which has now become a significant test for Perry’s campaign for the White House.
    “There are a number of candidates who have spurned Florida’s straw poll and I think that’s a big mistake,” Perry said to a group of several hundred GOP delegates who had gathered to hear him speak at an Orlando breakfast event.
    “I have all my hopes on Florida,” Perry added.
    The poll is voted on by a convention of over 3,500 GOP delegates from across the battleground state…. – Fox News, 9-24-11
  • Herman Cain wins Florida straw poll in stunning victory; Perry in deep trouble: From the bottom of the polls to the top of the pack, businessman Herman Cain won the Republican Party of Florida’s nationally watched presidential straw poll Saturday in a sign that frontrunner Rick Perry is in deep trouble.
    Cain’s victory with 37 percent of the vote was a major defeat for Perry, the frontrunner in Florida and national polls, who garnered only 15 percent after wooing the nearly 3,000 party faithful with a free breakfast and mailers.
    The vote also showed how soft Republican support is for Mitt Romney, who came in third with 14 percent. Unlike Perry, though, he avoided schmoozing the GOP voters, called delegates. Miami Herald, 9-24-11
  • Can Herman Cain keep up the momentum after his Florida straw poll win?: Herman Cain is basking in the Sunday glow of his surprise win Saturday in the Florida straw poll. But he lags in national polls, and his Florida win may draw sharper scrutiny of his positions…. – CS Monitor, 9-25-11

POLITICAL QUOTES & SPEECHES

Mitt Romney: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts mittromney.com

Rick Perry: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts rickperry.org

Ron Paul: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ronpaul2012.com

Herman Cain: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts hermancain.com

Michele Bachmann: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts michelebachmann.com

Newt Gingrich: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts newt.org

Jon Huntsman: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts jon2012.com

Rick Santorum: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ricksantorum.com

  • Fox News-Google Republican Presidential Debate: The following is a transcript of the Republican presidential debate in Orlando, Fla…. – NYT, 9-23-11

IN FOCUS: FOX NEWS / GOOGLE GOP REPUBLICAN DEBATE IN ORLANDO, FLORIDA

GOP DEBATE EXCERPTS — QUOTES

Full Text Campaign Buzz September 22, 2011: Fox News / Google GOP Republican Presidential Debate — Rick Perry Under Attack Goes on the Offensive — Especially Against Chief Rival Mitt Romney — Social Security, Healthcare Main Issues Fox News, 9-22-11

Small business: Gov. Rick Perry: “What we’ve done in Texas over the course of the last decade is to lower that tax burden on small-business men and women, have a regulatory climate that is fair and predictable and a sweeping tort reform system that we passed in 2003. … That’s the way you get the government off the back of small businesses, and that’s the way you free up those small-business entrepreneurs when they know they can risk their capital and have a chance to get a return on their investments.
“If it will work in the state of Texas, it will work in Washington, D.C. And that’s exactly what I’m going to bring when I go there in November, excuse me, in January of 2013.”

States’ rights: Rep. Ron Paul: “The responsibility of the president would be to veto every single bill that violates the 10th Amendment. That would be the solution.
“Government is too big in Washington, D.C. It has run away, we have no controls on spending, taxes, regulations. … If we want government, whether it’s medical care or whatever, it’s proper to do it at the local level.”

Perry vs. Bush: Perry disputed any notion of a rift between him and former President George W. Bush. Perry said they have “a great rapport” and talk “on a relatively regular basis.”
“I highly respect the president and his public service,” Perry said.

Education: Paul: “If you care about your children, you will get the federal government out of the business of educating our kids,” he said.

HEADLINES FROM THE DEBATE….

    • Live Blogging the G.O.P. Debate in Orlando: Nine candidates will take the debate stage tonight in Orlando, Fla., in what is likely to feature the continuing slugfest between Mitt Romney and Rick Perry…. – NYUT, 9-22-11
    • Fact Checking the G.O.P. Debate in Orlando: Examining statements on Social Security, education, foreign policy and more…. – NYT, 9-23-11

Romney, Perry go after each other in GOP debate: Side by side in confrontational debate, Republican presidential hopefuls Mitt Romney and Rick Perry sarcastically accused each other Thursday night of flip-flopping on Social Security and health care, flashpoints in their intense struggle for the party nomination.
In a debate that focused on character and credibility as much as other issues, Perry insisted he had backed off “not one inch, Sir” from what he had written in a campaign-season book published a few months ago.
Romney vouched for his own steadfastness moments later. “There are a lot of reasons not to elect me,” he said. “There are a lot of reasons not to elect other people on this stage. … But one reason to elect me is I know what I stand for. I’ve written it down. Words have meaning.”
The two men assailed one another in the third debate in as many weeks in a race for the Republican presidential nomination growing testier by the day. AP, 9-22-11

  • Under Attack, Perry Hits Back at Rivals in GOP Debate: Texas Gov. Rick Perry, the GOP presidential front-runner, fended off fierce attacks during Thursday night’s debate from his rivals over his criticism of Social Security and his record on immigration…. – Fox News, 9-22-11
  • GOP presidential debate: Who won the wrangle in Orlando?: The critics were brutal about Rick Perry’s performance. But voters react to the images that candidates project in a presidential debate over time, as snippets are worked into news reports and political ads…. – CS Monitor, 9-23-11
  • GOP debate: Winners and losers: The six Republican presidential debate this year, which took place Thursday night in Orlando, Florida, left some candidates more prepared than others and gave some candidates some key standout moments. Here’s our breakdown of the winners and losers: … Winners: Mitt Romney — Rick Santorum — Herman Cain…
    Losers: Rick Perry, Michele Bachmann, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, YouTube Questions…. – CBS News, 9-22-11
  • Perry and Romney Come Out Swinging at Each Other in G.O.P. Debate: In their third debate in as many weeks, former Gov. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts and Gov. Rick Perry of Texas engaged in a sometimes heated back and forth over immigration, health care and entitlements, their rivalry dominating a stage that included seven other candidates struggling to catch up in the race for the Republican presidential nomination.
    Mr. Romney and Mr. Perry arrived here with a strategic imperative to challenge the other’s consistency and conservative credentials. The tensions only grew as the night wore on, to the point where Jon M. Huntsman Jr., the former governor of Utah, joked that Mr. Romney and Mr. Perry were at risk of bludgeoning each other to death.
    Still, after two hours of dueling it was unclear whether Mr. Perry had achieved his goal of knocking Mr. Romney off his fairly unruffled stride. It was similarly not certain that Mr. Romney had made headway in knocking Mr. Perry down a few pegs in what has been a relatively strong opening to his young campaign…. – NYT, 9-22-11
  • GOP debate: Rick Perry vs. Mitt Romney, plus Gary Johnson and some dogs: If you believe pollster Frank Luntz’s focus group in the post-game analysis on Fox News, Mitt Romney did himself a lot of good in Thursday’s two-hour Fox News/Google GOP Debate, held in Orlando, Fla. Nine candidates faced questions from FNC anchors … – LAT, 9-22-11
  • The GOP debate: 6 takeaways: It’s official — the frontrunners aren’t a mutual fan club. With three debates in the books featuring Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, the animosity between the Texas governor and the former Massachusetts governor is palpable.
    Here are POLITICO’s six takeaways from Thursday’s slugfest in Orlando…. – Politico, 9-22-11
  • Republican Presidential Hopefuls Debate Health Care,Retirement: The top two contenders for the 2012 Republican Party presidential nomination fended off accusations of changing their positions on everything from health care to Social Security during a nationally televised debate Thursday in Florida. … – Voice of America, 9-23-11
  • Orlando GOP debate: A strong night for Santorum as Perry fades: When the Republican presidential contenders debated in Orlando tonight, it was really two debates. In the first third of the evening, a series of disjointed questions without follow-ups, Texas Gov. Rick Perry seemed strong and well-prepared. But he faded over the rest of the debate, appearing to lose his steam just as he was trying to paint Mitt Romney as a flip-flopper.
    The big winner of the night, however, was Rick Santorum…. – WaPo, 9-22-11
  • Thursday’s ‘high-stakes’ GOP debate: 4 key questions: The Republican presidential hopefuls are preparing to clash in yet another debate. What can we expect?
    The Republican presidential candidates repeatedly bashed each other’s records this week, ahead of Thursday night’s debate in Florida, a crucial swing state. Indeed, there will be “high stakes” for frontrunners Rick Perry and Mitt Romney — and for rivals struggling to keep their hopes alive — as the showdown in Orlando sets the table for a Saturday straw poll that leading Sunshine State Republicans say will predict the party’s 2012 nominee. What should viewers watch for when the candidates square off on stage Thursday? Here, four key questions:

    1. Can Romney take down Perry over Social Security?
    2. Which Rick Perry will take the stage?
    3. Can Gary Johnson make a difference?
    4. Will second-tier candidates break through?

    The Week, 9-22-11

THE HEADLINES: WEEKLY RECAP

    • Lady Gaga shows at Obama fundraiser: Pop singer Lady Gaga was among the guests at a Silicon Valley fundraiser for President Barack Obama. The intimate gathering was held under a tent in the yard of Facebook chief operating officer Sheryl Sandberg on Sunday night…. – AP, 9-25-11
    • Obama takes shots at Perry, GOP debates: President Barack Obama is swiping at Texas Gov. Rick Perry, criticizing him as “a governor whose state is on fire, denying climate change.”… – AP, 9-25-11
    • NYC’s Bloomberg says Obama could be re-elected: New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg says he thinks President Barack Obama could win re-election next year in spite of the country’s high unemployment rate. Bloomberg cites the power of incumbency as one of Obama’s advantage. … – AP, 9-25-11
    • Obama adviser: GOP will target middle class: A top White House adviser is laying out the theme of President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign, saying the Republicans running for president would “take dead aim” at middle class Americans. Obama’s 2008 campaign manager…. – AP, 9-25-11
    • Romney using wife’s story to connect with voters: …Ann Romney, his wife of 42 years, stood with him, spatula in hand, wearing the same white apron and the comfortable smile of a woman who spent countless mornings flipping flapjacks for five hungry sons.
      Her presence on that day, like so many others during the long campaign, is an acknowledged blessing for a 2012 White House contender who struggles to shake a robotic image. Friends and foes alike say she makes him seem more genuine…. – AP, 9-25-11

“I see anybody that gets in the race that believes in America and is a small government but efficient government individual, I would welcome into the race. It just strengthens the point that the Republican Party’s all about getting our country working again. Whoever that is. And I’m also a big believer in these governors being freed up to be able to compete against each other. Chris Christie is a great competitor — and I’ll be up there, you know, in Jersey, looking for some businesses to move to Texas.” — Gov. Rick Perry

  • Perry works to show he’s strongest GOP contender: Texas Gov. Rick Perry worked to convince Florida Republicans Saturday that he is the strongest contender for the GOP nomination despite a shaky debate performance earlier this week that has sparked jitters about his bid…. – AP, 9-25-11
  • Perry, Romney look beyond early-voting states: Mitt Romney and Rick Perry are the only two Republican presidential candidates who can afford to spend their time and money in states that aren’t first on the primary calendar.
    That helps explain their appearances Saturday in Michigan, where GOP voters will have their say in 2012, but only after Iowa, New Hampshire and several other states that second-tier contenders must win to survive…. – AP, 9-24-11
  • Obama’s likability is keeping him afloat: This is a factor any Republican challenger must consider: Public opinion polls routinely show that Americans like the president personally even though they don’t agree with his policies, even if hurt by them.
    People who have lost their jobs or homes during Obama’s presidency nonetheless say they want him to succeed and, what’s more, they’re working to help re-elect him because of the affinity they feel for him…. – AP, 9-24-11
  • As Perry sags, Christie in spotlight: With the party’s frontrunner sagging, Chris Christie is reconsidering pleas from Republican elites and donors to run for president in 2012. Two Republican sources told POLITICO, says the governor will make a decision in roughly a week…. – Politico, 9-24-11
  • Can Rick Perry make a comeback?: Rick Perry’s debate performance this week was universally panned, even by conservatives. Now, he’s pushing his “authenticity” versus the “slickness” of his main Republican rival Mitt Romney…. – CS Monitor, 9-24-11
  • Tampering With the Electoral College: Pennsylvania Republicans propose changing the state’s voting system for partisan advantage…. – NYT, 9-24-11
  • Small Donors Are Slow to Return to the Obama Fold: The frustration and disillusionment that have dragged down President Obama’s approval ratings have crept into the ranks of his vaunted small-donor army…. – NYT, 9-24-11
  • Texas May Be Solid Red at the Ballot Box, but Big Money Makes It Bipartisan: Red state or blue doesn’t really matter when it comes to where politicians go to raise money, and Texas, a major supplier of campaign cash, is proof of that. NYT, 9-24-11
  • Perry and Romney Set Clear Lines of Attack: The animosity between Gov. Rick Perry and Mitt Romney has deepened as they compete for contributors and endorsements…. – NYT, 9-24-11
  • Perry on shaky ground? Doubts among some in GOP: The findings underscore Romney’s effort to present himself as an economic conservative capable of drawing independent voters in a head-to-head campaign with Obama. Regardless of the polling, some voters in Florida are grimacing. … – AP, 9-24-11
  • Democrats working to undercut Perry, Romney: To hear Democrats tell it, Gov. Rick Perry’s economic record in Texas is nothing more than a mirage and his views on Social Security make him “America’s Most Dangerous Cowboy.” In Massachusetts, President Barack Obama’s allies say job creation lagged under Mitt Romney, whose policies would undermine the middle class.
    Republicans won’t pick a candidate to challenge Obama for months but Democrats already are working to poke holes in the two who, according to polls, are mostly likely to win the GOP nomination…. – AP, 9-23-11
  • Tea Party Group to Form Super PAC: Unlike similar organizations, the FreedomWorks Super PAC plans to raise $20 million from small donors to spend in Republican primaries…. – NYT, 9-23-11
  • Romney Leads Endorsement Race: Endorsements can be a good predictor of electoral success, something that bodes well for Mitt Romney…. – NYT, 9-23-11
  • GOP presidential debate: Who won the wrangle in Orlando?: The critics were brutal about Rick Perry’s performance. But voters react to the images that candidates project in a presidential debate over time, as snippets are worked into news reports and political ads…. – CS Monitor, 9-23-11
  • Caucus Video: Five Key Moments from the Debate: Reporters look at the debate’s importance going forward in the Republican race…. – The Caucus, 9-23-11
  • Rick Perry’s Stance on Immigration May Hurt His Chances: For Gov. Rick Perry of Texas, the issue of immigration could be treacherous in early-nominating states that have few Hispanics…. – NYT, 9-23-11
  • Obama’s Los Angeles campaign office smashed up: Police said Friday they are investigating what appears to be a politically motivated attack on a campaign office for President Barack Obama in Los Angeles, only days before he’s scheduled to arrive in Southern California. … – AP, 9-23-11
  • Only Palms Are Swaying: Outside supermarkets and restaurants, inside bookstores and candy shops, Jewish voters in this affluent yet diverse Jewish community in north Miami said they planned to mostly stay the course…. – NYT, 9-23-11
  • Fears Gnaw at Liberalism: Local Jewish leaders say most of the more than 200,000 Jews who live in greater Philadelphia remain Democrats and are almost sure to support Mr. Obama in 2012…. – NYT, 9-23-11
  • An Enthusiasm Cools Down: At a small gathering Thursday morning in a rabbi’s office to chat about the president, those in attendance said they would vote for Mr. Obama again, regardless of their disappointment…. – NYT, 9-23-11
  • Romney, Bachmann challenge Perry on immigration: Keeping the heat on Rick Perry, rivals Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann on Friday challenged his suggestion that people are heartless if they don’t support his Texas law that gives some illegal immigrants in-state tuition rates at universities.
    “If you’re opposed to illegal immigration, it doesn’t mean that you don’t have a heart,” Romney told a gathering of conservatives in Florida, which has a sizable immigrant population. “It means that you have a heart and a brain.”
    In her speech, Bachmann said: “We will not have taxpayer-subsidized benefits for illegal immigrants or their children.” She pledged to build a fence along the U.S.-Mexican border, a move that Perry opposes…. – AP, 9-23-11
  • Web verdict on Perry: Brutal: There was no election-ending gaffe or singularly disqualifying remark. But his second consecutive weak outing set off alarm bells on the right, where too many cringeworthy moments raised questions about Perry’s durability, his seriousness and ability to compete on a stage with Barack Obama…. – Politico, 9-23-11
  • Texas toast? Perry worries GOP: The first line of Rick Perry’s campaign obituary may have been drafted Thursday night: He got in too late…. – Politico, 9-23-11
  • The GOP debate: 6 takeaways: With three debates in the books featuring Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, the animosity between the Texas governor and the former Massachusetts governor is palpable…. – Politico, 9-23-11
  • GOP debate shows Michele Bachmann’s star continues to fizzle: Bachmann barely merited a mention in the post-debate analysis, from a post-debate focus group on Fox News to the ever-roiling debate-about-the-debate on Twitter. At one point mid-debate, conservative pundit Michelle Malkin tweeted, “Is Michele Bachmann still there?”… – Politico, 9-23-11
  • Analysis: Perry, Romney defend records in forum: The candidate who best figures out how to appeal to that audience without abandoning his own record is likely to win the nomination to challenge President Barack Obama in 2012. As governors of Texas and Massachusetts, respectively, Perry and Romney … – AP, 9-23-11
  • Romney, Perry spar on Social Security at Florida GOP debate: Under fire from Rick Santorum and Michele Bachmann on the same issue, Perry said he didn’t believe in punishing children who entered the country illegally through no fault of their own….
    Rick Perry and Mitt Romney traded charges of flip-flopping and political opportunism at the GOP debate in Orlando on Thursday night, with both men again turning to each others’ books for harsh, personal criticism…. – Politico, 9-22-11
  • FACT CHECK: Slippery assertions in GOP debate: Mitt Romney denied supporting an Obama administration education program that he had praised. But the most consequential exchange may have been over Social Security, and Perry’s changing thoughts about it…. – AP, 9-23-11
  • GOP candidates parry over Afghanistan withdrawal: Two Republican presidential hopefuls are divided over President Barack Obama’s plan to bring home troops from Afghanistan. Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman says “this country has given its all” and the US is ready to bring home troops…. – AP, 9-22-11
  • Romney says US-Israel policy must be in step: Romney and other GOP candidates on Thursday criticized President Barack Obama’s administration and posture toward Israel. He says that Obama has disrespected its closest friend in the Middle East and has been unclear in its broader policy in the region…. – AP, 9-22-11
  • Romney says he wants all Americans to be rich: The Republican presidential contender said during a debate on Thursday that he wants all Americans to have the same opportunities to build wealth while President Barack Obama’s Democratic Party wants to raise taxes on wealthy workers…. – AP, 9-22-11
  • Candidates in Debate Trip Over Foreign Policy: The candidates gave some head-scratching remarks when quizzed about foreign policy and other topics on Thursday…. – NYT, 9-22-11
  • Republican Presidential Candidates Debate: With Gov. Rick Perry of Texas and Mitt Romney well out in front, the other candidates sought to break through in the Republicans’ third presidential debate in 15 days…. – NYT, 9-22-11
  • 5 things to watch in Thursday debate: Which Rick Perry will show up? And does Romney pin Perry down on Social Security and illegal immigration?… – Politico, 9-22-11
  • Perry Calls Prayer Vital to His Life: Rick Perry tells religious conservatives that he has “been driven to my knees on many occasions.”… – NYT, 9-22-11
  • McCotter Ends Long-Shot Presidential Bid: Representative Thad McCotter ends his presidential campaign as he faces a primary challenge for his House seat in Michigan…. – NYT, 9-22-11
  • Thaddeus McCotter drops 2012 bid for president, endorses Mitt Romney: Several candidates had already begun to make moves to run for McCotter’s seat in a redrawn Michigan district, making clear that they were not waiting to give deference to him. McCotter’s announcement, first reported by the Detroit News, comes days before state senator Mike Kowall’s campaign kickoff this weekend at the biennial Republican Leadership Conference on Mackinac Island.
    The Michigan lawmaker, whose presidential campaign was a longshot, “will likely run again” for his seat…. – Politico, 9-22-11
  • Is Rick Perry winning the ‘Donald Trump primary’?: Rick Perry met with Donald Trump last week. Mitt Romney is set to meet with him next week. Michele Bachmann met him in July. Why are all the Republican presidential candidates lining up?… – CS Monitor, 9-21-11
  • Perry rivals work to undercut his character: United on the economic issues that most worry voters, the Republican presidential candidates have turned to subjects like vaccines, immigration and the future of Social Security. And while there are some policy differences, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann and others are raising those topics partly to make character arguments against GOP front-runner Rick Perry…. – AP, 9-21-11
  • RNC surpasses DNC in August fundraising: The Republican National Committee raised about $8.2 million in August, far outpacing its Democratic rival in a typically slow fundraising month.
    The Democratic National Committee reported that it raised $5.4 million last month, including $1.4 million for the Obama Victory Fund, a joint fundraising account by the DNC and Obama’s campaign…. – AP, 9-21-11
  • FACT CHECK: GOP candidates overreach on Israel: The Palestinian bid to win UN recognition is focusing attention on the Obama administration’s Mideast policy, which Republican presidential candidates say is all wrong. Presenting themselves as stronger advocates for Israel…. – AP, 9-21-11
  • Perry Opens Record of Financial Investments: The Texas governor, now a Republican candidate for president, revoked his blind trust and must report his holdings to the Federal Election Commission…. – AP, 9-20-11
  • Dodd-Frank Act Is a Target on G.O.P. Campaign Trail: The Dodd-Frank Act, the sprawling law to address the causes of the financial crisis, is a job killer that should be repealed, Republican presidential candidates say…. – NYT, 9-20-11
  • Stuart Stevens, Redefining Romney’s Presidential Run: A laid-back yet competitive strategist has given the Romney campaign a very different feel this time around…. – NYT, 9-20-11
  • Obama says ‘better ideas’ will win him re-election: President Barack Obama says he intends to win the 2012 election because he’s got “better ideas.” Speaking at a fundraiser Tuesday night for his re-election campaign, Obama said his ideas are based on the notion that Americans should … – AP, 9-20-11
  • Republican candidates assail Obama over Israel: Republican presidential candidates slammed President Barack Obama’s Middle East policies Tuesday while emphatically declaring their own support for Israel as the United Nations considered a bid for Palestinian statehood. … – AP, 9-20-11
  • Obama warns of ‘perilous path’ for US: President Barack Obama warned Monday that the United States is headed down a “perilous path” if its leaders cannot move quickly and responsibly to help people get back to work. Obama, speaking at an exclusive Park Avenue fundraiser … – AP, 9-19-11
  • Mitch Daniels Calls for a More Honest Campaign Debate: The governor of Indiana says his party’s presidential candidates should “campaign to govern, not just win.”… – NYT, 9-19-11
  • Rivals ask: Is Perry weak on the right, or left?: Rick Perry’s Republican rivals are struggling to find a coherent, easy-to-grasp argument against the Texas governor, who tops GOP presidential polls despite attacks from all sides.
    In fact, it’s the “all sides” nature that complicates the opposition’s message. Republican voters who watched last week’s presidential debate and its aftermath might wonder: Should I see Perry as too conservative or too moderate?… – AP, 9-19-11

HOUSE — SENATE — GOVERNORSHIPS CAMPAIGNS & ELECTIONS

  • Warren’s TARP panel under scrutiny: Elizabeth Warren, who is seeking the Democratic Senate nomination in Massachusetts to take on Republican Scott Brown, has yet to break down exactly how her congressional panel spent more than $10 million on travel expenses, meals and consultants, nor has Warren revealed the total amount she was paid while serving as chairman…. – Politico, 9-22-11

CAMPAIGN 2012: ANALYSTS &S HISTORIANS COMMENTS

  • Politico Arena: Daily Debate with Policymakers, Opinionshapers & Academics Politico
  • Julian Zelizer: Should GOP go for inspiration or victory?: With all the talk about the ideological and strategic divisions within the GOP, the real choice that primary voters will have to make next year is a simple one.
    Republicans have to decide whether to pick a candidate who appeals to their hearts or to their minds. The field is still fluid, but so far Texas Gov. Rick Perry appears to be the candidate who appeals most strongly to the ideological passion of conservatives, even though he stumbled in last week’s debate.
    Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who doesn’t inspire that passion seems to be the right man at the right time to defeat a struggling incumbent president. In recent weeks, at least based on the polls, logic seems to be a stronger pull.
    Traditionally, voters tend to go for the candidate who appeals to their hearts, even if the choice may be less likely to win. The primary process favors candidates who play to the base of the party and voters want someone they can believe in…. – CNN, 9-26-11

Campaign Recap September 19, 2011: GOP Candidates Gang-up on Rick Perry Attack Social Security Position at the CNN / Tea Party GOP Republican Presidential Debate

CAMPAIGN 2012

By Bonnie K. Goodman

Ms. Goodman is the Editor of History Musings. She has a BA in History & Art History & a Masters in Library and Information Studies from McGill University, and has done graduate work in history at Concordia University. Ms. Goodman has also contributed the overviews, and chronologies in History of American Presidential Elections, 1789-2008, 4th edition, edited by Gil Troy, Fred L. Israel, and Arthur Meier Schlesinger to be published by Facts on File, Inc. in late 2011.

CAMPAIGN BUZZ 2012

Chip Litherland for The New York Times

Republican presidential candidates before their debate in Tampa, Fla. More Photos »

STATS & POLLS

Republican Presidential Candidates: Primaries 2012 — NYT

Democratic Nominee 2012: President Barack Obama’s Official Reelection Campaign Website — BarackObama.com

Republican National Committee

Democratic National Committee

  • Gallup Poll: Election 2012 — Track GOP Contender’s Images Week by Week — Generic Ballot Gallup
  • Gallup: Presidential Job Approval Gallup
  • Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval: Each result is based on a three-day rolling average Gallup
  • Poll Watch: Polls and Related Articles From The New York Times NYT
  • Rick Perry’s ‘Ponzi scheme’ problem: new evidence it’s real: Gov. Rick Perry’s inflammatory language on Social Security doesn’t sit well with independents, though it’s a wash for Republican voters, a new Gallup poll shows…. – CS Monitor, 9-16-11

POLITICAL QUOTES & SPEECHES

Mitt Romney: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts mittromney.com

Rick Perry: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts rickperry.org

Ron Paul: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ronpaul2012.com

Herman Cain: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts hermancain.com

Michele Bachmann: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts michelebachmann.com

Newt Gingrich: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts newt.org

Jon Huntsman: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts jon2012.com

Rick Santorum: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ricksantorum.com

“I still have that same old dopey same old answer that I’m sure you guys are getting sick of hearing, and that is I’m still thinking about it, praying about it, contemplating, talking to my family. I’m sick of giving the same answer, believe me. I’m anxious to give an answer and get on with life one way or the other.” — Sarah Palin on Fox News 9-12-11

IN FOCUS: GOP CNN/TEA PARTY EXPRESS REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES DEBATE IN TAMPA, FLORIDA

Full Text Campaign Buzz September 12, 2011: CNN / Tea Party GOP Republican Presidential Debate — Candidates Gang Up on Rick Perry — Target Social Security (Complete Transcript) CNN, 9-12-11

Live blog of CNN’s first-ever Tea Party Republican Debate CNN, 9-12-11

Fact-checking the Republican presidential debate San Francisco Chronicle, 9-12-11

Jon Huntsman: “Yesterday, we were reminded how extraordinary this country is … Today, ladies and gentlemen, we are deeply divided.”

Herman Cain: “I am the only non-politician on this stage tonight.”

Michele Bachmann: “I brought the voice of the tea party to the United States Congress.”

Mitt Romney: “Like you, I recognize that America’s economy is in crisis.”

Rick Perry: “I simply want to get America work again and make Washington D.C. as inconsequential in your life as I can.”

Ron Paul: “My goal has always been to promote the cause of liberty and to obey the Constitution.”

Newt Gingrich: “In the spirit of 9/12, I hope to work with you to fundamentally, profoundly change Washington.”

Rick Santorum: “I won two elections [in Pennsylvania] without having to change my policies or my party to win.”

“We’re having that conversation, Governor. We’re running for president.” — Mitt Romney

“A program that’s been there 70 or 80 years, obviously we’re not going to take that away.” — Rick Perry

“The company was Merck, and it was a $5,000 contribution that I had received from them. I raise about $30 million. And if you’re saying that I can be bought for $5,000, I’m offended.” — Rick Perry

“If you’ve been in the state of Texas for three years, if you’re working towards your college degree, and if you are working and pursuing citizenship in the state of Texas, you pay in-state tuition there. It doesn’t make any difference what the sound of your last name is, that’s the American way.” — Rick Perry

“The idea you’re going to build a wall from Brownsville to El Paso and go left to Tijuana is not reality. What you gotta have is boots on the ground … the aviation assets in the air. We understand and know how to secure that border, but the federal government needs to step up and do their constitutional duty and secure the border with Mexico.” — Rick Perry

“Of course we build a fence, and of course we do not give in-state tuition credits to people who have come here illegally.” — Mitt Romney

“I would put a little damper on this, but I don’t want to offend the governor, because he might raise my taxes or something.” — Ron Paul

“I think Gov. Perry would agree that if you’re dealt four aces, that doesn’t make you a terrific poker player.” — Mitt Romney

“Well, I was going to say Mitt you were doing pretty good until you got to talking poker.” — Rick Perry

“For Rick to say we can’t secure the border is pretty much a treasonous statement.” — Jon Huntsman

“You’ve got Governor Romney, who called it a fraud in his book ‘No Apology.’ I don’t know if that was written by Kurt Cobain or not.” — Jon Huntsman

“We could spend all night talking about where Mitt’s been on all the issues and that would take forever.” — Jon Huntsman

Perry Is Target as Republican Candidates Take Aim: The presidential candidates aggressively confronted Gov. Rick Perry and pressed him to expound upon his views on Social Security and a vaccination program for teenage girls…. – NYT, 9-12-11

Perry assailed by GOP rivals, defends his record: Attacked from all sides, Texas Gov. Rick Perry softened his rhetoric if not his position on Social Security in a snarky campaign debate Monday night and fended off attacks on his record creating jobs and requiring the vaccination of schoolgirls against a cancer-causing sexually transmitted virus…. – AP, 9-12-11

    • Factbox: Social Security central in Republican debate: Republican presidential candidates on Monday traded barbs over their positions on Social Security but avoided deep discussion of possible solutions to a coming funding crunch in the retirement program.
      Here are some important dates and possible choices lawmakers will weigh on Social Security as 77 million older Americans — Baby Boomers born between 1946 and 1964 — begin to draw benefits…. – Reuters, 9-12-11
    • A Ben Bernanke treason trial: Michele Bachmann refuses to respond to a question about Rick Perry’s “treasonous” comment on Ben Bernanke, saying, “As president of the US I would not be reappointing Ben Bernanke but during the bailout … I worked behind the scenes against the bailout. the enabling act legislation is written so broadly that congress is giving the federal reserve unlimited power.”
      Pushed, she said, “That’s for Gov Perry to make that decision. my decision is i would not appoint Ben Bernanke.”
      Perry, at his turn, stood by the remark, saying, “I said if you are allowing the federal reserve to be allowed to be used for political purposes it would be almost treasonous.”…. – Politico, 9-12-11
    • Jabbing over Social Security, Romney takes on Perry: a look at key moments in the GOP debate:
      Big moment: To open the debate, Texas Gov. Rick Perry and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney immediately went after each other on Social Security — with Perry defending his inflammatory language and Romney accusing Perry of scaring seniors.
      “It has been called a Ponzi scheme by many people long before me,” Perry said. The Texas governor has also called the social safety net a “monstrous lie.”
      “I think the word ‘Ponzi scheme’ is over the top and unnecessary and frightful to many people,” Romney snapped back…. – WaPo, 9-12-11
    • Republican debate: Perry fends off assaults from GOP rivals: Gov. Rick Perry stood his ground, Monday, while fellow GOP candidates took numerous jabs at the front-runner….
      Attacked from all sides by fellow Republicans, Texas Gov. Rick Perry softened his rhetoric if not his position on Social Security in a snarky presidential campaign debate Monday night. He fended off assaults on his record creating jobs and requiring the vaccination of schoolgirls against a cancer-causing sexually transmitted virus.
      Across a crackling two-hour debate, the front-runner in opinion polls gave little ground and frequently jabbed back, particularly at his chief rival, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney….
      It marked the first time in the summer debates that internal Republican differences dominated rather than a common eagerness to unseat Democratic President Barack Obama…. – CS Monitor, 9-12-11
    • In debate Republicans lash out at each other: A Republican presidential debate became a race to the bottom Monday night as candidates attacked each other for treason, lack of manliness, trying to prevent cervical cancer, and even – – gasp – – letting campaign contributions affect their judgment. … – Politico, 9-12-11
    • At GOP debate, Rick Perry and Mitt Romney tear into each other: The second presidential debate in a week begins as a cross between a fight club and a book club….
      Mitt Romney and Rick Perry took the first possible opportunity to tear into each other at the CNN- and Tea Party Express-hosted forum in Florida, trading harsh accusations over their views on Social Security…. – Politico, 9-12-11
    • At Tea Party Debate, Perry Experiences the Full Force of His Rivals’ Wrath: Firmly entrenched as the double-digit front-runner for the Republican President nomination, Texas Governor Rick Perry endured the unpleasant privilege of his status on Monday night…. – TIME, 9-12-11
    • Tea Party Debate Themes: Gang Up On Rick Perry, Dismantle Washington: The dynamics of the Republican race became clear: it’s Rick Perry against the field. And the contest’s central theme became just as clear: let’s dismantle as much as we can of the federal government’s role…. – Huffington Post, 9-12-11
    • GOP debate: Rick Perry remains in front despite bumpy ride in Tampa: The Texas governor, Rick Perry, emerged bruised but still looking like the frontrunner for his party’s presidential nomination after a contentious televised debate in which he was the focus of attack from rival candidates and in which he drew scorn…. – The Guardian, UK, 9-13-11
    • The Tea Party/CNN debate: Ganging up on Rick Perry, as Kurt Cobain makes a cameo: The Tea Party Republican debate turned into a brawl pretty fast on Monday night. Well aware of the momentum that Gov. Rick Perry has as the most media-analyzed Republican of the moment, candidates including Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann went after him on issues ranging from Social Security to the HPV vaccine…. – Entertainment Weekly, 9-12-11
    • Republicans go after Rick Perry in Florida debate: Rick Perry’s Republican presidential rivals took turns ganging up on the leader of the pack during a presidential debate Monday, accusing the Texas governor of frightening senior citizens with his attacks on Social Security…. – San Francisco Chronicle, 9-12-11
    • Perry assailed by rivals, forced to defend record Texas governor clashes with Romney on Social Security, Bachmann on HPV vaccine: Attacked from all sides, Texas Gov. Rick Perry softened his rhetoric if not his position on Social Security in a snarky campaign debate Monday night and fended off attacks on his record creating jobs and requiring the vaccination of schoolgirls against a cancer-causing sexually transmitted virus.
      It marked the first time in the summer debates that internal Republican differences dominated rather than a common eagerness to unseat Democratic President Barack Obama…. – MSNBC, 9-12-11
    • Rick Perry Stands By Harsh Ben Bernanke Remarks (VIDEO): Texas Governor Rick Perry stood by eyebrow-raising remarks he made last month about Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke during Monday night’s Republican presidential debate…. – Huff Post, 9-12-11
    • Rick Perry Calls For Afghanistan Withdrawal At GOP Tea Party Debate: Rick Perry has been relatively silent on foreign policy, including the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. During the GOP debate Monday night, he said he believed that the US should continue to have a “presence” in Afghanistan, but that it was time to start…. – Huff Post, 9-12-11
    • Ron Paul checks Rick Perry on his jobs record: Asked about Rick Perry’s jobs record and whether he deserves so much credit, Ron Paul replies, “Not quite…I would put a little damper on this but I don’t want to offend the governor because he might raise my taxes or something.”… – Politico, 9-12-11
    • Michele Bachmann regains footing in ‘tea party’ debate: Michele Bachmann recaptured some of her stride tonight. After seeming to fade in last week’s debate at the Reagan Library, she was far more vocal and passionate. Of course, she was playing to her crowd — the “tea party” has an uncomplicated passion for her — but there was a new energy in her voice, particularly when she slammed Rick Perry for his executive order on the HPV vaccine.
      If Perry felt like a piñata at last week’s debate, as he joked then, he must have felt like the human silhouette on the wrong end of a shooting range tonight…. – LAT, 9-12-11
    • Rick Perry: “The first round of stimulus … it created zero jobs.”: Rick Perry criticized President Barack Obama’s new jobs plan during a Republican presidential debate Sept. 12, 2011, saying his previous effort “created zero jobs.”… – PolitiFact, 9-12-11
    • Santorum: I feel like I’m on ‘Survivor': Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum used a reality television show to describe how he feels in the current Republican presidential contest. That show, “Survivor.”… – CNN, 9-12-11
    • Analysis: Bachmann comes back to life in Republican debate: Michele Bachmann won a new lease on life for her fizzling presidential campaign by aggressively targeting Republican front-runner Rick Perry and raising doubts about his conservative credentials.
      But whether Bachmann can save a campaign that is clearly on the ropes is very much in doubt, just a month after she enjoyed her best moment of the 2012 season by winning the Iowa straw poll, an important early test of strength…. – Reuters, 9-12-11
    • Commentary: Republican nomination may be Perry’s to lose: Paul Burka of Texas Monthly summed up the general consensus in Austin last month, saying Gov. Rick Perry “is going to be the Republican nominee. … We might as well skip the primary and go straight to the general election.” Burka draws a straight path … – Kansas City Star, 9-12-11
    • GOP rivals spar on Social Security: GOP presidential rivals Mitt Romney and Texas Gov. Rick Perry clashed again last night during their second debate — sharpening their differences on Social Security and jobs in the key battleground state of Florida, where older voters … – Boston Herald, 9-12-11
    • Texas pol storming into town as Democrats go on the offensive: GOP presidential hopeful Rick Perry is kicking up a Texas-sized ruckus in Boston today — intent on skewering rival Mitt Romney’s jobs records in his own backyard while protesting Democrats plan to slam Perry’s controversial stance…. – Boston Herald, 9-12-11
    • Second tier candidates, not chief rival, score points against Perry: At least for now, Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s chief rival for the Republican presidential nomination is Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts. But it was the second- and third-tier candidates who shed light on some of Perry’s greatest vulnerabilities in Monday’s presidential debate and they did so from his right.
      U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania pounded away at Perry for ordering in 2007 that schoolgirls get vaccinated against the human papillomavirus. The order never took full effect, and it gave parents the option to opt out, but the idea of requiring an inoculation against a sexually transmitted disease just isn’t going to play well with GOP primary voters…. – Austin American-Statesman, 9-12-11
    • Perry’s not-so-innocuous inoculation at the Tea Party HPV debate: If, as the consensus seems to be, Perry only managed to whelm us at the last debate, this time he distinctly underwhelmed. Santorum and Bachmann seized him by the ankles of his hand-tooled cowboy boots and refused to let go. … – WaPo, 9-12-11
    • On immigration, Rick Perry takes heat for Texas DREAM Act: In a debate that’s already been fiery, the temperature rose further, even a little uncomfortably, when the subject of immigration came up.
      The candidates on this stage have repeatedly said they won’t elaborate on their plans for dealing with the 11 million to 12 million illegal immigrants already in the country until the border with Mexico is secured.
      Perry, who signed a Texas version of the DREAM Act (which allows young people in the country illegally to pay in-state tuition at public colleges and universities) drew several rounds of boos when he defended the policy…. – LAT, 9-12-11
    • Republican candidates unite on Fed attack: Republican candidates for president squabbled over social security, foreign wars and the economy but presented a largely united front on one issue – the need to rein in the power of the Federal Reserve…. – Financial Times, 9-12-11
    • Federal Reserve is a target at Florida Republican debate: Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke was in the bullseye Monday night at the debate of Republican presidential hopefuls in Florida. Texas Governor Rick Perry stood by comments made last month that Bernanke’s efforts to jumpstart the US economy…. — CBS News, 9-12-11
    • The GOP debate: 7 takeaways: Last night’s GOP debate wasn’t a face-off, it was a pile-on. The CNN/Tea Party Express debate in Tampa, Fla. —the second in a string of five Republican meet-ups coming in rapid succession—was an opportunity to gang up on Rick Perry and his onstage rivals took full advantage. Here are seven takeaways from Monday’s debate…. – Politico, 9-12-11
    • Palin slams Perry on ‘crony capitalism': Sarah Palin, who has kept mum about whether she’ll run, is not in sync with Rick Perry: Sarah Palin took a hard swipe against her friend Rick Perry in a post-debate TV appearance, calling him out by name for “crony capitalism”…. – Politico, 9-12-11
    • DNC Chair uses debate moment to pounce on GOP: The woman working to ensure President Obama’s re-election entered the political equivalent of the lion’s den – and pounced on a debate moment to blast the Republican presidential candidates late Monday. … – CNN, 9-12-11
    • Huntsman Paul take hits on Twitter in debate: If Twitter trends were the measure, Kurt Cobain was the clear winner of Monday’s presidential debate sponsored by CNN and the Tea Party Express. Seventeen years after the Nirvana frontman’s suicide, a name-check on stage by Jon Huntsman shot him right … – Politico, 9-12-11

“The 1 million jobs he’s helped create as governor is a stark contrast to the 2.4 million jobs lost on President Obama’s watch. Rick Perry will bring our country more than hope – he’ll get America working again.” — Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal

  • Endorsement fever: Bobby Jindal backs Rick Perry: The first bit of rapid response among Republican presidential hopefuls came hours before the start of Monday’s “tea party” debate in Tampa, as Rick Perry answered Tim Pawlenty’s endorsement of Mitt Romney by announcing the support of Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal.
    Jindal, once seen as a rising GOP star, said in a statement that Perry’s “record on job creation simply cannot be beat.”… – LAT, 9-12-11
  • As Perry Rises, GOP Elite Look Toward Romney: The rising presidential candidacy of Gov. Rick Perry of Texas is stirring excitement for many Republican voters but is creating unease in some quarters of the party’s establishment…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • For Debate Partners, an Unusual Pairing: The sponsors, CNN and the Tea Party, each stand to benefit from reaching the other’s following…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • Factbox: Four keys to Republican debate in Florida: Eight Republican presidential hopefuls will meet on Monday in a debate co-sponsored by CNN and the fiscally conservative Tea Party movement, which helped elect dozens of Republicans to Congress in 2010. Here are four keys to the debate…. – Reuters, 9-12-11
  • GOP Debate: Three keys to tonight’s debate: What do the presidential candidates need to do in tonight’s Tea Party Express/CNN GOP debate?…. – CS Monitor, 9-12-11
  • Five things to watch for in CNN/Tea Party Republican debate: Watch the CNN/Tea Party Republican Debate at 8 p.m. ET Monday on CNN TV and CNN.com.
    Here are key storylines and strategies to watch for in Monday night’s CNN/Tea Party Republican Debate
    1. Round two of the Perry-Romney slugfest? It started in Wednesday’s debate at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, when Texas Gov. Rick Perry, the new guy in the race and the front-runner in the national polls, and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the previous front-runner, sparred over jobs creation and Social Security…. – CNN, 9-12-11

THE HEADLINES: WEEKLY RECAP

    • Pennsylvania Republicans Weigh Electoral Vote Changes: The newly empowered Republicans are considering changing the way Pennsylvania awards its electoral votes in presidential elections despite growing concerns that the move could backfire…. – NYT, 9-19-11
    • Mitch Daniels Calls for a More Honest Campaign Debate: The governor of Indiana says his party’s presidential candidates should “campaign to govern, not just win.”… – NYT, 9-18-11
    • SC senator: Presidential election is GOP’s to lose: Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham says the upcoming presidential election is the GOP’s to lose. Graham says President Barack Obama has done “everything he knows how” to beat himself and that people have little confidence in Obama’s policies because they aren’t working…. – AP, 9-18-11
    • Rick Perry, Uber Texan: We have had several Texas presidents, but none so deeply, intensely Texas as Rick Perry would be…. – NYT, 9-18-11
    • Michele Bachmann doubles down on ‘Perrycare.’ Will it work?: In a swipe at Rick Perry, Michele Bachmann took flak for suggesting that the HPV vaccine might cause “mental retardation.” But she’s not backing down, and “Perrycare” is now her prime target…. – CS Monitor, 9-17-11
    • GOP candidates revive private Social Security idea: Most of the top Republicans running for president are embracing plans to partially privatize Social Security, reviving a contentious issue that fizzled under President George W. Bush after Democrats relentlessly attacked it.
      As President Barack Obama sidesteps ways to keep the retirement system viable, his would-be rivals are keen on letting younger workers divert part of their payroll taxes into some type of personal account to be invested separately from Social Security…. – AP, 9-17-11
    • Republicans seize on waning campus Obamamania: The young people in the ad look dissatisfied and pouty. Barack Obama’s voice and the words “winning the future,” from one of his old campaign speeches, echo in the background. “You’re LOSING my future,” says one young man.
      The ad, which has aired during sportscasts, reality TV shows and late-night comedy programs popular with younger people, was produced for the College Republican National Committee. It is an attempt to play on the fears that haunt college students, that they won’t find jobs and will be living with less than their parents did…. – AP, 9-17-11
    • Perry Finds Kindred Spirits in Iowa: Gov. Rick Perry’s charisma and straight-talking Texan message have wide appeal…. – NYT, 9-16-11
    • Perry likens Romney health care program to Obama’s: Rick Perry is continuing to tie the health care program enacted by fellow Republican Mitt Romney in Massachusetts to President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul. Perry told more than 100 Republican activists at a coffee shop in Iowa Friday morning…. – AP, 9-16-11
    • Republican Perry says Romney health plan cost jobs: Republican presidential candidate Rick Perry said Thursday the health care bill GOP rival Mitt Romney enacted in Massachusetts paved the way for President Barack Obama’s federal health law last year and cost the state jobs. … – AP, 9-15-11
    • Obama raising money, pitching jobs plan: Pitching his jobs plan and his re-election, President Barack Obama attended two intimate $35,800-per-couple fundraisers Thursday, assuring donors that he will push Congress to pass his economic initiative and expressing confidence in his ability to win a second term…. – AP, 9-15-11
    • Candidates bash stimulus, campaign at companies: Republican presidential contenders have crisscrossed the nation bashing President Barack Obama’s economic stimulus plans as a colossal waste of taxpayer money. But with an awkward frequency, these same candidates are campaigning at businesses that benefited from the president’s landmark stimulus package…. – AP, 9-15-11
    • GOP chairman ‘very satisfied’ with candidate field: The chairman of the Republican Party says he’s “very satisfied” with the GOP presidential field and that it’s not too late for another candidate to join the race.
      Reince Priebus tells ABC’s “Good Morning America” show that it’s normal for there to be “a lot of shots” among candidates in the primary season…. – AP, 9-15-11
    • On immigration, a Democrat has kind words for GOP’s Rick Perry (VIDEO): Presidential candidate Rick Perry is right to back a Texas law that lets students who are illegal immigrants pay in-state tuition rates, said Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley…. – CS Monitor, 9-15-11
    • Misstatements Shadow Bachmann in Republican Presidential Race: Representative Michele Bachmann’s penchant for exaggeration has been getting more exposure, raising questions about her judgment and maturity…. – NYT, 9-15-11
    • Is the Republican Victory in New York a Sign?: Republicans wasted no time Tuesday night in trying to nationalize their victories in special elections in New York and Nevada…. – NYT, 9-14-11
    • With Wins in New York and Nevada, Republicans See a Trend: The Republican Party seized on the outcome of two special Congressional elections as fresh evidence that voters are souring on President Obama and are prepared to hold Democrats accountable…. – NYT, 9-14-11
    • Obama Campaign Launches AttackWatch.com: The Obama campaign has started a Web site where users can report what they believe are false accusations against the president’s record…. – NYT, 9-14-11
    • Republicans See a Ripple in the Nation’s Jewish Vote: Republicans are hoping to seize on unhappiness among some Jewish voters over the president’s treatment of Israel…. – NYT, 9-14-11
    • For Democrats, It’s 2010 All Over Again: With special elections, any one race may or may not be representative of a national trend…. – NYT, 9-14-11
    • Is Rick Perry a real front-runner, or the next Michele Bachmann?: Rick Perry took a beating at the CNN/Tea Party debate in Tampa, Fla., on Monday night. But is it enough to dethrone him as front-runner of the GOP primary race? Don’t bet the ranch on it…. – CS Monitor, 9-14-11
    • Obama adviser: GOP candidates offer no job ideas: Barack Obama’s top political adviser says none of the president’s Republican challengers has much to say about how they’re going to create jobs. David Axelrod told ABC’s “Good Morning America” on Tuesday that Rick Perry and Mitt Romney…. – AP, 9-13-11

“A great many of those who perished were approximately your age. Young men and women whose entire future was in front of them. They sacrificed their dreams to preserve yours. Because of what they gave, I simply ask you to make the most of the freedom that they sacrificed.” — Gov. Rick Perry at Liberty University

  • On defense, Perry talks of faith, military heroes: Texas Gov. Rick Perry avoided contentious social issues in a speech Wednesday at the nation’s largest evangelical university, offering the youth a testimonial about his own path to Christian faith and praising the men and women of the military.
    The Republican presidential contender urged students at Liberty University to remember the legacies of service members killed in Iraq and Afghanistan. Without explicitly invoking his own presidential bid, he cast life’s choices as tributes to the military’s sacrifice in the years since the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks…. – AP, 9-14-11
  • Social Security no longer a ‘monstrous lie’? Why Rick Perry is shifting. (VIDEO): Republican presidential candidate Rick Perry had questioned the very foundations of Social Security before Monday’s debate. His new, softer stance is a bow to political reality…. – CS Monitor, 9-13-11
  • Perry Wears a Bull’s-Eye at G.O.P. Debate: The presidential candidates aggressively confronted Gov. Rick Perry and pressed him to expound upon his views on Social Security and a vaccination program for teenage girls…. – NYT, 9-13-11
  • Leading the Pack Brings New Perils, Perry Discovers: After his second presidential debate, Gov. Rick Perry of Texas is finding that the downsides of being tagged as the Republican front-runner are coming into sharper focus…. – NYT, 9-13-11
  • Romney’s aggressive approach here to stay: An assertive Mitt Romney has emerged in the GOP presidential race. The former Massachusetts governor has shown little willingness to assail his Republican competitors over the past few months, focusing all of his criticism on President Barack Obama. But in one night, Romney became the most prominent aggressor in a growing effort by the GOP field to derail front-runner Rick Perry. And in doing so, Romney may have started to ease concern within the GOP establishment over the strength of his candidacy…. – AP, 9-13-11
  • As Perry Rises, G.O.P. Elite Look Toward Romney: The rising presidential candidacy of Gov. Rick Perry of Texas is stirring excitement for many Republican voters but is creating unease in some quarters of the party’s establishment…. – NYT, 9-13-11
  • Perry’s Tone on Social Security Takes a Turn: Rick Perry, once highly critical of Social Security, now suggests its long-term viability must be assured…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • Republican debate: Who did best? Who stumbled?: For the second time in a week, Mitt Romney may have turned in the best overall performance. Some conservatives believe Rick Perry did well, too. And the other candidates all had their moments…. – CS Monitor, 9-13-11
  • FACT CHECK: Social Security prompts debate miscues: Rick Perry 1.0 thought Social Security was a “disease” inflicted on the population by the federal government. Rick Perry 2.0 thinks Social Security deserves to be saved “for generations to come.”
    That metamorphosis by the Republican presidential hopeful over recent months contributed to some factual stretches Monday night in a GOP debate, both by the Texas governor and his opponents for the nomination.
    A look at some of the claims in the debate and how they compare with the facts…. – AP, 9-13-11
  • Analysis: GOP foes seek cracks in Perry’s record: Rick Perry’s bid for the Republican presidential nomination will rise or fall on his 10-year record as Texas governor.
    In Monday’s crackling GOP debate, his rivals attacked that record as never before, led by a newly energized Mitt Romney and hard-charging Michele Bachmann.
    Perry, holding his own but looking besieged at times, defended himself vigorously on most fronts. He acknowledged mishandling a schoolgirl vaccination program, however, and asked for understanding about Texas’ need to work with illegal immigrants who seek citizenship and college educations.
    As President Barack Obama might say: Welcome to the role of an incumbent with a complex record to defend from critics on all sides…. – AP, 9-13-11
  • Perry attacks Obama jobs plan: Texas Gov. Rick Perry is attacking President Barack Obama’s jobs plan as a second stimulus plan that won’t put Americans back to work.
    Obama’s plan includes some tax cuts, and Perry was asked whether he would oppose them. Perry instead says Obama’s plan would raise taxes…. – AP, 9-12-11
  • Perry assailed by GOP rivals, defends his record: It marked the first time in the summer debates that internal Republican differences dominated rather than a common eagerness to unseat Democratic President Barack Obama. Especially on Social Security. “A program that’s been there 70 or 80 years.”… – AP, 9-12-11
  • Jindal endorses Perry for president: Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal endorsed Rick Perry for president on Monday, calling the Texas governor “the candidate who can lead our party to victory in 2012.”
    Jindal and Perry announced the endorsement ahead of Monday night’s GOP presidential debate in Tampa, Fla. — and just hours after former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty endorsed Mitt Romney, Perry’s most significant rival for the Republican nomination.
    Jindal praised Perry’s job creation record as Texas governor, the central message of Perry’s campaign…. – AP, 9-12-11
  • Jindal to Endorse Perry: Gov. Bobby Jindal of Louisiana has decided to back Gov. Rick Perry in the Republican primary…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • Romney: NLRB Boeing complaint political payback: Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney, fresh from picking up former rival Tim Pawlenty’s endorsement, criticized the Obama administration’s links to organized labor, arguing that a National Labor Relations Board’s complaint against Boeing is White House payback to unions…. – AP, 9-12-11
  • Pawlenty endorses Romney in GOP race: While a candidate against Romney, Pawlenty hit hard on his rival’s role in crafting a Massachusetts health law, parts of which were a template for President Barack Obama’s sweeping health care overhaul. Pawlenty once dubbed the Massachusetts law … – AP, 9-12-11
  • Pawlenty Endorses Romney: Tim Pawlenty, who dropped out of the race last month, endorses Mitt Romney’s candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • Pawlenty: Romney’s front-line defender: Within hours of picking up an endorsement from former White House contender Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney swooped into South Carolina Monday morning with his new de-facto cheerleader and front-line defender.
    Pawlenty’s new role was apparent at a press availability with the two men in North Charleston. Romney was able to step back, at least for one question, and let his new national co-chair speak for his record…. – CNN, 9-12-11
  • Perry Seeks Blessing From an Immigration Hardliner: Rick Perry, who once said he was “intrigued and open” to an amnesty program for Mexican workers in the United States illegally, is now courting the support of a famous immigration hardliner: Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio of Arizona…. – Texas Tribune, 9-12-11
  • GOP debate: three things we might see at tea party event tonight: The Republican candidates face off in Florida tonight, and the Tea Party Express organizers vow that the debate will focus only on tea party ‘core principles.’ Will Perry and Paul clash?… – CS Monitor, 9-12-11
  • DNC ad campaign to promote Obama jobs plan: The Democratic National Committee is launching an ad campaign in politically key states aimed at rallying the public behind President Barack Obama’s new jobs plan and pressuring a divided Congress to act. … – AP, 9-12-11

HOUSE — SENATE — GOVERNORSHIPS CAMPAIGNS & ELECTIONS

  • The Dewhurst Profile: Unexciting but Atop Polls: Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst is the Mitt Romney of the United States Senate race in Texas — orderly, and leading in the polls…. – NYT, 9-15-11
  • Election Reflects New Dynamic in Brooklyn and Queens: The Democratic Party in Queens ended Tuesday night exposed as a tottering old dame, her inability to push a loyal son into Congress testament to her infirmities…. – NYT, 9-14-11
  • Warren launches US Senate campaign with Mass. tour: Harvard Law professor and consumer advocate Elizabeth Warren officially launched her Democratic campaign for the U.S. Senate on Wednesday, hoping for a chance to take on Republican Sen. Scott Brown in next year’s election…. – AP, 9-14-11

ELECTIONS: SPECIAL ELECTIONS IN NEW YORK & NEVADA

G.O.P. Gains House Seat Vacated by Weiner, AP Reports: A little-known Republican businessman from Queens, channeling voter discontent with President Obama into an upset victory, on Tuesday won election to Congress from the heavily Democratic district in New York City last represented by Anthony D. Weiner, according to The Associated Press.
The Republican, Bob Turner, a retired cable television executive, defeated Assemblyman David I. Weprin, the scion of a prominent Democratic family in Queens, in a nationally watched special election.

With 84 percent of the precincts counted early Wednesday, Mr. Turner was leading Mr. Weprin by 54 percent to 46 percent, according to The Associated Press.

Turner recently polled 6 points higher than Democrat opponent David Weprin, who is actually Jewish, and narrowed Weprin’s lead among Jewish voters by 15 points. The Turner campaign sent out 5,000 letters to registered voters in Israel, asking them to register for the ballots and place them in time.

“We congratulate Bob Turner on his historic victory.
This Republican win in an overwhelmingly Democrat district is a significant indicator of the problem that President Obama has in the Jewish community. While party leaders scramble to deny and try to stem the erosion of Jewish support for Democrats, the real issue is this President’s policies on Israel, on jobs, and on the economy. Jewish voters are coming to see that Republicans offer real solutions to our economic crisis, are resolute friends of Israel, and represent a way forward to a better future.
Bob Turner’s win tonight has huge implications for 2012 races in states with large Jewish communities, such as Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
The RJC took a proactive approach in this race, reaching out to Jewish voters in the district, and we will be a leading voice driving the debate in the Jewish community nationally through 2012 as well.” — Republican Jewish Coalition (RJC) Executive Director Matt Brooks statement on the results of the special election in New York’s 9th congressional district — RJC: Jewish Defections Hurt Obama, Democrats in Queens Race

“His [President Barack Obama] hostility should concern Jews, Christians, and other supporters of Israel. Many believe the president has conveyed by his actions and demands on that state that he is willing to throw it under the bus and end the special relationship which has existed between the U.S. and Israel beginning with Harry Truman and continuing through the administration of George W. Bush….
While President Obama has made demands upon Israel that affect its security, no comparable demand — indeed, no demands — have been made upon the Palestinian Authority before entering the peace talks….
On the other hand, the election of Bob Turner in a normally safe Democratic district running against President Obama’s position on Israel and against his own party’s positions on the three entitlement programs of Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid would send a message to his own party leadership, as well as to President Obama.” — Former NYC Mayor Ed Koch

“No matter who wins in the special election in New York’s 9th congressional district on Tuesday. This race highlights the serious problems that President Obama has in the Jewish community because of his policies regarding Israel. Without question, Obama’s policies are causing significant numbers of Jewish voters to re-examine their loyalty to the Democratic Party.” — Matt Brooks RJC executive director

    • G.O.P. Gains House Seat Vacated by Weiner: Bob Turner, a little-known Republican businessman from Queens, beat Assemblyman David I. Weprin in an upset victory seen as a message to Washington…. – NYT, 9-13-11
    • GOP Takes Anthony Weiner’s Seat in Congress: Republican Bob Turner, a retired media executive, bested Democrat Assemblyman David Weprin. With about 70 percent of precincts reporting late Tuesday, Turner had 53 percent of the vote to Weprin’s 47 percent when the Associated Press called the race…. – ABC News, 9-13-11
    • Republican wins Weiner’s former seat: In a blow to Democrats, a Republican candidate captured the heavily Jewish New York City congressional district previously represented by Rep. Anthony Weiner.
      The race was closely watched as a measure of attitudes toward President Obama, with the Jewish vote a particular focus of attention. Former New York City mayor Ed Koch, a Democrat, urged voters to support the Republican, Bob Turner, in order to send a message of dissatisfaction to President Obama over his policies toward Israel…. – JTA, 9-13-11
    • Why Obama Is Losing the Jewish Vote He doesn’t have a ‘messaging’ problem. He has a record of bad policies and anti-Israel rhetoric: New York’s special congressional election on Tuesday was the first electoral outcome directly affected by President Obama’s Israel policy. Democrats were forced to expend enormous resources to try to defend this safe Democratic district, covering Queens and Brooklyn, that Anthony Weiner won last year by a comfortable margin.
      A Public Policy Poll taken days before the election found a plurality of voters saying that Israel was “very important” in determining their votes. Among those voters, Republican candidate Robert Turner was winning by a 71-22 margin. Only 22% of Jewish voters approved of President Obama’s handling of Israel. Ed Koch, the Democrat and former New York mayor, endorsed Mr. Turner because he said he wanted to send a message to the president about his anti-Israel policies.
      This is a preview of what President Obama might face in his re-election campaign with a demographic group that voted overwhelmingly for him in 2008. And it could affect the electoral map, given the battleground states—such as Florida and Pennsylvania—with significant Jewish populations. In another ominous barometer for the Obama campaign, its Jewish fund-raising has deeply eroded: One poll by McLaughlin & Associates found that of Jewish donors who donated to Mr. Obama in 2008, only 64% have already donated or plan to donate to his re-election campaign…. – WSJ, 9-13-11
    • Koch Played Key Role in GOP Victory: The Republican victory in New York’s solid blue 9th Congressional District seat in Tuesday’s special election came largely with the help of an influential Democrat: former New York City Mayor Ed Koch.
      Koch was arguably the one single factor in helping the GOP win the battle to succeed disgraced Rep. Anthony Weiner in the U.S. House.
      The thrice-elected former mayor, who remains a powerful force in New York and national politics, had backed Obama strongly in the 2008 election.
      A self-describer “liberal with reason,” former Congressman Koch holds a hawkish view on U.S. foreign policy and national security matters.
      In 2004, he cited the war on terror to cross party lines and back George Bush over John Kerry for the presidency. Koch campaigned for Bush’s re-election in Florida and Ohio.
      In the special election, the 86-year-old Koch urged fellow New Yorkers, and disaffected Democrats like himself, to send a message to President Obama that they give him a thumbs down for his domestic and foreign policies.
      Koch, a staunch supporter of Israel, has been dismayed with Obama’s lukewarm support for Israel.
      The former mayor’s message appeared to resonate in the congressional district that straddles the boroughs of Queens and Brooklyn and is home to many Jews, including many Orthodox ones. Newsmax, 9-13-11
    • Republican Bob Turner wins special election in New York: Democrats suffered a stunning blow Tuesday as voters in New York’s 9th Congressional District handed the seat to Republican Bob Turner, reversing a nearly 90-year tradition of electing Democrats to represent the district. … – LAT, 9-13-11
    • Republican Bob Turner wins New York special election: Businessman Bob Turner (R) defeated state Assemblyman David Weprin (D) in the special election for the House seat held by former New York Rep. Anthony Weiner (D)…. – WaPo, 9-13-11
    • A referendum on Obama and Israel: Bob Turner vs. David Weprin is really about: In deciding between Republican Bob Turner and Democrat David Weprin, the 9th’s large percentage of Jewish voters may provide an important clue about what a part of President Obama’s base in 2008 will do in next year’s presidential contest…. – New York Daily News, 9-13-11
    • Republican wins Democratic New York House seat: Republican Bob Turner won the race to succeed Anthony Weiner in New York’s 9th congressional district. By Paul Kane, With his outcome of his own reelection effort 14 difficult months away, President Obama suffered a sharp rebuke…. – WaPo, 9-13-11
    • GOP Wins in Race to Replace Weiner: AP Democrats suffered a setback Tuesday in a congressional election in New York City, where a district they have held for nearly a century elected a Republican who framed his candidacy as a rebuke to President Barack Obama. … – WSJ, 9-13-11
    • Republican wins in New York Democratic stronghold: Republicans won an upset victory in a Democratic stronghold in New York Tuesday in a special US House of Representatives election for the seat vacated by former Representative Anthony Weiner, who resigned after a Twitter sex scandal…. – Reuters, 9-13-11
    • GOP wins in NY House race, seen as Obama rebuke: Republicans have scored an upset victory in a House race that started as a contest to replace Rep. Anthony Weiner after he resigned in a sexting scandal but became a referendum on President Barack Obama…. – Forbes, 9-13-11

“The idea is telling Obama, we’re not just in your pocket because we’re Democrats and we’re ticking off Democrat all the way down the list. We are holding you responsible for your policies, and we’re telling you we don’t want them…. If Obama looks at his always historically blue district … if he gets this message from this Democrat district, this can affect his policies–again, both on fiscal and Israel — in the next year” — Ruth Lieberman, a veteran political consultant

  • NY-9 Could Affect White House Israeli Policy: This afternoon, Ruth Lieberman, a veteran political consultant who has been helping Republican Bob Turner in his special election race to win former Rep. Anthony Weiner’s seat in New York, spoke with Townhall about the dynamics between Turner and the Jewish vote in this race and broader implications for 2012. The district shows 1/3 registered Jewish voters, but of last year’s participation in the election, a large percentage were Jewish voters, according to Lieberman.
    The conversation with Lieberman revealed voters in the very blue district seem interested on two issues: jobs and Israel. Turner’s message to constituents has been that if they’re not happy with the Obama economy or with the administration’s stance on Israel, Turner is their man. Turner also picked up major Jewish Democrat endorsements along the way — local Assemblyman Dov Hikind (who has been campaigning with Turner) and former New York Mayor Ed Koch. Lieberman emphasized that these two Democrat politicians are telling voters to cross over and that this isn’t about party, but a referendum on Obama and jobs and Israel…. – Townhall, 9-13-11
  • Is Israel Policy an Election Problem for Obama?: President Barack Obama’s weakened standing with voters has helped put a safe Democratic House seat at risk of tipping to the GOP in a special election Tuesday in New York City…. – WSJ, 9-13-11
  • Shocker: White House Spox Says NY-9 Special Is Not A Referendum On Obama': It is worth reiterating that PPP found 54% of those polled said they disapproved of Obama’s policy on Israel, but voters were split on whether Israel matters in the NY-9 election…. – New York Daily News, 9-12-11
  • Polling Israel in NY-9: Republican Bob Turner’s unusual lead in last night’s PPP poll among Jewish and pro-Israel voters in Anthony Weiner’s old district has drawn its share of attention, but a reader points out that it may be a bit of a local anomaly. … – Politico, 9-12-11
  • GOP Jewish group yokes NY-9 results to Obama: The Republican Jewish Coalition, which sent mailers to 30,000 Jewish homes in NY-9 in advance of the special congressional election this week, is trying to pre-frame the results as negative for President Obama, regardless of whether Democrat David Weprin wins or loses.
    Weprin is locked in a tight race against neophyte politician and Republican Bob Turner, in a heavily Jewish district where Obama’s approval numbers are now underwater…. – Politico, 9-9-11
  • Gaming the Catholic vote: In a brief interlude into NY-9, which appears poised to go for the Republican Bob Turner tonight and will be sifted-over for national implications, veteran New York strategist Hank Sheinkopf said one takeaway for the Democrats next year is the Catholic vote…. – Politico, 9-13-11
  • Boehner on N.Y. special election: Republicans don’t have ‘any right to think we can win”: But if businessman Bob Turner (R) does prevail at the polls, Boehner said, the message will be a clear one: Voters are unhappy with President Obama’s leadership on the economy…. – WaPo, 9-13-11
  • NY special election a measure of Obama’s strength: Democrat David Weprin faced an unusually tight race against Republican Bob Turner in a special election Tuesday in New York’s heavily Democratic 9th Congressional District, where voters unhappy with President Barack Obama could elect a Republican for the first time.
    The contest to replace disgraced Democratic Rep. Anthony Weiner has become too close to call, with public opinion polling showing a slight edge for Turner, a retired media executive with no previous political experience…. – AP, 9-13-11
  • Outside groups spend $1.65 million on House races in Nevada, New York: In Nevada, Kate Marshall (about $748000 reported) has out-raised Republican Mark Amodei (about $659000), while in New York David Weprin (about $684000) has more than doubled the campaign cash of his opponent Bob Turner (about $323000)…. – iWatch News, 9-13-11
  • 6 NY Assembly seats up for grabs in NYC, upstate: The race getting the most attention is the special election in New York City’s 9th Congressional District, where Democrat David Weprin faces Republican Bob Turner in the contest to succeed replace disgraced Democratic Congressman Anthony Weiner…. – Houston Chronicle, 9-13-11
  • Former Mayor Ed Koch Supports Bob Turner YouTube, 9-12-11
  • Assemblyman Dov Hikind (D) Endorses Bob Turner (R) for US Congress in NY-9 YouTube, 9-9-11

CAMPAIGN 2012: ANALYSTS &S HISTORIANS COMMENTS

  • Politico Arena: Daily Debate with Policymakers, Opinionshapers & Academics Politico
  • Julian Zelizer: Romney offers the electability argument Portrays Perry as too extreme: “Usually [electability] is not the most effective appeal in primaries where activists are the main voices,” said Julian Zelizer, a professor of history at Princeton University. “In this election though, the anger toward President Obama is so intense for the Republican Party that the electability argument might be stronger than it usually is.”… – Boston Globe, 9-16-11

Campaign Recap September 12, 2011: Rick Perry Joins GOP Candidates in Debate at Ronald Reagan Presidential Library

CAMPAIGN 2012

By Bonnie K. Goodman

Ms. Goodman is the Editor of History Musings. She has a BA in History & Art History & a Masters in Library and Information Studies from McGill University, and has done graduate work in history at Concordia University. Ms. Goodman has also contributed the overviews, and chronologies in History of American Presidential Elections, 1789-2008, 4th edition, edited by Gil Troy, Fred L. Israel, and Arthur Meier Schlesinger to be published by Facts on File, Inc. in late 2011.

CAMPAIGN BUZZ 2012

Monica Almeida/The New York Times

Michele Bachmann and Mitt Romney listened as Rick Perry, right, spoke Wednesday in his first Republican presidential debate. More Photos »

STATS & POLLS

Republican Presidential Candidates: Primaries 2012 — NYT

Democratic Nominee 2012: President Barack Obama’s Official Reelection Campaign Website — BarackObama.com

Republican National Committee

Democratic National Committee

    • Gallup Poll: Election 2012 — Track GOP Contender’s Images Week by Week — Generic Ballot Gallup
    • Gallup: Presidential Job Approval Gallup
    • Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval: Each result is based on a three-day rolling average Gallup
    • Poll Watch: Polls and Related Articles From The New York Times NYT
    • Survey: Tea Party Isolated on Climate, But Wide Accord on Most Energy Policies: A new survey shows strong support for energy research across the political spectrum…. – NYT, 9-7-11

In a recent Fox News survey, Bachmann was the choice of a whopping 4 percent of Republican voters. That tied her for fifth place with two candidates who aren’t even running: Rudy Giuliani and Mike Huckabee. She’s only one percentage point ahead of, you guessed it, Newt Gingrich.

  • Is Michele Bachmann’s campaign in danger?: Her campaign manager, Ed Rollins, and deputy campaign manager, David Polyansky, moved on to other duties over the weekend. Is presidential hopeful Michele Bachmann the new Newt Gingrich?…. – CS Monitor, 9-6-11

POLITICAL QUOTES & SPEECHES

Mitt Romney: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts mittromney.com

Rick Perry: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts rickperry.org

Ron Paul: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ronpaul2012.com

Herman Cain: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts hermancain.com

Michele Bachmann: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts michelebachmann.com

Newt Gingrich: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts newt.org

Jon Huntsman: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts jon2012.com

Rick Santorum: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ricksantorum.com

  • The Republican Debate at the Reagan Library: The following is a transcript of the 2012 Republican presidential debate in Simi Valley, Calif., as transcribed by Roll Call…. – NYT, 9-7-11

IN FOCUS: GOP PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE AT REAGAN LIBRARY

Campaign Buzz September 7, 2011: Full Text Transcript Republican Presidential Debate at the Ronald Reagan Library — Rick Perry & Mitt Romney Steal the Show — NYT, 9-7-11

Republican Debate Live Coverage ABC News, 9-7-11

Who won the Reagan debate? Politico Arena, 9-7-11

    • Republican Debate 2011: Reagan Library hosts GOP Presidential Candidates (Live Updates): The Republican Candidates Debate at the Reagan Library happens tonight at 8pm. Eight Presidential candidates will square off in a debate co-moderated by John F. Harris of POLITICO and Brian Williams of NBC News. We’ll be updating this page throughout the night with highlights from POLITICO’s coverage and around the web. Also check out our Burns and Haberman live blog and watch the debate livestream…. – Politico, 9-7-11
    • Live-Blogging the GOP Debate: Texas Gov. Rick Perry makes his debate debut tonight at the Reagan presidential library in Simi Valley, Calif.
      The GOP presidential debate is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. EDT, and will be carried live on MSNBC. It will also air later on CNBC and Telemundo.
      All eyes are on the Texas governor, who quickly sprinted to the front of the field in just a few short weeks, to see how he answers difficult questions about his past and fends off attacks from his rivals for the nomination. Will the outspoken Texan offer up another of his over-the-top remarks — like calling Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke‘s monetary policy “treasonous” or Social Security “a Ponzi scheme”? Or will he wade into the night with a front-runner’s reserve?
      Likewise, will former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney go on the attack after losing his perch atop most national polls? And how will tea-party favorite Rep. Michele Bachmann react now that she is no longer the flavor-of-the-month? And will Rep. Ron Paul and former Sen. Rick Santorum renew their spirited feud from the last debate?
      Sparks flew when Republicans gathered in Ames, Iowa, last month, but the race has fundamentally altered since Tim Pawlenty quit the field after a lackluster finish in the Iowa straw poll and Mr. Perry commandeered the spotlight…. – WSJ, 9-7-11

“We created more jobs in the last three months in Texas, than he created in four years in Massachusetts…..
Michael Dukakis created jobs three times faster than you did, Mitt.” — Rick Perry

“Gov. Perry doesn’t believe he created those things, if he tried to say that, well it would be like Al Gore saying he invented the Internet….
As a matter of fact, George Bush and his predecessor created jobs at a faster rate than you did, governor.” — Mitt Romney

“I hate to rain on the parade of the Lone Star governor, but as governor of Utah we were the No. 1 job creator during my years of service.” — Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman

“It is a Ponzi scheme to tell our kids that are 25 or 30 years old today, you’re paying into a program that’s going to be there. Anybody that’s for the status quo with Social Security today is involved with a monstrous lie to our kids, and it’s not right.” — — Rick Perry

“Our nominee has to be someone who isn’t committed to abolishing Social Security, but who’s committed to saving Social Security.” — Mitt Romney

“I kind of feel like the piñata here at the party.” — Rick Perry said midway through the debate

    • FACTBOX-Romney, Perry spar at Republican debate: Republican presidential hopeful Texas Governor Rick Perry and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney sparred over who did a better job at promoting employment in a testy exchange at a debate on Wednesday night.
      Since entering the race just weeks ago to unseat Democratic President Barack Obama, Perry has knocked Romney off his front-runner perch and is now leading in the polls…. – Reuters, 9-7-11
    • Governor Perry comes out swinging at debate: Texas Governor Rick Perry came out swinging in his national debut on Wednesday, all but calling President Barack Obama a liar, describing Social Security as a fraud and attacking his main Republican rival in the presidential race.
      Perry, a conservative Tea Party favorite and the Republican front-runner, traded barbs with closest competitor Mitt Romney over who has created more jobs.
      Their testy exchange in Perry’s first presidential debate was proof that the fight to determine the 2012 Republican challenger to Democrat Obama is becoming a two-man contest…. – Reuters, 9-7-11
    • Romney, Perry spar over jobs, Social Security: Eager to tangle, Republican presidential rivals Rick Perry and Mitt Romney sparred vigorously over job creation and Social Security Wednesday night in a lively campaign debate that marked a new turn in the race to pick a 2012 challenger to President Barack Obama…. – AP, 9-7-11
    • Romney and Perry Clash, Drawing Lines in G.O.P. Sand: The fight for the Republican presidential nomination began narrowing into an intense and ideological battle at a debate here Wednesday night, with Gov. Rick Perry of Texas and Mitt Romney sharply clashing over Social Security, health care and each other’s long-term prospect against President Obama.
      A series of spirited exchanges between the two men, which revealed differences in substance and style, offered the first extensive look into the months-long contest ahead that will offer Republican voters a starkly different choice. They traded attacks on each other’s job creation records and qualifications to be president, overshadowing their opponents in the crowded Republican field…. – NYT, 9-7-11
    • Panelists, GOP rivals target Perry from outset of debate: Texas Gov. Rick Perry got a rugged baptism to the Republican presidential race Wednesday as both his opponents and the panelists of a debate here pitched pointed questions to Perry about his 10-year record and views expressed in his 2010 book.
      Moderators and candidates gathered at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library made up for lost time, delving into Perry’s “Texas Miracle,” record on the death penalty and skepticism about climate change. By the debate’s conclusion, the back and forth revealed what was turning into a two-candidate race between Perry and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney…. – USA Today, 9-7-11
    • Front-runner Rick Perry plays the ‘piñata’ at GOP presidential debate: In his first presidential debate since entering the GOP field, Texas Gov. Rick Perry took most of the barbs from his fellow candidates on issues ranging from Social Security to jobs…. – CS Monitor, 9-7-11
    • Perry, Romney spar over job creation, Social Security: Debate newcomer Texas Gov. Rick Perry and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney clashed over their job creation records, health care and Social Security at the Republican presidential debate Wednesday night. … – CNN, 9-7-11
    • Perry, Romney square off in Reagan Library debate: Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, the two front-runners, spar over their job creation records. Michele Bachmann, Jon Huntsman and other GOP candidates seem almost relegated to the sidelines. GOP presidential candidates debate at the Reagan Presidential Library…. – LAT, 9-7-11
    • Rick Perry shows aggressive style in his first GOP debate: Texas Gov. Rick Perry has a reputation for running aggressive campaigns designed to keep the focus on his opponents rather than himself. In his opening debate as a presidential candidate, he followed that script from start to finish.
      Midway through Wednesday’s forum at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library, Perry joked, “I kind of feel like a piñata here at the party.” It was an acknowledgement that as the new leader in the polls for the GOP nomination, Perry drew more attacks and more critical questions than any of the other candidates.
      But he did as much to stick his rivals as they did to him. He went after the other candidates with relish, whether in response to their criticisms or preemptively. He stood by some of his most controversial statements, including his view that Social Security is a “monstrosity.” At other times, he slipped past questions calling into question his record in Texas.
      Many of his exchanges were with former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, the erstwhile front-runner for the GOP nomination until Perry got into the race last month. That produced a Romney who was more animated than in the first three debates, creating the impression that, for now, the Perry vs. Romney dynamic is the dominant theme of the Republican nomination contest.
      Polls have shown that Perry and Romney are well ahead of any of the others in the race. But it took Wednesday’s debate — preceded by questions about Perry’s staying power and preparation for a national race, and about Romney’s ability to respond to a serious Republican rival — to demonstrate that both candidates are ready to battle it out for the foreseeable future…. – WaPo, 9-7-11
    • Perry clashes with Romney in debate: Gov. Rick Perry tangled often with his chief rival for the Republican presidential nomination Wednesday, clashing with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney over Social Security and jobs in Perry’s first presidential debate.
      As the newest entrant to the race and the person sitting atop national polls, Perry was the central character in Wednesday’s nationally televised debate from Ronald Reagan’s presidential library, the first of three such contests this month. Questioners and opponents repeatedly zeroed in on his Texas record, his book and some of the most provocative statements from his young candidacy…. – Austin American-Statesman, 9-7-11
    • Perry swings, Romney sings, as GOP frontrunners face off in first debate: Rick Perry proved one thing in his first debate appearance since joining the Republican presidential nomination race: He takes no guff.
      Despite the “Southern gentleman” veneer in which he occasionally couched his barbs, the Texas Governor shot at nearly anything that moved on stage at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in California.
      He called Social Security, which remains a financial lifeline for millions of seniors, a “Ponzi scheme” and “monstrous lie” visited on younger Americans who will be left holding the bag.
      He called Karl Rove, the former George W. Bush adviser who had criticized some of Mr. Perry’s earlier comments as unpresidential, “over the top for a long time.”
      “Maybe it’s time to have provocative language in this country,” Mr. Perry retorted after Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor and Mr. Perry’s chief rival for the nomination, challenged him on his characterization of Social Security…. – Globe & Mail, 9-7-11
    • Reagan debate reactions come quickly on Twitter: If you’d kept up with Wednesday’s GOP presidential debate only by Twitter, you could have easily thought Mitt Romney and Rick Perry were the only candidates on stage and their other six rivals for the Republican presidential nomination had decided to stay home.
      The clash between the two over jobs that kicked off the NBC News/POLITICO debate was an instant Twitter hit, making the phrase “Romney and Perry” a top Twitter trend.
      But it didn’t take long for users to grow weary of the back-and-forth between the two rivals standing next to each other on the debate stage at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, Calif…. – Politico, 9-7-11
    • GOP debate: Biggest winner, loser and missed opportunity: Biggest Missed Opportunity: Rick Perry. He needed to explain what he means when he calls Social Security a Ponzi scheme. Does he want to repeal it? Change it? We still don’t know. Biggest winner: Mitt Romney. Looked and sounded presidential. … – LAT, 9-7-11

PERRY: Well, Governor Romney left the private sector, and he did a great job of creating jobs in the private sector all around the world. But the fact is, when he moved that experience to government, he had one of the lowest job creation rates in the country. So the fact is, while he had a good private-sector record, his public-sector record did not match that. As a matter of fact, we created more jobs in the last three months in Texas than he created in four years in Massachusetts.

WILLIAMS: Well, let’s widen this out and let’s bring in Mr. (Herman) Cain on one side.

ROMNEY: Wait a second. … Listen, wait a second.

WILLIAMS: We could do this all evening.

ROMNEY: States are different. Texas is a great state. Texas has zero income tax. Texas has a right-to-work state, a Republican legislature, a Republican Supreme Court. Texas has a lot of oil and gas in the ground.
Those are wonderful things, but Governor Perry doesn’t believe that he created those things. If he tried to say that, well, it would be like Al Gore saying he invented the Internet.

ROMNEY: Look, the reality is, there are differences. There are differences between states. I came into a state that was in real trouble — a huge budget gap, losing jobs every month. We turned it around. Three out of four years, we had unemployment rate below the national average, we ended up with 4.7 percent unemployment rate. I’m proud of what we were able to do in a tough situation.

PERRY: (Former Massachusetts Governor) Michael Dukakis created jobs three times faster than you did, Mitt.

ROMNEY: Well, as a matter of fact, George Bush and his predecessor created jobs at a faster rate than you did, Governor.

PERRY: That’s not correct.

ROMNEY: Yes, that is correct.

THE HEADLINES: WEEKLY RECAP

  • Live Blog: Republicans Meet in Florida for Tea Party Debate: Just days after a debate in California, the eight Republican presidential candidates will square off again tonight at a forum in Tampa…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • Perry Wears a Bull’s-Eye at G.O.P. Debate: The presidential candidates aggressively confronted Gov. Rick Perry and pressed him to expound upon his views on Social Security and a vaccination program for teenage girls…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • As Perry Rises, G.O.P. Elite Look Toward Romney: The rising presidential candidacy of Gov. Rick Perry of Texas is stirring excitement for many Republican voters but is creating unease in some quarters of the party’s establishment…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • Pawlenty Endorses Romney: Tim Pawlenty, who dropped out of the race last month, endorses Mitt Romney’s candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • Jindal to Endorse Perry: Gov. Bobby Jindal of Louisiana has decided to back Gov. Rick Perry in the Republican primary…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • Perry’s Tone on Social Security Takes a Turn: Rick Perry, once highly critical of Social Security, now suggests its long-term viability must be assured…. – NYT, 9-12-11
  • Florida set for big role in GOP presidential race: Florida is much larger, diverse and expensive than the other four early-voting states, he said, and so it rewards the type of campaigning a Republican must do around the country to oust President Barack Obama in November 2012. … – AP, 9-11-11
  • Democrats Fret Aloud Over Obama’s Chances: Elected officials and party leaders at all levels said that their concern about President Obama’s vulnerability in 2012 has intensified as the economy has displayed fresh signs of weakness…. – NYT, 9-10-11
  • Obama campaign sets $55M fundraising goal: President Barack Obama’s campaign team told top donors Friday they hope to raise a combined $55 million during a three-month period ending in late September, warning of an impending fundraising onslaught from Republican presidential hopefuls Rick Perry and Mitt Romney…. – AP, 9-9-11
  • Romney and Perry Assume Contrasting Republican Brands: The performances of Mitt Romney and Rick Perry at Wednesday’s Republican debate were a kind of lesson in the different paths that might lead to the White House…. – NYT, 9-9-11
  • Romney and Perry clash over Social Security: A growing divide over Social Security splits the two leading contenders for the Republican presidential nomination, and the differences between Texas Gov. Rick Perry and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney foreshadow a tricky political dance with older voters.
    Romney has seized on what he perceives as Perry’s vulnerability on a program that seniors hold dear, Democrats venerate as sacrosanct and Perry has labeled a “Ponzi scheme.”… – AP, 9-9-11
  • Attacking the Democrats, but Not Always Getting It Right: The Republican presidential candidates’ arguments ran into factual hurdles during the debate on Wednesday night…. – NYT, 9-8-11
  • Electability a Primary Liability for Perry: Gov. Rick Perry’s remarks about Social Security may play into concerns about his appeal to general election voters…. – NYT, 9-8-11
  • Grist for Left and Right in Perry Immigration Record: As Gov. Rick Perry edges into front-runner status for the Republican presidential nomination, his opponents are trying to plant seeds of doubt about how tough he has been on illegal immigration…. – NYT, 9-8-11
  • Fresh Off Debate Debut, Perry Turns Down the Heat: Gov. Rick Perry was less critical in his assessment of his Republican rivals the day after they met for a debate, focusing his attacks on President Obama instead…. – NYT, 9-8-11
  • Scenes From the Republican Candidates’ Debate: Readers respond to coverage of the Republican presidential candidates’ debate on Wednesday…. – NYT, 9-8-11
  • Bachmann: Even if Obama gets jobs plan, it’ll fail: Republican presidential contender Michele Bachmann is criticizing President Barack Obama’s plan to create jobs. She says Obama’s approach amounts to more “failed gimmicks.” The Minnesota congresswoman says the plan Obama outlined … – AP, 9-8-11
  • It’s Romney-Perry now, with plenty of differences: As Rick Perry and Mitt Romney jockey over their ability to defeat President Barack Obama, there are deepening fault lines between the two on Social Security, immigration, jobs and more that could shape the contest…. – AP, 9-8-11
  • Analysis: GOP debate raises jobs pressure on Obama: President Barack Obama, already under pressure to present a compelling new job-expansion strategy in his nationwide address Thursday, will now feel even more urgency. The California forum Wednesday night covered several topics, but above all it helped … – AP, 9-8-11
  • GOP rivals gang up on Romney over health care law: The “individual mandate” component of President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul is one of its most controversial. At Wednesday night’s Republican debate, Texas Gov. Rick Perry said Romney’s plan is a bad example for the rest of the nation…. – AP, 9-7-11
  • Romney and Perry jab at each other on job records: Romney says that as governor of Massachusetts, he oversaw more jobs created in his state than President Barack Obama has overseen nationwide. Perry sniped back that another former Massachusetts governor, Democrat Michael Dukakis, created jobs three … – AP, 9-7-11
  • GOP debate features first appearance for Perry: Republicans competing for the chance to challenge President Barack Obama next fall were taking the stage one day before the incumbent Democrat rolls out a jobs-creation plan. It’s the first of three Republican presidential debates scheduled over…. – AP, 9-7-11
  • Perry leaves Texas wildfires, heads to GOP debate: President Barack Obama rejected Texas’ request in April for federal aid due to wildfires, but then declared 45 fire-ravaged counties a major disaster in July, after Perry wrote to the White House to appeal the previous decision. … – AP, 9-7-11
  • Texas wildfires: Is Rick Perry being hypocritical asking for federal aid?: Texas wildfires are forcing Gov. Rick Perry to walk a philosophical tightrope. A strong advocate for a smaller federal government, he’s chiding the Obama administration for not helping more during the Texas wildfires…. – CS Monitor, 9-7-11
  • Ron Paul versus Rick Perry: Who is Ronald Reagan’s true heir?: Rep. Ron Paul and Texas Gov. Rick Perry have been trading barbs, with both talking about allegiance to Ronald Reagan. Their arguments take a few liberties…. – CS Monitor, 9-7-11
  • Republicans Debate in California as Race Intensifies: The debate was the first time the Republican contenders shared a stage since Gov. Rick Perry opened his campaign in August…. – NYT, 9-7-11
  • G.O.P. Hopefuls Vying for Tea Party’s Support: The leading Republican presidential candidates spent Labor Day declaring their fealty to limited government as they strongly criticized President Obama’s economic policies…. – NYT, 9-6-11
  • Romney unveils economic plan ahead of Obama speech: Romney also accused President Barack Obama of expanding federal regulations. Romney’s new plan calls on government agencies to make sure that new regulations don’t cost money — if a new set of rules raises costs for businesses, Romney would require … – AP, 9-6-11
  • Mitt Romney jobs plan: Can it create 11 million jobs in four years?: Romney’s plan includes tax cuts, reduced regulation, and an emphasis on expanded free trade. But creating 11 million new jobs would require many things to go just right, economists say…. – CS Monitor, 9-6-11
  • A Campaign Challenge: Defining Obama: While the president will not directly confront the Republican nominee until 2012, his advisers believe that the next three months are critical to reversing his downward trajectory…. – NYT, 9-6-11
  • Super PAC Plans Major Primary Campaign for Rick Perry: Make Us Great Again plans to spend as much as $55 million to help Rick Perry win the Republican presidential nomination…. – NYT, 9-6-11
  • Is Michele Bachmann’s campaign in danger?: Her campaign manager, Ed Rollins, and deputy campaign manager, David Polyansky, moved on to other duties over the weekend. Is presidential hopeful Michele Bachmann the new Newt Gingrich?… – NYT, 9-6-11
  • Loss of Top Two Aides Raises Questions About Bachmann Campaign: The departure of Ed Rollins and his deputy was seen by some as evidence that Michele Bachmann’s campaign was at a critical juncture…. – NYT, 9-6-11
  • Bachmann’s Steep Path to the Nomination: Michele Bachmann faces many potential obstacles to the Republican presidential nomination…. – NYT, 9-6-11
  • Pataki Says He Is Content to Be a Noncandidate: The former governor said he had no regrets about deciding not to make a run for president, a notion that some people in the political world had mocked….- NYT, 9-6-11
  • G.O.P. Hopefuls Vying for Tea Party’s Support: The leading Republican presidential candidates spent Labor Day declaring their fealty to limited government as they strongly criticized President Obama’s economic policies…. – NYT, 9-5-11
  • GOP candidates in SC vow to carry tea-party banner: Mitt Romney says the Obama administration flaunted the constitution to push a political agenda. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota calls Obama’s policies “unconstitutional.” And Texas Gov. Rick Perry says he has a better record on jobs than Obama. … – AP, 9-5-11
  • Still undecided, Palin rails against Obama: Sarah Palin left open the possibility of a presidential bid Monday afternoon, while encouraging tea party activists to unite against President Obama. And the former Alaska governor praised Republican presidential candidates…. – AP, 9-5-11
  • Their Optimism Rising, G.O.P. Voters Look for a Winner: In interviews in New Hampshire and Iowa, Republicans expressed a sense of possibility and a longing for a strong conservative leader…. – NYT, 9-5-11
  • Republican Candidates Turn Attacks on One Another: The Republican field is entering a pivotal stage as candidates increasingly move beyond criticizing President Obama and start to run against each other…. – NYT, 9-4-11

HOUSE — SENATE — GOVERNORSHIPS CANMPAIGNS & ELECTIONS

  • Democratic US Rep. Baldwin joins Wis. Senate race: Republicans are sure to go after Baldwin’s liberal voting record, hoping to sway independent and moderate voters their way in a state that has swung between handing President Barack Obama a 14-point win in 2008 and kicking Democrats out of power…. – AP, 9-5-11

CAMPAIGN 2012: ANALYSTS &S HISTORIANS COMMENTS

    • Politico Arena: Daily Debate with Policymakers, Opinionshapers & Academics Politico
    • Julian Zelizer: If Obama Is a One-Term President: “I’D rather be a really good one-term president than a mediocre two-term president,” President Obama confessed to ABC News’ Diane Sawyer last year. Other than the “really good” part, Republicans would be happy to see this wish fulfilled.
      With waning approval ratings and a stagnant economy, the possibility that Mr. Obama will not be re-elected has entered the political bloodstream. Suddenly, the opposition party envisions a scenario in which its presidential candidate could defeat Mr. Obama in a referendum on his job performance. Mr. Obama needs to think hard about his own statement and consider what it takes to be a successful one-term president, in the light of history…. – NYT, 9-11-11
    • Thomas F. Mayer: Historian Says Perry Misses Point on Galileo and Climate Change: “If Perry means to say that at some point some body of scientists said Galileo was wrong, that didn’t happen,” said the historian, Thomas F. Mayer, who teaches at Augustana College in Rock Island, Ill.
      Galileo and Copernicus were long ago proved right, but even in Galileo’s day there were scientists who supported him, Dr. Mayer said. “His notions about science were not that far out there,” he said. “There were a lot of other scientists, especially in Rome, who more or less agreed with his scientific observations.”… – NYT, 9-8-11
    • LARRY J. SABATO: The 2012 Election Will Come Down to Seven States National polls are nice, but Electoral College math is what matters: Straw polls, real polls, debates, caucuses, primaries—that’s the public side of presidential campaigns 14 months before Election Day. But behind the scenes, strategists for President Obama and his major Republican opponents are already focused like a laser on the Electoral College.
      The emerging general election contest gives every sign of being highly competitive, unlike 2008. Of course, things can change: Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton were both in trouble at this point in their first terms, and George H.W. Bush still looked safe. Unexpectedly strong economic growth could make Mr. Obama’s re-election path much easier than it currently looks, as could the nomination of a damaged Republican candidate. But a few more weeks like the past couple, and Mr. Obama’s re-election trajectory will resemble Jimmy Carter’s.
      Both parties are sensibly planning for a close election. For all the talk about how Hispanics or young people will vote, the private chatter is about a few vital swing states. It’s always the Electoral College math that matters most.
      Voting is predictable for well over half the states, so even 14 months out it’s easy to shade in most of the map for November 2012….
      Right now, though, a troubled President Obama—so far unopposed for re-nomination—has the luxury of keeping both eyes on the Electoral College, planning his trips and policies accordingly. By contrast, the leading Republican contenders are forced to focus their gaze on delegate votes in a handful of early-voting states such as Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. Still, quietly they’re already seeking admission to the only college that can give them the job they want. – WSJ, 9-6-11

It’s hard to remember the last time a time a presidential candidate joined a race relatively this late in the game and made this much of an impact. Part of it is based on Perry’s style, his affinity for Tea Party causes, and his record as governor, in which he boasts of unparalleled job creation and growth. But part of it has always been the fragile status of the previous leader in the polls, Mitt Romney. A former governor of Massachusetts, Romney was thought to have the upper hand because of his fundraising advantage, strong organization and the fact that he had run once before; he was an also-ran in 2008. — Kem Rudin, NPR

  • The GOP Race Begins Now: Ignore all that other stuff. Yes, we’ve had months and months of non-stop activity by the Republicans who would like to take on President Obama next year. We’ve had a few debates, a bunch of straw polls, campaign finance reports, visits to the early primary and caucus states, some almost candidacies and even a major dropout.
    But now the battle for the GOP nomination starts in earnest, beginning this Wednesday with the debate at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, Calif. (sponsored by Politico and NBC News; 8 pm ET)…. – NPR, 9-5-11

Campaign Recap September 3, 2011: Sarah Palin Addresses the “Restoring America” Tea Party of America Rally in Indianola, Iowa — Hints at Indecision in Presidential Bid

CAMPAIGN 2012

By Bonnie K. Goodman

Ms. Goodman is the Editor of History Musings. She has a BA in History & Art History & a Masters in Library and Information Studies from McGill University, and has done graduate work in history at Concordia University. Ms. Goodman has also contributed the overviews, and chronologies in History of American Presidential Elections, 1789-2008, 4th edition, edited by Gil Troy, Fred L. Israel, and Arthur Meier Schlesinger to be published by Facts on File, Inc. in late 2011.

CAMPAIGN BUZZ 2012

Sarah Palin spoke before a Tea Party rally in Indianola, Iowa, on Saturday.
Jim Young/Reuters Sarah Palin spoke at a Tea Party rally in Indianola, Iowa, on Saturday.

STATS & POLLS

Republican Presidential Candidates: Primaries 2012 — NYT

Democratic Nominee 2012: President Barack Obama’s Official Reelection Campaign Website — BarackObama.com

Republican National Committee

Democratic National Committee

    • Gallup Poll: Election 2012 — Track GOP Contender’s Images Week by Week — Generic Ballot Gallup
    • Gallup: Presidential Job Approval Gallup
    • Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval: Each result is based on a three-day rolling average Gallup
    • Poll Watch: Polls and Related Articles From The New York Times NYT

“At the end of the day, the rules usually prevail. I don’t know any candidate that makes the race into the one they want. Once she gets in, she becomes like every other candidate.” — Former New Hampshire Atty. Gen. Tom Rath, a Mitt Romney advisor

“I don’t think she would burrow in in any one state. The one thing about Sarah Palin which is impressive is she does it her way. She doesn’t follow orthodoxy. I think she is a much more gifted politician than people give her credit for.” — A close advisor to a top-tier Republican candidate

“I think she’s still a star. If you look at what’s happened in this race so far, you’ve had a series of candidates show up on the stage relatively unknown outside their home states and catapult to the top, so that leads me to think there is room for somebody else.” — Sara Fagen, who was political director for President George W. Bush

  • Palin and a real presidential run: Strategists say she could be a force in the race, at least initially, but polls suggest her indecisiveness may have turned off many Republican voters… – LAT, 9-3-11

POLITICAL QUOTES & SPEECHES

Mitt Romney: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts mittromney.com

Rick Perry: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts rickperry.org

Ron Paul: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ronpaul2012.com

Herman Cain: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts hermancain.com

Michele Bachmann: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts michelebachmann.com

Newt Gingrich: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts newt.org

Jon Huntsman: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts jon2012.com

Rick Santorum: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ricksantorum.com

“Republicans have to nominate someone better than the person they want to defeat. If they get so adamant that they will only support a candidate that believes everything on their checklist, they will re-elect Obama.” — Mike Huckabee, a former Arkansas governor and a 2008 Republican presidential hopeful.

IN FOCUS: SARAH PALIN ADDRESSES IOWA TEA PARTY RALLY

Just look what happened during the debt-ceiling debate. We’d been given warning after warning that our credit rating would be downgraded if politicians didn’t get serious about tackling the debt and deficit problem. But instead of making the real cuts that are necessary, they used Enron-like accounting gimmicks, and they promised that if they were just allowed to spend trillions more today, they’d cut billions ten years from now. By some magical thinking, they figured they could run up trillion dollar deficits year after year, yet still somehow avoid the unforgiving mathematics that led to the downgrade. Well, they got a rude awakening from the rest of the world, and that’s that even America isn’t “too big to fail.”
When we finally did get slapped with that inevitable downgraded, the politicians and the pundits turned around and blamed us – independent commonsense conservatives. We got blamed! They called us un-American and terrorists and suicide bombers and…hobbits…couldn’t understand that one.
And what is the President’s answer to this enormous debt problem? It’s just spend more money. Only you can’t call it “spending” now. Now you got to call it “investing.” Don’t call it “spending.” Call it “investing.” It’s kind of like what happens with FEMA and some of these other bureaucratic agencies that don’t really want to refer to our centralized federal government as “government.” Now it’s called the “federal family.” Am I too old to ask to be emancipated? Never thought I’d say it, but I want a divorce. — Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin

Governor Palin’s Speech at the “Restoring America” Tea Party of America Rally in Indianola, Iowa (Video and Transcript) Sarah Pac, 9-3-11

AUDIO: Sarah Palin’s speech 40 min Download Mp3

    • Palin Rails Against ‘Crony Capitalism’ and ‘Career Politicians': Sarah Palin did not say whether she would seek the Republican presidential nomination, but she made clear during a speech here on Saturday that she has no intentions of simply falling into line behind one of the party’s leading candidates. At times she sounded like a candidate. At times she did not.
      But in a 40-minute speech before a Tea Party rally here, which was one of her most expansive addresses since she accepted the Republican vice presidential nomination three years ago, she railed against “crony capitalism” in both parties. She suggested that the “permanent political class” — Republicans, too — needed to be rattled…. – NYT, 9-3-11
    • Palin Appearance in Iowa Leaves Supporters Exhorting Her to Run: Sarah Palin, looking and sounding like a presidential candidate at a Tea Party rally in Iowa, left chanting supporters without saying if she will make a run for the White House next year. … – Bloomberg, 9-3-11

“There is a name for this. It’s called corporate crony capitalism. It’s not the capitalism of free men and free markets, of innovation and hard work and ethics, of sacrifice and of risk. No, this is the capitalism of connections and government bailouts and handouts . . . and influence peddling and corporate welfare.” — Sarah Palin

    • Sarah Palin, in Iowa, attacks Obama and ‘crony capitalism': Sarah Palin delivered a populist broadside here Saturday against President Obama, the entire political establishment and what she called the “crony capitalism” that she said is destroying the country. But she offered no fresh clues about whether she will seek the presidency in 2012.
      Casting herself as the ultimate outsider, the former Alaska governor used a tea party rally to chastise the president and a “permanent political class” that she said has protected their powers and enriched them, their friends and their contributors at the expense of ordinary Americans and the country’s well-being….
      Palin has said she will announce by the end of this month whether she will join the race for the White House in 2012. On Friday night, she told reporters “there’s room for more” candidates in the GOP field and when she arrived to greet supporters at a local restaurant, she was greeted with chants of “Run, Sarah, run.”… – WaPo, 9-3-11
    • Sarah Palin speaks like a candidate but keeps them guessing: Appearing in Iowa, she lambastes ‘crony capitalism,’ President Obama and career politicians but insists she hasn’t decided whether to seek the Republican nomination…. – LAT, 9-3-11
    • Palin still undecided on White House run: Alaska Republican Sarah Palin is still pondering whether to seek the White House, she said in a brief interview this afternoon. Palin didn’t say anything definitive in a 40-minute speech in Iowa today.
      When The Des Moines Register caught up with her at the rope line afterward, she shrugged when asked if late September is still a good timeline for a decision one way or the other.
      “I’m still not ready to make any kind of an announcement,” Palin said as she signed a handgun for an NRA benefit with a silver paint marker. “I’m still trying to figure it out, if it’s the right thing to do.”
      In her speech, Palin said the challenge is not simply to replace President Barack Obama in 2012, “it’s who and what we will replace him with,” a feisty Sarah Palin told a crowd in Iowa this afternoon…. – USA Today, 9-3-11
    • Palin: Words against Obama, mum on her plans: Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin had a lot to say today about America’s future under Barack Obama, but little about her own.
      Cheers of “Run, Sarah, run” greeted Palin at a Tea Party rally in Indianola, Iowa Saturday, but in her speech the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee didn’t give any indication whether she’s going to jump into the 2012 presidential race.
      Palin has kept Republicans guessing for months whether she would enter the race; many expect no decision from her until late September…. – CBS News, 9-4-11

“Folks, you know that it’s not enough to just change up the uniform. If we don’t change the team and the game plan we won’t save our country.” — Srah Palin

    • Over 2000 gather on rainy Saturday to see Palin: Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin blasted the country’s “permanent political class” and their “crony capitalism” — and while Palin did not use this afternoon’s speech in Iowa to jump into the presidential race herself, she did warn voters to survey the rhetoric and records of the current 2012 president candidates of her own party.
      Palin spoke for 40 minutes and spent a good chunk of her address outlining what she said were her own “real solutions” to the country’s economic problems. “My plan is a bona fide pro-workin’ man’s plan and it deals in reality,” she said. “It deals in the way the world really works.”… – Radio Iowa, 9-3-11
    • Palin positions herself as populist outsider in Iowa speech: Sarah Palin took sharp aim at President Barack Obama and at least one of her potential Republican rivals Saturday at a rain-soaked tea party rally in Iowa, the state that will open the GOP nomination fight early next year. … – CNN, 9-3-11
    • Palin has harsh words for Obama to tea party crowd: Cheers of “Run Sarah, Run” greeted Sarah Palin at a tea party rally in Iowa, but the former Alaska governor still isn’t saying whether she’s going to jump into the 2012 presidential race. … – Forbes, 9-3-11
    • Sarah Palin slams Republicans, Obama in Iowa speech: Former Alaska governor Sarah Palin kept political pundits guessing Saturday, delivering a fiery speech to supporters in which she took direct aim at President Obama and Capitol Hill lawmakers…. – The State Column, 9-3-11

“I’m happy with the field of candidates. I think that there’s room for more, though, because a spirited debate and more competition will allow for an even better discourse and a more rigorous discourse that the public deserves.” — Sarah Palin

  • Palin Says ‘There’s Room for More': Sarah Palin arrived here on Friday evening to greet passionate supporters who traveled from across Iowa and the around the nation to hear her deliver a weekend speech that could offer an indication of whether she intends to join the Republican presidential race…. – NYT, 9-4-11

THE HEADLINES: WEEKLY RECAP

    • Republican Candidates Turn Attacks on One Another: The Republican field is entering a pivotal stage as candidates increasingly move beyond criticizing President Obama and start to run against each other…. – NYT, 9-4-11

“The tea party isn’t a diversion from mainstream Republican thought. It is within mainstream Republican thought…. I haven’t spent my whole life in politics,. As a matter of fact, of the people running for office, I don’t know that there are many that have less years in politics than me.” — Mitt Romney

    • Tea party forcefully shaping 2012 GOP race: The tea party is forcefully shaping the race for the 2012 GOP presidential nomination as candidates parrot the movement’s language and promote its agenda while jostling to win its favor.
      That’s much to the delight of Democrats who are working to paint the tea party and the eventual Republican nominee as extreme…. – AP, 9-4-11
    • Tough economic climate as Obama seeks 2nd term: President Barack Obama faces a long re-election campaign having all but given up on the economy rebounding in any meaningful way before November 2012. His own budget office predicts unemployment will stay at about 9 percent…. – AP, 9-4-11

Politicians “typically don’t take strong positions. They are largely biographical and usually not specific at all. It is unusual”but we are in an unusual moment.” — Adam Bellow, editorial director of Broadside Books, a division of HarperCollins Publishers, who edited Sarah Palin’s two books

“No one can argue that Social Security isn’t broken. The goal was to put these issues on the table and ensure they’re addressed.” — Campaign spokesman Mark Miner

“Like a bad disease. By far the best example of this is Social Security.” The program “is something we have been forced to accept for more than 70 years now.” — Rick Perry in “Fed Up!” on how New Deal-era initiatives have spread

    • Perry’s fiery ‘Fed Up!’ may come back to haunt him: Maybe Rick Perry’s not so “Fed Up!” after all. Just nine months ago, the Texas governor released a rhetorical bomb-throwing book under that title. He dismissed Social Security as a New Deal relic that smacked of socialism. He said states’ rights trump all else. He suggested that the Supreme Court’s nine unelected “oligarchs in robes” could have their rulings overturned by two-thirds votes in both houses of Congress.
      Now that the Republican is running for president, his campaign has begun distancing itself from some of the candidate’s own words on issues such as Social Security and states’ rights.
      Pulling back won’t be easy because “Fed Up! Our Fight to Save America From Washington” is anything but the nuanced list of general positions that fills the pages of most presidential candidates’ books…. – AP, 9-3-11
    • Perry’s fiery ‘Fed Up!’ may come back to haunt him: A vote for such a candidate in a primary would be seen as a vote for Obama in the general.” Already, Perry has pulled back from his unequivocal position on states’ rights. In “Fed Up!” he writes, “If you don’t support the death penalty and citizens … – AP, 9-3-11
    • Perry’s Book Gives Rivals Ammunition: In a book he wrote less than a year ago, Rick Perry calls Social Security a “failure” that should never have been enacted…. – NYT, 9-3-11
    • On the Trail in New Hampshire, Perry Focuses on Jobs: In a speech at a campaign stop Saturday afternoon, Mr. Perry said he personally would save the country by limiting the role of the federal government and by creating jobs…. – NYT, 9-3-11
    • Palin Rails Against ‘Crony Capitalism’ and ‘Career Politicians': On Saturday, Sarah Palin did not say whether she would seek the Republican presidential nomination, but she made clear that she has no intentions of simply falling into line behind one of the party’s leading candidates…. – NYT, 9-3-11
    • Sarah Palin wows a tea party crowd in Iowa. But will she run?: In a rain-dampened Iowa field Saturday, Sarah Palin titillated the tea party faithful who chanted “Run, Sarah, Run.” She gave a full-throated presidential stump speech, even if there is as yet no official stump…. – CS Monitor, 9-3-11
    • Perry’s Blunt Views in Books Get New Scrutiny as He Joins Race: When Rick Perry, the governor of Texas and a presidential hopeful, debates his rivals, his assertions on climate change, Social Security and health care could put him to the test…. – NYT, 9-3-11
    • As race ramps up, GOP asks if Perry can stay atop: The Republican race for the White House is about to accelerate dramatically, with a series of debates and events testing whether Rick Perry has staying power and Mitt Romney can keep focusing on the president instead of his GOP rivals.
      September also may settle the field for good, with Sarah Palin perhaps deciding at last whether to run…. – AP, 9-3-11

“For the Democratic party to be defined by race means that it’s politically marginalized.” — Merle Black, an Emory University political science professor and author of “The Rise of Southern Republicans.”

    • Is Election 2012 the GOP’s to lose? What Obama could do: President Obama could face reelection at a time of 9 percent unemployment. But Election 2012 is not a slam dunk for the GOP, analysts say. Obama has ways to counter the bad news…. – CS Monitor, 9-3-11
    • New district puts Southern white Dem in tough spot: Can white Democrats chart a course back in the Deep South — Georgia, Mississippi. Alabama, Louisiana and South Carolina — where they were once as plentiful as sweet tea on a hot summer day? Or will the party that once dominated the Bible Belt become reliant almost exclusively on black urban voters, leaving the region even more racially polarized?…. – AP, 9-3-11
    • Palin Says ‘There’s Room for More': The former Alaska governor is traveling in Iowa and New Hampshire this weekend, but is not expected to make her campaign intentions clear until the month’s end…. – NYT, 9-2-11
    • Palin greets supporters at Iowa restaurant: Sarah Palin made a surprise appearance at a suburban Des Moines restaurant Friday evening on the eve of a speech in the leadoff caucus state that is being closely watched for signals of whether she plans to run for president.
      The former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican nominee for vice president was greeted at the Iowa Machine Shed restaurant Friday night with chants of “Run, Sarah, run!” as she made her way through hundreds of fans…. – AP, 9-2-11
    • Facing voter discontent, lawmakers skip town halls: According to CQ-Roll Call, which kept a count, lawmakers held just over 500 town halls this summer compared to more than 650 in 2009 when the rancor over President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul turned some events into shouting matches. … – AP, 9- 2-11

“He’s the anti-circus, anti-carnival candidate.” — John Weaver, Huntsman’s senior strategist, said of the newfound strategy.

    • Struggling Huntsman tries to turn around bid: Meet Jon Huntsman — Mr. Mainstream. It’s been downhill since the day he announced his White House candidacy. His official presidential coming-out tour was riddled with mistakes, and he’s faced campaign staff turnover. With some moderate views, he has struggled to gain traction with a GOP primary electorate pushed to the right by the tea party. And he’s lost ground in some national polls, eclipsed by Rick Perry, Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann. Now Huntsman’s trying to turn it all around — by painting his opponents as extreme…. – AP, 9-2-11

“What America needs and what I know have come together. I spent my life in business — 25 years in business.” — Mitt Romney

“My actions as governor are helping create jobs in this country.” — Gov. Rick Perry, who spent the last decade as Texas’ chief executive.

    • Romney, Perry wage GOP fight over business records: This intensifying debate between the two over public- and private-sector credentials will help define a GOP nomination fight focused squarely on the economy. The next president — whether it’s President Barack Obama or any number of Republicans trying to unseat him — will be saddled with high unemployment and asked to draw upon his or her job-creation skills on Day One…. – AP, 9-2-11
    • Arizona’s G.O.P. Primary Stays Put, for Now: Gov. Jan Brewer of Arizona decided not to move up her state’s Republican primary, which would have set up a flurry of other changes in the nominating calendar…. – NYT, 9-2-11
    • What’s Sarah Palin going to say in her big speech on Saturday?: Indications are that Sarah Palin will sound increasingly like a presidential candidate at the Iowa tea party rally, with barbs aimed at both GOP rivals and Obama. But a formal declaration is apparently not in the offing…. – CS Monitor, 9-2-11
    • Perry hopes polling surge spurs donors nationally: The test will be whether Perry can transform his lead in some opinion polls into cash — and whether his fundraising skills can compete with Romney, who raised $10 million in one day earlier in the year, or ultimately President Barack Obama…. – AP, 9-2-11

“The president will come forward with a specific proposal that by any objective measure would add to growth and job creation in the short term.” — White House spokesman Jay Carney

    • $1.3T deficit projected as economy cools: The White House on Thursday predicted that unemployment will remain at 9 percent next year, a gloomy scenario for President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign….
      The economy promises to be the leading-edge issue of the 2012 White House sweepstakes, and Obama already is facing a host of Republican rivals challenging his financial policies. No president in modern times has won re-election with unemployment as high as 9 percent, and Obama’s poll numbers have suffered in recent weeks amid a steady drumbeat of bad economic news. – AP, 9-1-11

“I am not going to become an obstacle for this party. I am tendering my resignation.” — Jack Kimball

    • New Hampshire’s Republican state chairman resigns: The chairman of the New Hampshire Republican Party has resigned. Just minutes before the state’s GOP leaders were expected to remove him, Jack Kimball told a packed room of opponents and sign-waving supporters that he was stepping down after just seven months on the job…. – AP, 9-1-11
    • Huntsman Urges Stripping Deductions From Tax Code: Seeking to gain traction in the Republican presidential race, Jon M. Huntsman Jr. called for the tax code to be stripped of all loopholes and deductions…. – NYT, 9-1-11

“I want to put you on notice. We’re going to win this state. We’re going to win this primary.” — Former Utah governor Jon Huntsman at the popular Politics and Eggs discussion series

    • Huntsman sets high expectations amid turbulence: Brushing off bad poll numbers, presidential hopeful Jon Huntsman on Thursday predicted that he’ll win New Hampshire’s Republican primary — even as he acknowledged that his campaign manager for the state had been fired…. – AP, 9-1-11
    • Bachmann draws Thatcher foreign policy comparison: Republican Rep. Michele Bachmann is harkening back to a past woman world leader with firm resolve — former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher — as she tries to convince American veterans that she would make a strong commander in chief. Bachmann shed led light Thursday on her foreign policy views in a speech to the American Legion’s national convention, in her home state of Minnesota. President Barack Obama addressed the convention earlier in the week.
      Bachmann says the world needs to know America has a “strong leader” like Thatcher and her contemporary President Ronald Reagan. She says it would show that the United States won’t “conduct our foreign policy apologetically, such as leading from behind.”… – AP, 9-1-11
    • A Deep Faith in What’s Been Proved: As the presidential campaign begins to heat up, the empirical worldview that Barack Obama embodies is taking a beating…. – NYT, 9-1-11

“America is waiting for the president to make good on this promise,” the former Alaska governor recently posted on Twitter, linking to a video of President Barack Obama pledging to run a transparent government. She set up Saturday’s scheduled visit to Iowa with, “I’ll be talking about this and more.”

    • Palin fuels presidential fire, but at what cost?: Sarah Palin soon will end the will-she-or-won’t-she presidential speculation that has trailed her for two years — and that she has fueled with abandon, perhaps to the detriment of her potential candidacy…. – AP, 9-1-11

“They want to bring it back into the United States and create jobs here in Iowa, all across the country,” . “Wouldn’t the smartest thing to do be to say to all of these companies, ‘Zero repatriation tax?’ ” — Rep. Michele Bachmann while appearing at a tea party rally in Des Moines

    • GOP’s Bachmann touts jobs policy on return to Iowa: Presidential hopeful Michele Bachmann pivoted her focus to jobs and the economy Wednesday during her first campaign appearance in Iowa since winning the leadoff caucus state’s Republican straw poll earlier this month…. – AP, 8-31-11
    • Tea Party Groups to Protest Romney in N.H.: Mitt Romney’s candidacy has exposed divisions within the Tea Party, especially in New Hampshire, where some groups plan to protest his speech in Concord on Sunday…. – NYT, 8-31-11
    • Mitt Romney’s tough call: Court the tea party to counter Perry surge?: With presidential hopeful Rick Perry now leading polls of GOP voters by double digits, Mitt Romney is having to pivot toward the tea party, which is not his natural constituency…. – CS Monitor, 8-31-11
    • Will Arizona Scramble the Republican Primary Calendar?: One of the looming questions for the Republican presidential candidates is this: When will the voting actually begin?…. – NYT, 8-31-11
    • Caucus Video: Job Plans Aplenty From 2012 Candidates; the Debt Committee Begins Work: Looking ahead as President Obama and Republican candidates are set to release their job plans. Also, a visit to Capitol Hill as the committee charged with taming the deficit begins work…. – NYT, 8-31-11
    • Despite Risks, Romney Presses Grim Picture of Obama: Mitt Romney has warned that America is on the brink of “profound economic misery,” under Obama’s leadership…. – NYT, 8-31-11
    • Despite Keys, Obama Is No Lock: A set of data points that help predict presidential election winners may have a good track record, but 2012 could upset the equation…. – NYT, 8-31-11
    • Political parties see uptick in money this year: The country’s two political parties saw an uptick in donations this election cycle, with Democrats enjoying a 22 percent fundraising edge over Republicans ahead of next year’s election, new federal data show.
      Democratic committees, including the party’s national, congressional and Senate panels, raised more than $128 million during the first seven months of this year. That compares with Republicans’ $105 million in contributions as GOP leaders try to counter the cash flow supporting President Barack Obama’s bid for a second term…. – AP, 8-31-11

“The radical environmentalists have demanded that we lock up all our energy resources. President Bachmann will take that key out of the door. I will unlock it.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann

    • FACT CHECK: Bachmann energy claims oversimplified: America’s energy future can’t be unlocked as simply as Republican presidential candidate Michele Bachmann makes it sound when she depicts the nation as the “king daddy dogs” of energy. Even if environmentalists folded and Washington regulators got out of the way, much of the energy is too expensive for companies to develop…. – AP, 8-30-11
    • Irene was ‘act of God.’ What quip says about Michele Bachmann campaign: The Michele Bachmann campaign is calling her quip about God and natural disasters an obvious joke. But the incident sheds some light on her style and resilience as a campaigner…. – CS Monitor, 8-29-11
    • As Republican Candidates Bash Science, Another Call to George Will: Another call for a onetime champion of science to rise to its defense again…. – NYT, 8-29-11

“People are the most important ingredient in life. I love people, and I care deeply that our nation’s economy turns around so they can realize their American dream. This book will help to share my enthusiasm for an energized, pro-growth economy, and the life experiences that inform my optimism for the American people and for American greatness.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann in a statement issued through Sentinel

  • Bachmann memoir coming in November: Michele Bachmann has a book deal. Sentinel, a conservative imprint of Penguin Group (USA), announced Monday that the Republican presidential candidate’s memoir will arrive in November and already has been completed. The book, reports of which first circulated in June, is currently untitled…. – AP, 8-29-11

CAMPAIGN 2012: ANALYSTS &S HISTORIANS COMMENTS

    • Politico Arena: Daily Debate with Policymakers, Opinionshapers & Academics Politico
    • Julian Zelizer: What Bill Clinton could teach GOP: Former President Bill Clinton could teach the Republican Party a thing or two about effective campaign strategy…. – CNN, 9-2-11

“Candidates often have to make tough choices about their religion — whether to talk about it, what to say about it and even what to do about it — such as leaving a church. These tensions are quite strong among Republicans as the presidential nomination contest heats up, partly because of religious disagreements among key constituencies, but partly because of differences in issue priorities — economic versus social issues.” — John Green, director of the Bliss Institute of Applied Politics at the University of Akron, Ohio

“These folks are not professional theologians and, except in a few cases like Huckabee, they haven’t been to seminary. Most of them haven’t had more education about the relationship between Christianity and politics than the average person on the street. While they have their own personal faith, it isn’t usually well informed by history and theology.” — Gary Smith, author of “Faith & the Presidency” and a historian at Grove City College, a Christian school in Pennsylvania

“The voting public no longer believes, as they did as late as the 1950s, that religion was about what you thought and not what you did….
For the first time, we’re not only interested in whether someone is religious, which is essentially a question of, ‘Do you have a morality that the voter can identify with?’ It appears that there’s a significant portion of the electorate that’s interested in what the particular theology of the candidate is. Do they believe in Jesus? If so, what kind of Jesus do you believe in?” — Kathleen Flake, who specializes in American religious history at Vanderbilt University

  • Theology a hot issue in 2012 GOP campaign: It used to be simpler. Protestants were the majority, and candidates could show their piety just by attending church.
    Now, politicians are navigating a landscape in which rifts over faith and policy have become chasms. An outlook that appeals to one group enrages another. Campaigns are desperate to find language generic enough for a broad constituency that also conveys an unshakable faith.
    There is no avoiding the minefield, especially with early primaries in Iowa and South Carolina, where evangelical voters are so influential.
    Nationally, more than 70 percent of Republicans and more than half of Democrats say it’s somewhat or very important that a presidential candidate have very strong religious beliefs, according to the Public Religion Research Institute…. – AP, 9-3-11
  • Allan Lichtman: “Never-Wrong” Pundit Predicts 2012 Win for Obama: History is on President Obama’s side as the 2012 elections approach. And by “history” we mean Allan Lichtman, an American University professor who has gone 7-for-7 at predicting presidential elections since he developed his candidate-picking system roughly two decades ago.
    Lichtman says that based on the 13 criteria he has used to correctly forecast every presidential election since Ronald Reagan’s re-election victory in 1984, Team Obama can rest easy. “Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” Lichtman told US News…. – Slate, 8-31-11
  • Michael Beschloss talks at secret Obama election retreat: Aides to President Barack Obama held a secret strategy retreat where they listened to a history lesson from a presidential scholar about past presidents who could serve as models for Obama’s re-election effort, Time magazine reported.
    Historian Michael Beschloss reportedly gave the team hope with his June presentation about Democrat Franklin Roosevelt and Republican Ronald Reagan, who both won re-election in tough economic times.
    According to Time, Beschloss said the strategies the two presidents used were similar: they both made the case that the economy was improving and that their opponents would make things worse…. – Reuters, 9-1-11

Campaign Recap August 29, 2012: Rick Perry Tops Gallup Poll of Republican Presidential Candidates

CAMPAIGN 2012

By Bonnie K. Goodman

Ms. Goodman is the Editor of History Musings. She has a BA in History & Art History & a Masters in Library and Information Studies from McGill University, and has done graduate work in history at Concordia University. Ms. Goodman has also contributed the overviews, and chronologies in History of American Presidential Elections, 1789-2008, 4th edition, edited by Gil Troy, Fred L. Israel, and Arthur Meier Schlesinger to be published by Facts on File, Inc. in late 2011.

CAMPAIGN BUZZ 2012

Mitt Romney edged out President Obama in a recent Gallup poll that asked voters to say who they would vote for if the 2012 presidential election were held today.  Rick Perry and Obama were tied.

Mitt Romney edged out President Obama in a recent Gallup poll that asked voters to say who they would vote for if the 2012 presidential election were held today. Rick Perry and Obama were tied. (Brian Snyder/Reuters, Carolyn Kaster, Michael Thomas/Associated Press)

STATS & POLLS

Republican Presidential Candidates: Primaries 2012 — NYT

Democratic Nominee 2012: President Barack Obama’s Official Reelection Campaign Website — BarackObama.com

Republican National Committee

Democratic National Committee

  • Gallup Poll: Election 2012 — Track GOP Contender’s Images Week by Week — Generic Ballot Gallup
  • Gallup: Presidential Job Approval Gallup
  • Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval: Each result is based on a three-day rolling average Gallup
  • Poll Watch: Polls and Related Articles From The New York Times NYT
  • AP-GfK Poll: Obama faces trouble with key voters: Whites and women are a re-election problem for President Barack Obama. Younger voters and liberals, too, but to a lesser extent.
    All are important Democratic constituencies that helped him win the White House in 2008 and whose support he’ll need to keep it next year…. – AP, 8-27-11
  • Poll: GOP voters feeling better about prez choices: An Associated Press-GfK poll released Friday found that Republicans and Republican-leaning independents are coming around to the choices already on the table: About two-thirds are pleased with the party’s presidential field, compared with just half in June. And they’re paying more attention, with 52 percent expressing a “great deal” of interest in the GOP nomination fight — compared with 39 percent earlier this summer — after a period that saw Perry enter the race and Michele Bachmann win a test vote in Iowa, the lead-off caucus state, threatening Mitt Romney’s standing at the top of the pack.
    The poll shows Perry, who has never run a national campaign and is just now introducing himself to most people, benefiting from wall-to-wall news coverage over the past few weeks as he became a candidate and jostled the until-then sleepy contest. Just 12 percent of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents have a negative impression of the Texas governor. And 63 percent of Republicans view him in a positive light, compared with 33 percent in June…. – AP, 8-25-11
  • Obama in dead heat with four GOP contenders: President Obama is polling neck-and-neck with four Republican presidential candidates, according to a Gallup survey of registered voters.
    Romney has a slight edge over Obama (48% to 46%), while Perry and Obama are tied at 47%. Obama has a slight edge over Paul (47% to 45%) and a slightly larger edge over Bachmann (48% to 44%).
    Republicans appeared to prefer Perry – 92% said they would vote for him – followed by Romney (91%), Bachmann (86%) and Paul (82%) in a match-up with Obama.
    Independents chose Romney, Perry and Paul over Obama, but favored Obama over Bachmann by 6 percentage points.
    Obama’s support from Democrats did not exceed 86% when he was matched against any of the four Republicans. Twelve percent of Democrats said they would vote for Romney or Paul over Obama…. – LAT, 8-23-11

POLITICAL QUOTES & SPEECHES

Mitt Romney: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts mittromney.com

Rick Perry: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts rickperry.org

Ron Paul: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ronpaul2012.com

Herman Cain: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts hermancain.com

Michele Bachmann: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts michelebachmann.com

Newt Gingrich: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts newt.org

Jon Huntsman: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts jon2012.com

Rick Santorum: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ricksantorum.com

“I have no interest in serving as vice president for anyone who could possibly live all eight years of the presidency. So the reality of it is, I’m not going to be the vice presidential nominee. But I look forward to working for whoever our nominee is.” — Sen. Marco Rubio, FL

  • Jeb Bush to Republican Candidates: ‘You Can’t Just Be Against the President': “I think the president means well, but his policies have failed, and to point that out — nothing wrong with that. That’s politics,” Bush told Fox News host Neil Cavuto in an interview Tuesday. “But just to stop there and say I’m going to win because I’m against what’s going on is not enough. You have to win with purpose if you really want to make these big changes.”
    Cavuto asked Bush if he thought some Republican contenders had gone too far in their criticism of the president. “I do,” Bush responded. “I think when you start ascribing bad motives to the guy, that’s wrong. It turns off people who want solutions.”… – PBS Newshour, 8-25-11

IN FOCUS & STATS & POLLS: RICK PERRY TOPS MITT ROMENY IN NEW GALLUP POLL OF REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES

Perry Zooms to Front of Pack for 2012 GOP Nomination Leads Romney by 29% to 17%: Shortly after announcing his official candidacy, Texas Gov. Rick Perry has emerged as rank-and- file Republicans’ current favorite for their party’s 2012 presidential nomination. Twenty-nine percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents nationwide say they are most likely to support Perry, with Mitt Romney next, at 17%…. – Gallup, 8-24-11

“Rick is a very effective candidate… You’re going to try and find something that’s changed. I’ve got a dark shirt on today. It was a light shirt yesterday. Look, I’m following the strategy I’ve had and that we’ve laid out from the very beginning. . . . If you’re running for president, your focus should be on the person who is president and his failures and how you’re going to make America better.” Republican Candidate Mitt Romney

GALLUP: RICK PERRY LEADS FIELD — Texas Gov. Rick Perry is in first place among Republican primary candidates, according to Gallup. Perry polled at 29 percent, followed by Mitt Romney with 17 percent, Ron Paul with 13 percent and Michele Bachmann at 10 percent. — Politico, 8-25-11

Barely two weeks since starting his presidential campaign, Gov. Rick Perry of Texas has rocketed to a double-digit lead over former Gov. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts to become the front-runner in the Republican contest for the White House, according to a Gallup poll released on Wednesday. Representative Michele Bachmann of Minnesota, the winner of the Iowa straw poll, ranked fourth, and Representative Ron Paul of Texas was third, slightly behind Mr. Romney. Jon M. Huntsman Jr., a former governor of Utah and an ex-ambassador to China under President Obama, ranked eighth and last. — NYT

    • Mitt Romney now trailing Rick Perry for GOP presidential nomination, poll shows: As Romney returned to the campaign trail this week, he faced a new reality: He is no longer ahead of the pack in the race for the 2012 GOP presidential nomination. A Gallup poll released Wednesday showed Texas Gov. Rick Perry with a sizable lead over Romney among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents nationally, 29 percent to 17 percent.
      The survey showed Rep. Ron Paul (Tex.) at 13 percent and Rep. Michele Bachmann (Minn.) slipping to 10 percent. No other candidate registered in the double digits…. – WaPo, 8-25-11
    • Perry Surges in Polls, Testing Romney’s Strategy: Primary polls can be erratic, so the rule is not to get too worked up about any one set of numbers. But now there have been five surveys conducted since Rick Perry announced his presidential campaign — one each from Gallup…. – NYT, 8-25-11

“You know what, if you’re running for president, your focus should be on the person who is president and his failures and how you’re going to make America better. That’s what I’ve been speaking about since the beginning of my campaign. That’s what I’m going to continue to speak about.” — Mitt Romney

  • Romney Undeterred by Perry, or by Poll Numbers: Mitt Romney, trying to brush off questions about Gov. Rick Perry of Texas, his Republican competitor in the 2012 presidential contest, offered a clear description of his campaign strategy during a press briefing in Claremont, N.H., on Wednesday…. – NYT, 8-24-11
  • Perry bids for frontrunner title: A pair of pollsters delivered an unambiguous message to Rick Perry’s opponents Wednesday: This is not a drill. The Texas governor has been in the 2012 race for less than two weeks, but already he has captured a lofty position in national… – Politico, 8-25-11
  • Perry Watch: Gallup poll puts Rick Perry on top: Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the longtime presumed frontrunner in the GOP race to challenge President Barack Obama in 2012, may have just been usurped by Texas Gov. Rick Perry. A new Gallup poll puts Perry, a newcomer to the presidential race, on top…. – Houston Chronicle, 8-25-11
  • Rick Perry leads GOP field in new Gallup poll: Buoyed by his recent entry into the 2012 presidential contest, Texas Gov. Rick Perry has jumped past former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and leads the GOP field for the first time, according to a new Gallup poll of Republican voters.
    The national survey showed Perry leading Romney by a double-digit margin—29% to 17%. It also found that Michele Bachmann got no significant bounce from her victory in an Iowa straw poll, which was overshadowed by Perry’s announcement speech the same day.
    Bachmann has dropped three percentage points, to 10%, since the previous Gallup poll, conducted in late July. A more relevant measure of Bachmann’s prospects will await the next reputable poll in Iowa, where she and Perry are facing off in the most important early test of the Republican race…. – LAT, 8-25-11
  • Rick Perry zips past Mitt Romney in the polls: The latest national Gallup poll shows Rick Perry has opened up a 12-point lead over Mitt Romney in the GOP presidential race. Ron Paul is also gaining ground…. – CS Monitor, 8-25-11
  • Rick Perry steps ahead of Mitt Romney in the polls for Republican 2012 Presidential Nonimation: In a recently released Gallup Poll, Texas Governor Rick Perry now sits as the leading GOP Presidential candidate, with the support of 29 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents…. – CBS News, 8-25-11
  • Not sure Rick Perry’s poll vault will trump Mitt Romney: The political world has been jolted by the news that Gov. Rick Perry (R-Tex.) now holds a commanding lead in the latest surveys from Gallup and Public Policy Polling. A 12-point and 13-point lead, respectively…. – WaPo, 8-25-11
  • Poll: Rick Perry leads Republican race: Texas Gov. Rick Perry emerged as the Republican front-runner for president in a major national poll Wednesday as he prepared to embark on a multi-city fundraising tour in his home state next week. … – MiamiHerald.com, 8-25-11
  • Perry is now the front-runner in GOP presidential race, Gallup poll shows: Gallup’s latest survey shows the Texas governor quickly taking the lead spot, less than two weeks after jumping into the race. Perry leads 29-17 over Mitt Romney, who had long held that spot, with Texas congressman Ron Paul at 13 percent and Rep. Michele Bachmann at 10 percent…. – Dallas Morning News, 8-25-11
  • Perry, Romney and polls: Right Turn readers know I’m no fan of early, national primary polls. But they do, after a time, begin to shape donors’ and activists’ perceptions of the race. So what do they see and what should they learn from the spate of national candidates… – WaPo, 8-25-11
  • Perry Leads in National Polls: Mitt Romney may not be the frontrunner anymore: Since Texas Governor Rick Perry announced his candidacy for president, five polls have showed him leading the GOP pack. On average, Perry has 26 percent of the vote in these surveys while Romney has 16…. – Daily Beast, 8-25-11
  • August Is The Cruelest Month: Perry Usurps Romney’s Front-Runner Status (The Note): What the polls giveth, the polls taketh away. And just like that, after months of referring to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney as the front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination…. – ABC News, 8-25-11
  • Perry leads former GOP front-runner Romney in polls Boston Globe, 8-25-11
  • Perry Good Show: The race for the right to take on Barack Obama has been turned on its head. Less than two weeks after declaring his candidacy, Texas governor Rick Perry has taken a double-digit lead over the former favourite Mitt Romney. A Gallup poll put Perry on 29 percent…. – Sky News, 8-25-11
  • Rick Perry Leads Poll, Popular With Religious, Southern Republicans: Texas governor Rick Perry is the leading candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, according to the latest Gallup Poll. Perry has 29 percent of the votes, compared to the second runner-up, Mitt Romney…. – International Business Times, 8-25-11
  • NY GOPer urges a Perry-Giuliani ticket: One of New York’s best-known Republicans is calling on presidential hopeful Rick Perry to choose Rudy Giuliani as his running mate for next year’s election, according to Frederic U. Dicker, veteran politics reporter for the New York Post. … – Houston Chronicle, 8-25-11
  • Perry to Join Sept. 7 GOP Debate: Texas Gov. Rick Perry will participate in the Sept. 7 GOP presidential debate at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, Calif.
    It will be Mr. Perry’s first time with all of the major 2012 Republican hopefuls since he announced his candidacy Aug. 13. Also on the stage: former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota, pizza magnate Herman Cain, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania.
    The debate is sponsored by the Reagan Presidential Foundation, NBC News and Politico, which reported the lineup Thursday…. – WSJ, 8-25-11
  • TexMessage: Perry moves from grass roots rallies to fund raising: The Perry bandwagon is shifting gears from grass roots rallies that generate headlines to campaign fund raising before Labor Day. Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s dramatic gains in nationwide polls of Republicans…. – Houston Chronicle, 8-25-11

THE HEADLINES: WEEKLY RECAP

    • As States’ Rights Stalwart, Rick Perry Draws Doubts: Gov. Rick Perry of Texas has come to publicly embrace states’ rights as a defining issue only in the past few years…. – NYT, 8-29-11
    • Perry blasts Obama, notes own job-creating record: Rick Perry warned during an appearance in Iowa that President Obama has driven the nation’s economy into a ditch, arguing that his own record as governor qualifies him to lead the way out. “Instead of eliminating our economic crisis, he worsened it.” … – AP, 8-27-11

“The United States is the number one country in the world for energy resources. That doesn’t even include … all the oil in Alaska.” — “Instead of thinking we are beggars out here begging for oil and for energy, we are the king daddy dogs when it comes to energy. The radical environmentalists have demanded that we lock up all our energy resources. President Bachmann will take that key out of the door. I will unlock it.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN)

    • Bachmann: Environmentalists blocking US energy: Republican presidential candidate Michele Bachmann claimed Saturday that the United States has more fuel resources than any other country, but blamed what she termed “radical environmentalists” for bottling up American energy policy…. – AP, 8-27-11

“I want to bring advisers in from labor and from manufacturers and from the service industry and financial services. I want to know what they know, because that’s what we’ve been missing from President Obama. He has virtually no one in his Cabinet with private sector experience. I want to bring people who know how to create jobs into my administration.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN)

    • Bachmann says she’d consider minimum wage changes: Republican presidential candidate Michele Bachmann said Friday she wouldn’t rule out changes to the federal minimum wage as a way to lower the cost of doing business and lure corporations back to the United States…. – AP, 8-26-11
    • Despite Perry’s Gains, Romney Remains Strong in Florida: This week saw Texas Gov. Rick Perry leapfrog Mitt Romney in the national polls, but the former governor of Massachusetts is still holding on strong in the key battleground state of Florida…. – PBS Newshour, 8-26-11
    • Clock ticking on Sarah Palin entry into 2012 presidential race: There are some drop-dead dates that Sarah Palin cannot escape if she wants to run in 2012. The former Alaska governor seems to believe that most of the rules of politics don’t apply to her — that with her media appeal and her grass-roots following, she could waltz into the presidential campaign at the 11th hour and make a go of it…. – Politico, 8-26-11
    • Once Again, No Candidate Pataki: Former New York Gov. George E. Pataki decides not to enter an already crowded field of Republican presidential candidates…. – NYT, 8-26-11
    • Forget First Impressions; Perry Isn’t Bush 2: While George W. Bush and Rick Perry can occasionally seem like clones, there are real differences in the Texas they governed and how they governed it…. – NYT, 8-26-11
    • Despite His Current Vehemence on Taxes, Perry Has a More Nuanced Record: For all of his anti-tax-increase language today, Rick Perry has actually signed on to tax increases, some quite large, in his political career…. – NYT, 8-26-11
    • Fund-Raisers Likely to Be Canceled Due to Irene: Three big presidential fund-raisers scheduled for this weekend are up in the air thanks to the impending arrival of Hurricane Irene, currently hurtling toward New York…. – NYT, 8-26-11
    • On Trail, Casual Friday Versus Boardroom Cool: Close-up impressions matter for voters who are evaluating presidential candidates. And while Rick Perry seems to relish interaction, Mitt Romney is still struggling to appear at ease…. – NYT, 8-26-11
    • Romney Continues Charm Offensive With Personal Stories: The Republican presidential candidate shares a tale about how his father-in-law was able to pay for college, and deflects a question about his vice-presidential preference…. – NYT, 8-26-11
    • Should Pataki Be President?: City Room readers: Do you think former Gov. George E. Pataki would make a good president?…. – NYT, 8-25-11
    • Perry Surges in Polls, Testing Romney’s Strategy: Mitt Romney has adopted a slow-and-steady strategy, one which has de-emphasized Iowa, but Rick Perry’s surge in the polls could affect Mr. Romney’s calculations…. – NYT, 8-25-11

“If you’re running for president, your focus should be on the person who is president and his failures, and how you’re going to make America better.” — Mitt Romney told reporters in Claremont.

    • Romney sticks with strategy despite Perry’s surge: Despite a new rival’s surge, Mitt Romney is campaigning as though he’s still the GOP presidential front-runner, focusing his criticisms on President Barack Obama, taking few risks and keeping most proposals vague enough to leave ample maneuvering room…. – AP, 8-25-11
    • Romney Undeterred by Perry, or by Poll Numbers: Mitt Romney is not changing strategy despite the findings of some new polls…. – NYT, 8-24-11
    • Obama campaign launching voter drive program: President Barack Obama’s presidential campaign launched a new voter registration and grassroots organizing program Thursday aimed at boosting turnout and participation among its core supporters. The organization, called Project Vote…. – AP, 8-25-11
    • INHOFE FOR PERRY — Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-Okla.) is endorsing Texas Gov. Rick Perry for the presidential nomination, the Tulsa World reports, because Romney is “a little mushy on environmental issues.” — Politico, 8-25-11
    • Latest poll: Is Rick Perry now a shoo-in?: A just-published Gallup poll shows Rick Perry as his party’s front-runner. Mitt Romney trails in second, and Ron Paul has leapt passed Michele Bachmann, landing him in third…. – CS Monitor, 8-24-11
    • Has Sarah Palin exhausted the patience of her supporters?: There is some evidence that while waiting for a potential Sarah Palin presidential run, her potential voters have moved on and now support other tea party-backed candidates, such as Rick Perry or Michele Bachmann…. – CS Monitor, 8-24-11

“It is an honor to again work with Mitt Romney. At such a critical time in our nation’s history, it is important that we have someone with his background to lead the country.” — Vin Weber

  • Romney picks up endorsements from key Pawlenty supporters: As Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney began a campaign swing across New Hampshire on Wednesday, he picked up several key endorsements here and in the first-caucus state of Iowa.
    Romney also won the backing of Vin Weber, a former Minnesota congressman and prominent Washington lobbyist who had served as national co-chairman of former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty’s presidential campaign.
    Pawlenty dropped out of the race Aug. 14, following a distant third-place showing at the Iowa straw poll. Weber, who had been Romney’s policy chairman in his 2008 presidential campaign, is rejoining the Romney team, this time as a special adviser on foreign and economic policy…. – WaPo, 8-24-11
  • Marco Rubio Says No to Ticket, but Finds Skeptics: Marco Rubio says he does not want to be vice president, but not everyone believes him…. – NYT, 8-24-11
  • Pataki Visit Stirs Speculation About Presidential Bid: Former New York Gov. George E. Pataki considers a presidential bid…. – NYT, 8-23-11
  • Has Ron Paul become electable?: In a head-to-head matchup with Obama, GOP presidential candidate Ron Paul is within striking distance, a new Gallup poll shows. But Mitt Romney and Rick Perry are running stronger…. – CS Monitor, 8-23-11
  • Why Another Democrat Wouldn’t Do Better Than Obama in 2012: Obama may be losing popularity, but for Democrats turning to another candidate might be a bad idea…. – NYT, 8-23-11
  • News From Libya Pushes G.O.P. Candidates to Respond: Republican presidential candidates looked for ways to address a development that could bolster President Obama’s national security credentials…. – NYT, 8-22-11
  • Tea Party Favorite Won’t Challenge Senate Republican: Representative Jason Chaffetz, Republican of Utah, announced Monday that he would not run for the Senate, removing a potentially formidable rival to Senator Orrin Hatch as he seeks a seventh term…. – NYT, 8-23-11
  • There’s Room for More G.O.P. Candidates: At least five prominent Republicans — Sarah Palin, Paul Ryan, Chris Christie, Rudolph W. Giuliani and George Pataki — are being linked to potential bids…. – NYT, 8-22-11

CAMPAIGN 2012: ANALYSTS &S HISTORIANS COMMENTS

  • Politico Arena: Daily Debate with Policymakers, Opinionshapers & Academics Politico
  • DAVID BROOKS: President Rick Perry?: The rise of the Republican presidential candidate reflects fundamental shifts in the electorate, and it’s time to take him seriously…. – NYT, 8-26-11
  • Julian Zelizer: It’s too early to name Bachmann, Perry front-runners: The meteoric rise of Rep. Michele Bachman and Texas Gov. Rick Perry in the competition for the GOP presidential nomination — combined with the rapid demise of Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty’s presidential bid — all before any caucus or primary has taken place, reveals how the presidential selection process is broken…. – CNN, 8-22-11

Campaign Recap August 22, 2011: Mitt Romney & Rick Perry Emerge as Top Candidates to Beat for Republican Presidential Nomination

CAMPAIGN 2012

By Bonnie K. Goodman

Ms. Goodman is the Editor of History Musings. She has a BA in History & Art History & a Masters in Library and Information Studies from McGill University, and has done graduate work in history at Concordia University. Ms. Goodman has also contributed the overviews, and chronologies in History of American Presidential Elections, 1789-2008, 4th edition, edited by Gil Troy, Fred L. Israel, and Arthur Meier Schlesinger to be published by Facts on File, Inc. in late 2011.

CAMPAIGN BUZZ 2012

STATS & POLLS

Republican Presidential Candidates: Primaries 2012 — NYT

Democratic Nominee 2012: President Barack Obama’s Official Reelection Campaign Website — BarackObama.com

Republican National Committee

Democratic National Committee

  • Gallup Poll: Election 2012 — Track GOP Contender’s Images Week by Week — Generic Ballot Gallup
  • Gallup: Presidential Job Approval Gallup
  • Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval: Each result is based on a three-day rolling average Gallup
  • Poll Watch: Polls and Related Articles From The New York Times NYT
  • Obama in Dead Heat with Romney, Perry, Paul, Bachmann in Gallup Poll: President Obama is in a statistical dead heat when matched with each of four GOP presidential contenders in a hypothetical 2012 election match-up, according to a new Gallup survey of registered voters.
    Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney leads Obama by a 48 percent to 46 percent margin, while Texas Gov. Rick Perry ties the president at 47 percent. Obama bests Ron Paul by a 47-45 divide and Michele Bachmann by 48-44 split. All results are within a 4-point margin of error…. – ABC News, 8-22-11

QUOTES & SPEECHES

Mitt Romney: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts mittromney.com

Rick Perry: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts rickperry.org

Ron Paul: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ronpaul2012.com

Herman Cain: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts hermancain.com

Michele Bachmann: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts michelebachmann.com

Newt Gingrich: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts newt.org

Jon Huntsman: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts jon2012.com

Rick Santorum: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ricksantorum.com

“I sincerely appreciate the support from those eager to chart a brighter future for the next generation. While humbled by the encouragement, I have not changed my mind, and therefore I am not seeking our party’s nomination for president.” — Rep. Paul D. Ryan, chairman of the House Budget Committee

News From Libya Pushes G.O.P. Candidates to Respond NYT, 8-22-11

“The lasting impact of events in Libya will depend on ensuring rebel factions form a unified, civil government that guarantees personal freedoms, and builds a new relationship with the West where we are allies instead of adversaries.” — Gov. Rick Perry

“Governor Huntsman’s view remains that intervention in Libya was a mistake and not core to our national security interest.” — Tim Miller, Jon Huntsman’s Spokesman

“The impending fall of Colonel Qaddafi is one chapter in the developing story of a nation in turmoil. Qaddafi has been a longtime opponent of freedom, and I am hopeful — as the whole world should be — that his defeat is a step toward openness, democracy and human rights for a people who greatly deserve it.” — Jon M. Huntsman Jr. Official Statement

“I opposed U.S. military involvement in Libya and I am hopeful that our intervention there is about to end.” — Representative Michele Bachmann

“The Obama Administration’s call for Syrian President Assad to step down is long overdue. President Assad threatens the safety and security not only of the Syrian people, but the entire Middle East. He also supports terrorist organizations Hezbollah and Hamas. Every diplomatic option should be brought to bear to prevent President Assad from wreaking further violence on his people and the region.” — Statement by Gov. Rick Perry on Syria

“America must show leadership on the world stage and work to move these developing nations toward modernity. This means using the bullhorn of the presidency and not remaining silent for too long while voices of freedom and dissent are under attack.” — Mitt Romney’s Statement on Syria

“The Republican nominee and the next president of the United States is going to be Rick Perry or Mitt Romney. Michele Bachmann has struck a real chord on the issues important to conservatives, but what we need is a governor with proven record of job creation, deficit reduction, and other accomplishments.” — Fred Malek, a top Republican money man who ran George H.W. Bush’s 1992 campaign

IN FOCUS: ROMNEY VS. PERRY GOP PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES TOP TIER EMERGES

  • Despite Bachmann’s success, the real GOP race is now Perry vs. Romney: Until now, the biggest question looming over the 2012 Republican primary was who would emerge as the leading alternative to the nominal front-runner, Mitt Romney. We now know the answer to that question: Rick Perry.
    Sure, Perry jumped into the race only one day ago and needs to prove he’s worthy of the national stage. Yes, Michele Bachmann is the one who boxed Tim Pawlenty out of the race with her triumph in the Iowa Straw Poll on Saturday.
    But it is the governor of the great big state of Texas, not the Minnesota congresswoman, who poses the biggest threat to Romney from here on out. That’s because Perry boasts that killer combination of assets: the power to grab hold of voters — which Bachmann shares — plus a concrete record of creating jobs. It’s the rhetoric plus the results, the inspiration layered on top of the perspiration…. – National Journal, 8-15-11
  • Top tier emerges as GOP nomination race enters a defining phase: With Rick Perry declaring his candidacy and Michele Bachmann winning the Iowa straw poll, the two go head-to-head for the GOP’s social and religious conservatives and against establishment front-runner Mitt Romney…. – LAT, 8-15-11

THE HEADLINES: WEEKLY RECAP

    • Ryan Says No to 2012 — Again: Representative Paul D. Ryan of Wisconsin never said he was running for president. In fact, he said again and again that he had no plans to seek the Republican nomination. Yet even with his repeated denials, several conservative leaders had stepped up their efforts in the last week and urged him to reconsider…. – NYT, 8-22-11
    • Romney’s Home Rebuilding Plan Draws Attention NYT, 8-22-11
    • Daniels ‘at peace’ with decision to skip 2012 run: Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels says he’s “at peace” with his decision not to seek the Republican nomination for president.
      Daniels says he sees good people with a lot of character in the field and that he believes many of them have the right skills to be president…. – AP, 8-21-11
    • Jon Huntsman vs. Rick Perry: Shoot-out at the GOP corral: Jon Huntsman and Rick Perry represent very different views of how a Republican can beat Barack Obama in 2012. To jazz up his campaign, Huntsman laid into tea party favorite Perry Sunday…. – AP, 8-21-11
    • As Governor, Perry Backed Wind, Gas and Coal: A look back at Gov. Rick Perry’s energy policies during his tenure shows his strong support for natural gas drilling and “clean coal,” as well as wind power…. – NYT, 8-21-11
    • Perry and the Tea Party: Depends on Whom You Ask: Gov. Rick Perry is strongly associated with the Tea Party, but party supporters at a recent gathering in Waco expressed varying opinions about the governor’s record and credentials…. – NYT, 8-21-11
    • Despite Outward Similarities, Perry and Bush Keep Their Distance: The Bush inner circle’s dislike for Gov. Rick Perry, who has worked to differentiate himself from the former president, runs deep…. – NYT, 8-20-11
    • Is Sarah Palin going to announce she’s running for president on September 3?: It’s relatively late in the game, but GOP strategist Karl Rove predicts that Palin will jump into the 2012 presidential race. She could do it when she headlines a tea party gathering next month…. – CS Monitor, 8-20-11
    • Huntsman: 2012 rivals politically on the ‘fringes': The former Utah governor says his Republican rivals as well as President Barack Obama are on the political “fringes.” Huntsman says Obama is too liberal and there are Republican candidates who are too far to the right and have “zero substance.”… – AP, 8-21-11
    • Huntsman pounds Perry on climate change and Fed: Presidential candidate Jon Huntsman is pounding away at rival Rick Perry’s skepticism of manmade global warming and criticism of the nation’s central banker, saying those stands hurt the GOP and make the Texas governor come off as a not-so-serious national figure…. – AP, 8-20-11

“We need to be thoughtful before we ever go into an area that America’s interests are truly being impacted, and then we need to start having a thoughtful conversation with those commanders in the field about how to be bringing our young men and women back. Look, I think the president made a huge mistake by signaling the enemy that we’re going to leave at a particular time. That’s bad public policy, but more importantly it put our kids in harm’s way.” — Gov. Rick Perry (R-TX)

“The answer is we’re going to cut the taxes, we’re going lower the regulations, we’re going to get the lawyers out of our business and we’re going to get America back working again.” — Rick Perry

    • Perry: Troop withdrawals need careful discussion: Texas Gov. Rick Perry said Saturday that thoughtful discussion is needed to bring U.S. troops home from Afghanistan and Iraq as he wrapped up his first week of campaigning for the GOP’s presidential nomination…. – AP, 8-20-11

“Because we’re all about smaller government; we’re all about making government work. We’re all about cutting taxes, cutting regulations and cutting litigation. If you want to live in a state and in a country that doesn’t allow for over-suing, then I’m your guy.” — Gov. Rick Perry

    • Perry brings job message to high-unemployment SC: Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s delivered a timely jobs message to South Carolina’s Republican primary voters Friday.
      On this trip, he’s also picking up an endorsement from one of the state’s top fundraisers. A campaign representative for Perry said prominent GOP fundraiser David Wilkins will endorse the governor’s bid for the presidential nomination…. – AP, 8-19-11
    • Off the Cuff, Into the Headlines: Gov. Rick Perry has been tripped up by off-the-cuff remarks before, and it’s clear from his “treason” comment about Ben Bernanke that he still has not learned to watch his words…. – NYT, 8-19-11
    • Palin Keeps an Eye on Iowa: Sarah Palin has not forgotten about Iowa. One week after barnstorming the Iowa State Fair, Ms. Palin released a new video on Friday that chronicled her visit to the state that will kick off the Republican nominating contest early next year. The campaign-style video, which features a montage of photographs of people lining up to see her, is the latest piece of evidence that Ms. Palin wishes to remain a factor in the 2012 presidential campaign…. – AP, 8-19-11
    • Obama Moves to Regain Mantle of Campaigner: In the first indication of how he will confront his Republican opponent, the president cast himself as a rational, yet partisan fighter…. – NYT, 8-19-11
    • Just an Ordinary Overachiever in Paint Creek: Growing up in Paint Creek, Rick Perry was just like everybody else, his hometown friends say, except that he did everything better…. – NYT, 8-19-11
    • E.P.A Draws Harsh Words From Most G.O.P. Candidates: Republican presidential hopefuls are portraying the Environmental Protection Agency as a symbol of a heavy-handed regulatory agenda that they say is strangling the economy…. – NYT, 8-18-11
    • Jon Huntsman turns to Twitter to criticize Perry: Republican presidential candidate Jon Huntsman on Thursday turned to Twitter to attack a rival, Texas Gov. Rick Perry, for his positions on evolution and climate change.
      “To be clear. I believe in evolution and trust scientists on global warming. Call me crazy,” Huntsman tweeted…. – APP, 8-18-11
    • Huntsman on Evolution? ‘Call Me Crazy': Jon M. Huntsman Jr. is eager to stand out. Just not too much. In a Twitter message sent Thursday afternoon, Mr. Huntsman wrote: To be clear. I believe in evolution and trust scientists on global warming. Call me crazy.Thu Aug 18 17:57:52 via Twitter for iPhoneJon Huntsman JonHuntsman
      The message was a direct shot at his newest rival, Gov. Rick Perry of Texas, who said this week that climate change was “a scientific theory that has not been proved” and called evolution “just a theory.”… – NYT, 8-18-11
    • Minnesota: Pawlenty Says He Won’t Run for Senate: Former Gov. Tim Pawlenty definitively ruled out a 2012 campaign for the Senate on Wednesday after ending his bid for the White House a few days ago…. – NYT, 8-18-11
    • Perry and Romney Assail Obama on Syria: Two Republican presidential candidates assail the president’s handling of the situation in Syria…. – NYT, 8-18-11
    • Warren Files to Test the Senate Waters: Elizabeth Warren formed an exploratory committee on Thursday morning as she continues to consider a run for the Senate in Massachusetts, and her camp maintains that she is still doing just that: exploring. But given their gleeful reaction to this news, Bay State and some national Democrats seem primed for a painful letdown if Ms. Warren, a Harvard Law professor, ultimately decides against challenging Senator Scott Brown…. – NYT, 8-18-11
    • With Ames Over, Candidates Are Free to Move About the Country: The candidates for president have 136 days until the start of 2012, when the real voting will begin, first in Iowa but then very quickly in New Hampshire, South Carolina, Michigan, Nevada and the rest. For their campaigns, the trick is how best to schedule that time. And the answer will help reveal the very different strategies that each campaign has mapped out to win the nomination…. – AP, 8-18-11

“Friday, Iowa’s going to bury one of your own, one of those young Navy SEALs who was killed in Afghanistan,” he said, pausing as his voice cracked.
“I want you to think about T.J. Tumilson and the sacrifices that are still being made today so a guy like me can stand up on a soapbox at the Iowa State Fair and talk freely about freedom and liberty and America and that we are an exceptional country and we’re going to stay an exceptional country.”
Then, Perry pointed his left index finger skyward, raised his voice and declared: “We don’t need anybody apologizing anywhere in this world about America!” — Gov. Rick Perry

    • Perry exudes confidence, swagger on campaign trail: Welcome to the Rick Perry roadshow. The newest entrant into the Republican presidential race has added a Texas-size dose of spark to a crop of candidates who haven’t seemed to stoke the passions of the tea party or the broader GOP. No matter where he goes, the Lone Star governor seems to own his crowds within minutes of taking the stage. He moves but doesn’t pace. He gestures but not wildly. He sheds his sport coat — and he turns heads…. – AP, 8-18-11
    • Perry Parries Hecklers in Portsmouth: Gov. Rick Perry of Texas took his popovers with a side of hecklers Thursday morning, when he stopped into Popovers on the Square in downtown Portsmouth to greet voters. More than a dozen protesters, many of them mobilized by the New Hampshire Alliance for Retired Americans, welcomed Mr. Perry with signs…. – NYT, 8-18-11
    • E.P.A Draws Harsh Words From Most G.O.P. Candidates: Republican presidential hopefuls are portraying the Environmental Protection Agency as a symbol of a heavy-handed regulatory agenda that they say is strangling the economy…. – NYT, 8-18-11
    • Day After Fed Uproar, Perry Tones It Down: Gov. Rick Perry of Texas shied away from criticizing the Federal Reserve, and other potentially controversial subjects, at two carefully controlled campaign stops in New Hampshire…. – NYT, 8-18-11

“I think that everybody who runs for president, it probably takes them a little bit of time before they start realizing that this isn’t like running for governor or running for Senate or running for Congress. You’ve got to be a little more careful about what you say.” — President Barack Obama on CNN

    • Perry’s colorful tongue takes the national stage: In the words of Gov. Rick Perry, secession was one scenario on the table for frustrated Texans. The BP oil spill? Might have been an act of God instead of corporate errors. And if the Federal Reserve puts more money in the U.S. system, as Perry told voters in Iowa this week, you could chalk it up as a treasonous act that would be treated “pretty ugly” back home…. – AP, 8-17-11
    • Perry Links Federal Reserve Policies and Treason: Gov. Rick Perry did not retract his remarks that the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies were “treasonous.” Critics from the right say this is what they expect of the Texas governor…. – NYT, 8-17-11
    • Romney View of Perry: Just Another Opponent: Despite the entry of Gov. Rick Perry into the Republican presidential race, Mitt Romney is trying to keep his focus on President Obama…. – AP, 8-17-11
    • Romney View of Perry: Just Another Opponent: Despite the entry of Gov. Rick Perry into the Republican presidential race, Mitt Romney is trying to keep his focus on President Obama…. – NYT, 8-17-11
    • Gingrich Turns Focus to Hawaii: It may not make for the best political strategy, but Newt Gingrich is laughing all the way to the beach. Mr. Gingrich’s presidential schedule shows him campaigning in Hawaii on Saturday and Monday, thousands of miles — and a big ocean — away from Iowa and New Hampshire…. – NYT, 8-17-11
    • White House paints GOP field with tea party brush: The rising profiles of Republican presidential candidates Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann are giving the White House a new opening: linking the entire GOP field to the tea party, whose popularity has recently sagged….
      Republican candidates must decide whether to “swear allegiance to the tea party” or work with Democrats to create jobs, Obama campaign adviser Robert Gibbs said Tuesday. After last week’s GOP debate in Iowa, Obama campaign guru David Axelrod claimed the presidential contenders were “pledging allegiance to the tea party.” And a new video by the Democratic National Committee says Republican lawmakers and presidential candidates are “embracing extreme tea party policies.”… – AP, 8-17-11
    • Obama Presses His Case in Crucial Iowa, but Perry Is Close on His Heels: While President Obama sought to regain support in the Midwestern states that once favored his candidacy, Gov. Rick Perry staged a rally just 11 miles away…. – NYT, 8-17-11
    • After a Strong Start, Can Bachmann Follow Through?: Michele Bachmann has made history as the Republican Party’s first genuine female presidential candidate. But the question of whether she is electable remains unanswered…. – NYT, 8-17-11

“I think Rick Perry is a real positive. Nobody can predict outcomes, but I think he will do very nicely. We need someone in this country who is willing to shake things up.” — Donald Trump

    • Trump praises Perry, keeps open a possible run: Real estate mogul Donald Trump said Tuesday he expects Texas Gov. Rick Perry to do “very nicely” as a presidential candidate. But Trump stopped short of endorsing Perry and said he hasn’t ruled out running for president himself as an independent…. – AP, 8-16-11
    • In Open Primary Plan for Arizona, a Call for Moderation: A bipartisan group has stepped forward with a remedy for what members describe as the lack of moderation in Arizona politics…. – NYT, 8-16-11
    • Caucus Video: Three-Way Republican Race Emerges; Obama’s Bus Tour: Michael D. Shear on Rick Perry and the new dimensions of the Republican presidential race. John Harwood on President Obama’s bus tour through the Midwest…. – NYT, 8-16-11

“If this guy prints more money between now and the election, I don’t know what y’all would do to him in Iowa, but we would treat him pretty ugly down in Texas.” Gov. Rick Perry said, responding to a question from the audience.

    • White House fires back at Perry comments: Perry said if Bernanke did that, “we would treat him pretty ugly down in Texas.” Carney says people running for president have to think about what they say. He spoke to reporters traveling with Obama on his three-state Midwest bus tour. … – AP, 8-16-11
    • A Confident Perry Lingers to Make Friends at the Fair: The addition of Gov. Rick Perry of Texas to the presidential campaign has changed the landscape of the Republican field and injected a shot of vigor into the contest…. – NYT, 8-16-11
    • New pecking order in GOP field shifts race for WH: In less than a week, the slow-to-begin race for the Republican nomination has accelerated and undergone a dramatic shift, essentially becoming a three-way contest for the chance to challenge President Barack Obama next year…. – AP, 8-15-11

“Understanding how the economy works by having worked in the real economy is finally essential in the White House. And I hope people recognize that. I respect the other people in this race, but I think the only other person who has that kind of extensive private sector experience besides me in the Republican race is Herman Cain….
I’m not going to vary my speech and my vision for the American people based upon the political winds of the day. I wish Rick the very best. As the process goes on, we’ll see whose background and skill most fits the needs of the country at a critical time like this.” — Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, told reporters during a campaign appearance at Litchfield Technology

    • Romney contrasts business experience with Perry: Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney suggested Monday that his new GOP rival, Texas Gov. Rick Perry, doesn’t have the business experience needed to be president…. – AP, 8-15-11

“I happen to think the biggest issue facing this country is that we are facing economic turmoil, and if we don’t have a president that doesn’t get this country working, we’re in trouble. And I’ve got a track record.” — Gov. Rick Perry told about 300 Republican activists in Waterloo’s Electric Park Ballroom

“We started our own successful small company. We know how to build from scratch, putting capital together and starting a business from scratch and building it up so that we can actually offer jobs to people.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann

  • Bachmann, Perry compete on the same issue: jobs: They’re competing with each other and currently leading the pack of Republican presidential hopefuls, but Texas Gov. Rick Perry and Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann are riding the same issue out of Iowa: jobs…. – AP, 8-15-11
  • After Iowa, Republicans Face a New Landscape: With Tim Pawlenty out of the fight, a three-way race began taking shape to find a nominee who can emerge as the strongest challenger to President Obama…. – NYT, 8-15-11
  • Is Iowa Irrelevant?: A narrow reading of evidence suggests that Iowa does not matter at all for Republicans, but there are other factors to consider…. – NYT, 8-15-11

HOUSE — SENATE — GOVERNORSHIPS CAMPAIGNS & ELECTIONS

  • Chaffetz Won’t Seek Senate Seat in Utah: After appearing to spoil for a fight, Representative Jason Chaffetz, Republican of Utah, announced Monday that he would not run for his state’s Senate seat, removing a potentially formidable rival to Senator Orrin Hatch as Mr. Hatch seeks a seventh term in the Senate…. – NYT, 8-22-11

SPECIAL ELECTIONS: WISCONSIN RECALL ELECTIONS

2 Wis. Democrats keep their Senate seats: Two Democratic Wisconsin state senators targeted by Republicans survived their elections Tuesday, ending a tumultuous summer of recalls spurred by anger over how lawmakers reacted to Gov. Scott Walker’s proposal curbing collective bargaining rights of public workers.
State Sen. Bob Wirch of Pleasant Prairie was one of two Democratic state senators who survived Tuesday’s recall elections.
The recall elections in Wisconsin drew national attention with money pouring in from outside groups on both sides to influence the outcome. It’s estimated that total spending may break $40 million on the nine recall races combined.
Democrats saw the recalls as a first step in an effort to roll back the sweeping gains made by Republicans in the 2010 elections in Wisconsin and other states. In the Midwestern state last November, Republicans won a U.S. Senate seat, the governorship and majorities in both chambers of the Wisconsin state legislature…. – USA Today, 8-16-11

  • 2 Wisconsin Democrats Re-elected: Two Democrats Jim Holperin and Bob Wirch, kept their seats in the Wisconsin State Senate on Tuesday, drawing an end to an unprecedented series of recall elections that had distracted the state all summer…. – NYT, 8-17-11
  • Dems hold on in Wisconsin: Recall elections in Wisconsin are over – for now – as two Democratic state senators easily beat back bids to remove them from power in special elections held on Tuesday. But controversial conservative Republican Gov. Scott Walker may face a recall next…. – Seattle Post Intelligencer, 8-17-11
  • Dems survive in final Wis. recall races: Two Democratic state senators in Wisconsin withstood recall elections Tuesday night, the last in a series of recalls that Democrats launched as political retribution for a Republican-backed effort to scale back labor rights…. – Politico, 8-17-11
  • 2 Democrats keep their seats in Wisconsin recall election: Two Democratic state senators in Wisconsin defeated Republican challengers to hold on to their seats in a recall election Tuesday, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported. It was the last round in a series of recall elections…. – CNN, 8-17-11
  • Two Democrats Survive Recall in Wisconsin: Two Wisconsin Democratic state senators held onto their seats Tuesday in the state’s final recall elections of the year, leaving Republicans with a one-seat majority in the Senate…. – WSJ, 8-17-11
  • Democratic incumbents win Wisconsin recalls: Two Wisconsin Democratic state senators survived recall elections Tuesday night, leaving Republicans with a narrow 17 to 16 majority in the upper chamber. … – WaPo, 8-17-11
  • In brief: Two Democratic Wisconsin state senators targeted by Republicans survived their elections Tuesday, ending a tumultuous summer of recalls spurred by anger over how lawmakers reacted to Gov. Scott Walker’s proposal curbing collective bargaining rights of union leaders…. – San Jose Mercury News, 8-17-11
  • 2011 Wisconsin recall elections come to a close with two incumbent Democrats: Two Democratic incumbent senators in Wisconsin both held their ground tonight, defeating Republican challengers in recall elections. The results mark the end of the dramatic summer recalls…. – Ballot News, 8-17-11
  • Holperin and Wirch keep their jobs: Democrats are claiming victory after retaining both seats in final two recalls. Tuesday’s recall elections weren’t about deciding which party would control the Senate, but by how much…. – Wisconsin Radio Network, 8-17-11

CAMPAIGN 2012: ANALYSTS &S HISTORIANS COMMENTS

  • Politico Arena: Daily Debate with Policymakers, Opinionshapers & Academics Politico
  • Julian Zelizer: It’s too early to name Bachmann, Perry front-runners: The meteoric rise of Rep. Michele Bachman and Texas Gov. Rick Perry in the competition for the GOP presidential nomination — combined with the rapid demise of Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty’s presidential bid — all before any caucus or primary has taken place, reveals how the presidential selection process is broken…. – CNN, 8-22-11
  • Evan Smith: 5 myths about Rick Perry: You’re probably thinking, “I’ve seen this movie before: West Texas boy makes middling grades in college, gets elected governor and — to the consternation of gobsmacked Democrats, who misunderestimate his folksy appeal — runs for the Republican nomination for president.” But if that’s all you know about Rick Perry, you should be asking whether the country is ready for another White House occupant from the Lone Star State. The fact is, the most recent entrant into the GOP race is nothing like the caricatures being promoted on the left and the right. Here are some myths that need debunking, and quick….
        1.

    He’s a Bush clone:

        Biographical similarities aside, Perry is not the second coming of George W. Bush, either stylistically or substantively.
        2.

    He’s a hillbilly dimwit:

        That’s bias against Texas, pure and simple. Just because he wears cowboy boots and drops his G’s doesn’t mean he’s a dummy.
        3.

    He’s an ideological purist:

        It’s true that Perry was 10th Amendment before 10th Amendment was cool, a believer in the notion that states are the laboratories of democracy — and that nothing good comes top-down from government.
        4.

    He opposes federal stimulus money:

        Perry made headlines during the 2009 legislative session when he turned down $555 million in federal stimulus funding to extend unemployment insurance , citing the strings attached, and he has made a talking point out of the “failed stimulus.”
        5.
        He has presided over an unqualified economic miracle: When Perry says Texas has less than 10 percent of the nation’s population but has created more than 40 percent of its jobs in the past two years, or that more jobs have been created in Texas in the past decade — that is, on his watch — than in all 49 other states combined, he’s not exaggerating….

    - WaPo, 8-18-11

Campaign Recap August 15, 2011: Ames Iowa GOP Debate & Straw Poll — Texas Gov. Rick Perry Announces Presidential Bid While Tim Pawlenty Withdraws

CAMPAIGN 2012

By Bonnie K. Goodman

Ms. Goodman is the Editor of History Musings. She has a BA in History & Art History & a Masters in Library and Information Studies from McGill University, and has done graduate work in history at Concordia University. Ms. Goodman has also contributed the overviews, and chronologies in History of American Presidential Elections, 1789-2008, 4th edition, edited by Gil Troy, Fred L. Israel, and Arthur Meier Schlesinger to be published by Facts on File, Inc. in late 2011.

CAMPAIGN BUZZ 2012

Richard Ellis/Getty Images
Gov. Rick Perry of Texas announced his candidacy for president at the RedState Gathering, a meeting of conservative activists, in Charleston, S.C., on Saturday.

STATS & POLLS

Republican Presidential Candidates: Primaries 2012 — NYT

Democratic Nominee 2012: President Barack Obama’s Official Reelection Campaign Website — BarackObama.com

Republican National Committee

Democratic National Committee

  • Gallup Poll: Election 2012 — Track GOP Contender’s Images Week by Week — Generic Ballot Gallup
  • Gallup: Presidential Job Approval Gallup
  • Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval: Each result is based on a three-day rolling average Gallup
  • Poll Watch: Polls and Related Articles From The New York Times NYT
  • Top tier emerges as GOP nomination race enters a defining phase: With Rick Perry declaring his candidacy and Michele Bachmann winning the Iowa straw poll, the two go head-to-head for the GOP’s social and religious conservatives and against establishment front-runner Mitt Romney…. – LAT, 8-15-11

QUOTES & SPEECHES

    • AP Interview: Perry calls jobs record a big plus: Texas Gov. Rick Perry contended Monday he has the best economic record and executive experience in government of any Republican presidential candidate, contrasting his credentials with those of his top two rivals, Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann…. – AP, 8-15-11

“I respect all the other candidates in the field but there is no one that can stand toe-to-toe with us.”

“There’s plenty of time to look at his four years in Massachusetts and my 10 years in Texas.”

“Trying to compare the job creation and the numbers of jobs with any other state is just not an apples-to-apples comparison.”

“I was in the private sector for 13 years after I left the Air Force. I wasn’t on Wall Street. I wasn’t working at Bain Capital. But the principles of the free market, they work whether you’re in a farm field in Iowa or whether you’re on Wall Street.”

“It’s a fair comparison. Understanding how that process works, but more importantly making that process work, of which we have done in Texas, is inarguably better than … anyone who is aspiring to be the president.”

“I’m going to talk about the economy; don’t get any ideas that I’m going to run away from my faith or my beliefs.”

QUOTES & SPEECHES

Mitt Romney: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts mittromney.com

Rick Perry: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts rickperry.org

Ron Paul: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ronpaul2012.com

Herman Cain: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts hermancain.com

Michele Bachmann: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts michelebachmann.com

Newt Gingrich: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts newt.org

Jon Huntsman: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts jon2012.com

Rick Santorum: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ricksantorum.com

The Ames Republican debate transcript: Everything they said that you missed — LAT, 8-13-11

“In Iowa we have successfully maintained the chain of liberty for 150 years my family has lived in Iowa. I’m the seventh-generation Iowan. And every generation has successfully handed the torch of liberty to the next. It’s as though we have forged a chain-link of liberty, and every generation has successfully kept the chain going. And now it’s our chance, here in Iowa. We get to forge that next chain on the link of liberty.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann

“I want to say on television what I said to you personally, I sincerely apologize, I didn’t mean to do it.” — Chris Wallace, Host “Fox News Sunda.”
“All is forgiven, we move forward, so we’re good to go.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann

“It is time to get America working again, to get citizens – to get our citizens working in good jobs and getting the government to working for the people again.” — Gov. Rick Perry

“Page 1 of any economic plan to get America working is to give a pink slip to the current resident in the White House. The president of the United States has a pen. It’s called a veto pen. And I will use it until the ink runs out if that’s what it takes.” — Gov. Rick Perry in Waterloo, Iowa

“The American people now, by a large majority, are saying we have been overseas too long. We don’t need an American empire. We need to protect our borders and forget about the borders in Afghanistan and Pakistan. It’s time to bring the troops home. All we have to do is restore the belief in freedom, restore the belief in what made America great, restore our conviction that the Constitution works.” — Rep. Ron Paul of Texas in his speech at the Iowa straw poll

“Obviously that message didn’t get the kind of traction or lift that we needed and hoped for coming into and out of the Ames Straw Poll. We needed to get some lift to continue on and to have a pathway forward. That didn’t happen. So I’m announcing this morning on your show that I’m going to be ending my campaign for president.
All of them are going to be tested, and somebody who can thrive in this process will have their mettle tested, and they’ll be improved. And so a lot of times you see candidates start out weaker, they get stronger over time, or start out strong and fall by the wayside. So we just don’t know.” — Tim Pawlenty, the former governor of Minnesota, dropped his presidential bid in an appearance on ABC’s “This Week” program hosted by Jack Tapper

“Tim Pawlenty and his entire team ran an honorable campaign. I admire his accomplishments as a two-term governor with a record of results for his state. I consider him a friend and I know he has a bright future ahead of him as a leader in the Republican Party.” — Mitt Romney

“Tim Pawlenty is an accomplished governor, a proud conservative and someone of tremendous character. Our families became close while we were serving together as governors and we are honored to call the Pawlentys dear friends. I know this wasn’t an easy decision for Tim and Mary, and I wish them nothing but the best. Tim should be proud that he brought to this race ambitious solutions to turn around our nation’s economy and to tackle debt and spending. I hope that all of his supporters continue to stay engaged in this defining election and work with us to ensure that our party wins in November.” — Jon M. Huntsman Jr.

“Tim Pawlenty is a good friend and colleague who I have worked closely with over the years, including visiting our troops in Iraq and Afghanistan. As a governor, Tim stuck to conservative principles despite leading a blue state like Minnesota. He and Mary are true patriots who are committed to our country, and ran an honorable campaign that reflected their integrity. Governor Pawlenty’s common-sense conservative voice will remain prominent and influential as we work to beat President Obama in 2012 and get America working again.” — Gov. Rick Perry

“This morning I spoke with Governor Pawlenty to express my respect and admiration for him, and to wish him and his family well. Running for the presidency requires enormous self-sacrifice. Governor Pawlenty brought an important voice and ideas to the campaign, and he served the people of Minnesota and our country well. Our party and our country are better as a result of his service and commitment.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann

    • GOP candidates slam Obama on US credit downgrade: The 2012 Republican presidential contenders have roundly criticized President Barack Obama for economic policies they contend helped drive the downgrade of U.S. credit by a major ratings agency…. – AP, 8-9-11

“Markets will rise and fall, but this is the United States of America. No matter what some agency may say, we’ve always been and always will be a triple-A country.” — President Obama said at the White House.

“Stop attacking, take responsibility and lead.” — Mitt Romney

“These problems have been percolating for a lot of years — both parties have to take some blame — but it’s also true that President Obama has made them exponentially worse.” — Tim Pawlenty said at an event in Ames

“You look at where the marketplace is today, you look at our downgrade, you look at all the economic woes that every American family has seen play out over the past little while. We’ve done this to ourselves and it’s time to reverse this business-unfriendly attitude of the past 2½ years.” — Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman

IN FOCUS: THE AMES IOWA GOP/REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES DEBATE

    • FACT CHECK: Republican debate strains some facts: Michele Bachmann cast her opinion as a settled fact when she told the Republican presidential debate Thursday that a key element of President Barack Obama’s health care law is unconstitutional. And Mitt Romney danced around an attempt to learn why he stayed largely mum on the epic debt limit standoff between Obama and Congress. The first big GOP debate of the primary season brought viewers a flurry of claims and counterclaims, not all built on solid ground…. – AP, 8-12-11

The Ames Republican debate transcript: Everything they said that you missed — LAT, 8-13-11

Ames presidential debate: Winners and losers: The Washinton Post names Romney, Bachmann and Paul were among the winners.

BACHMANN: Spoke of “the unconstitutional individual mandate” several times, a reference to a requirement for people to carry health insurance, a central element of the 2010 federal health care law.
THE FACTS: Nothing is unconstitutional until courts declare it to be so.

TIM PAWLENTY: “To correct you, I have not questioned Congresswoman Bachmann’s headaches.”
THE FACTS: Pawlenty was hardly dismissive when news came out about Bachmann’s history of severe headaches, even if he did not go after her directly on the matter.

ROMNEY: on the last-minute deal to avert a national debt default: “I’m not going to eat Barack Obama’s dog food, all right? What he served up was not what I would have done if I’d had been president of the United States.”
THE FACTS: Romney was defending himself against criticism that he took a pass when political leadership was most needed in the mighty struggle to negotiate an agreement to raise the debt ceiling.

RICK SANTORUM: “The problem is that we have spending that has exploded. The government’s averaged 18 percent of GDP as the percentage of the overall economy. … And we’re now at almost 25 percent. Revenues are down about 2 or 3 percent. So if you look at where the problem is, the problem is in spending, not taxes.”
THE FACTS: The former Pennsylvania senator might have been mixing statistics on federal spending with federal revenue.

BACHMANN to PAWLENTY: “You said the era of small government was over. That sounds an awful lot like Barack Obama if you ask me.”
THE FACTS: Pawlenty did not declare the era of small government over. (Neither has Obama.)

“If that’s your record of results, please stop, because you’re killing us. Leading and failing is not the objective.” — Gov. Tim Pawlenty

“I believe you can get money wrong, but you can’t get life wrong. It was a choice. The governor put us in that box and I chose to protect human life.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann

    • Bachmann, Pawlenty challenge each other in debate: Fellow Minnesotans Tim Pawlenty and Michele Bachmann directly challenged each other during Thursday’s GOP debate in Iowa, with Pawlenty calling her a failure and Bachmann likening her Republican competitor to President Barack Obama…. – AP, 8-11-11
    • GOP debate opens with economic questions: Republican front-runner Mitt Romney says he would have supported a plan by congressional Republicans to cut spending and force a vote on a federal balanced budget amendment to address the nation’s debt crisis…. – AP, 8-11-11
    • “I’m not going to eat Barack Obama’s dog food. What he served up is not what I would have done if I’d had been president of the United States.” — Mitt Romney

“She said she’s got a titanium spine. It’s not her spine we’re worried about. It’s her record of results. If that’s your view of effective leadership with results, please stop, because you’re killing us.” — Tim Pawlenty

“Iran is not Iceland, Ron. Iran is a country that has been at war with us since 1979. Iran is a country that has killed more American men and women in uniform in Iraq and Afghanistan than the Iraqis and [Afghans] have.” — Rick Santorum

  • GOP Debate: Live Blog of Republican Face-off in Iowa — ABC News, 8-11-11
  • 7 Best Moments from the GOP Debate: Bachmann and Pawlenty drop the gloves, Herman Cain talks religion, and Rick Santorum decries the oppression of gays—in Iran. Watch the best moments from the GOP debate…. – The Daily Beast, 8-12-11
  • FACT CHECK: Republican debate strains some facts: Michele Bachmann cast her opinion as a settled fact when she told the Republican presidential debate Thursday that a key element of President Barack Obama’s health care law is unconstitutional. And Mitt Romney danced around an attempt to learn why he stayed largely mum on the epic debt limit standoff between Obama and Congress.
    The first big GOP debate of the primary season brought viewers a flurry of claims and counterclaims, not all built on solid ground.
    A look at some of those claims and how they compare with the facts…. – AP, 8-11-11
  • GOP debate: Hitting hard at each other and Obama: Minnesota rivals Tim Pawlenty and Michele Bachmann sparred bitterly Thursday night during an eight-candidate Republican debate, trying to break out of the GOP presidential pack ahead of an Iowa test vote with huge consequences. Each seeks to become the main challenger to Republican front-runner Mitt Romney.
    Their efforts were newly complicated by Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who stole some of the spotlight from afar by making it known hours before the debate that he was running for the GOP nomination.
    Romney, a multimillionaire businessman who casts himself as a jobs creator, made his own stir earlier in the day when, at the Iowa State Fair, he declared that “corporations are people,” drawing ridicule from Democrats…. – AP, 8-11-11
  • GOP debate: Romney skates amid Pawlenty, Bachmann slugfest: The Republican presidential debate here Thursday night went about as well as Mitt Romney could have asked for. Despite being the frontrunner for the nomination, Romney largely avoided the slings and arrows of his rivals. … – CBS News, 8-11-11
  • Pawlenty, Bachmann Square Off Ahead of Iowa Straw Poll: “Minnesota nice” went out the window Thursday when former Gov. Tim Pawlenty and Rep. Michele Bachmann took each other on directly in a manner that clearly suggested each one sees the other as their main obstacle to a strong showing at the Iowa Straw Poll on Saturday…. – PBS Newshour, 8-11-11
  • GOP candidates debate in Ames, Iowa: Presumptive front-runner Mitt Romney steers clear of the toughest exchanges as midtier Republican presidential hopefuls like Michele Bachmann and Tim Pawlenty spar ahead of Saturday’s straw poll…. – LAT, 8-11-11
  • Republican Presidential Hopefuls Gather for Debate Before Iowa Straw Poll: Republican presidential rivals went on the attack in a nationally televised debate yesterday, shedding the politeness marking previous forums as they squared off in Iowa before a weekend … – Bloomberg, 8-11-11
  • GOP debate kicks campaign into new phase: For most of the year, the Republican presidential race has been a listless affair. That changed suddenly Thursday night during a raucous debate that produced the sharpest exchanges of the campaign and signaled a new and more intense phase … – WaPo, 8-11-11
  • Welcome to the race, Rick! Other candidates tweak absent Perry at Iowa debate: Rick Perry wasn’t on the stage in Ames, Iowa tonight, but he was on the minds — and tongues — of the other Republican … – Houston Chronicle, 8-11-11
  • Tim Pawlenty, Michele Bachmann exchange blows at Republican debate: The simmering rivalry between Tim Pawlenty and Michele Bachmann erupted at Thursday night’s Republican primary debate here, transforming Iowa’s first 2012 forum into a full-blown slugfest.
    The Minnesota duo have been in a low-grade tug of war for months over the affections of Iowa conservatives. With a crucial test looming for both at the Ames straw poll this Saturday, the Pawlenty-Bachmann rivalry turned so intense that it threatened to crowd out the other candidates completely.
    The charges were familiar: Pawlenty once again called Bachmann’s accomplishments “nonexistent.” Bachmann wielded well-worn attacks on Pawlenty tenure as governor…. – Politico, 8-11-11
  • Bachmann asked whether wives should be submissive: The Bible tells wives to be submissive to their husbands. If she were president, would that apply to Michele Bachmann? In Thursday’s Republican debate in Iowa, the Minnesota congresswoman was asked if she would be submissive to her husband… – AP, 8-11-11
  • Waiting for Bachmann: The debate just came back from the first-hour commercial break, with one podium empty. “Are we actually missing a candidate on the stage?” sked Bret Baier. “We are. Congresswoman Bachmann.” Continue Reading She walked back a minute later…. – Politico, 8-11-11
  • Fighting for Iowa: With Rick Perry on the verge of entering the presidential contest, there seem for now to be three slots: Romney’s fragile, electable machine; Perry’s conservative challenge; and — at most — one more. Michele Bachmann’s grassroots populism is the most … – Politico, 8-11-11
  • The Gloves Come Off at Iowa Debate: Fox News anchors are testing the microphones. Reporters have assembled in a cavernous room with hundreds of folding tables and chairs. Senior aides to the candidates are finishing up their efforts at pre-debate spin.
    Television viewers will tune in to Thursday night’s debate promptly at 9 Eastern time, but the highly orchestrated media event began several hours ago.
    Fox News and the Iowa Republican Party are hosting the third Republican debate of this campaign season at Stephens Auditorium on the grounds of Iowa State University. The reporters — hundreds have been issued credentials — are at the next-door Hilton Coliseum…. – NYT, 8-11-11

IN FOCUS: FORMER MINNESOTA GOVERNOR TIM PAWLENTY ENDS PRESIDENTIAL BID

    • Pawlenty ends 2012 GOP bid: Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty announced Sunday morning that he is stepping out of the race for the GOP presidential nomination, after a disappointing finish in the Iowa straw poll.
      “We cannot envision a path forward to victory and so therefore we made a decision to end the campaign,” he said in an early-morning conference call to supporters.

Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty Quitting Repubican Presidential Race: Tim Pawlenty, the former governor Minnesota, dropped out of the race for the Republican presidential race on Sunday.
Mr. Pawlenty told supporters on a conference call Sunday morning that he would announce later in the day that he was ending his campaign after a disappointing finish in the Iowa straw poll on Saturday. The poll was a test of organizational strength and popularity in the state whose caucuses lead off the nomination fight.
Mr. Pawlenty had struggled to gain traction in Iowa, a state he had said he must win, after laying the groundwork for a campaign for nearly two years. He’s been eclipsed in polls in recent months by his Minnesota rival, Representative Michele Bachmann. She topped the straw poll on Saturday…. – NYT, 8-14-11

“We needed to get some lift to continue on and have a pathway forward and that didn’t happen, so I’m announcing on your show that I’m ending my campaign for president.
I wish it would have been different, but obviously the pathway forward for me doesn’t really exist, so we’re going to end the campaign.
I’m doing this because I love this country and I want to defeat Barack Obama because I think he’s got it on the wrong course, but I don’t get my identity or my sense of worth or my values or my faith from politics. I get it from my personal faith in God, and I believe in this country, I love this country, I thought I would have been a great president.
Obviously, we had some success raising money, but we needed to continue that, and Ames was a benchmark for that. And if we didn’t do well in Ames, we weren’t going to have the fuel to keep the car going down the road. But also, there’s a lot of other choices in the race. And for me, what I brought forward I thought was a rational, established, credible, strong record of results, based on experience governing — a two-term governor of a blue state. But I think the audience, so to speak, was looking for something different.” — Tim Pawlenty announcing he is ending Presidential bid on ABC’s “This Week” with Jack Tapper

  • Pawlenty Drops Out of Republican Race: Tim Pawlenty, the former governor of Minnesota, dropped his bid for the Republican nomination for president on Sunday morning, saying his disappointing performance in Iowa’s straw poll convinced him that his campaign had run its course…. – NYT, 8-14-11
  • Pawlenty Drops 2012 Presidential Bid: Tim Pawlenty announced an end to his presidential candidacy Sunday after what he called a “disappointing” third place finish in the Ames, Iowa, straw poll. The former Minnesota governor said he had hoped to get a jolt from the preference poll… – Fox News, 8-14-11
  • Tim Pawlenty ends presidential campaign: Former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty said today he will end his campaign for the GOP presidential nomination. Pawlenty informed his supporters in a conference call and then announced his decision on ABC’s This Week. … – USA Today, 8-14-11
  • Pawlenty to quit 2012 presidential race: Former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty is ending his bid for the Republican nomination for president, he told about 75 supporters on an early morning conference call from Iowa on Sunday…. – WaPo, 8-14-11
  • Republican Tim Pawlenty ends White House bid: The former governor of Minnesota ends his bid for the GOP nomination after a disapppointing third place finish in the Iowa Straw Poll…. – LAT, 8-14-11
  • Tim Pawlenty Exits 2012 Presidential Race After Poor Iowa Showing: Tim Pawlenty made headlines Sunday but not the sort he was hoping to. He announced on ABC News This Week that he has dropped out of the hunt for the 2012 GOP presidential nomination after coming in a disappointing third in the Iowa’s Ames Straw Poll…. – NPR (blog), 8-14-11
  • Cain: Pawlenty ‘doubleddown’ in Iowa: GOP presidential candidate Herman Cain said former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty put a huge effort into a strong showing in Saturday’s Iowa straw poll and lost that gamble. Pawlenty pulled out of the race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination…. – Politico, 8-14-11
  • Former Minn. Gov. Tim Pawlenty drops out of GOP presidential race; finished 3rd: Hours after finishing third at the Iowa straw poll, former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty is quitting the GOP presidential race. Pawlenty told supporters on a conference call Sunday morning that he would formally announce he’s withdrawing … New York Daily News, 8-14-11
  • Pawlenty: No fuel for the car: Martin and Cogan report: After spending much of his money to finish a distant third in the Ames Straw Poll, Tim Pawlenty ended his presidential bid Sunday. “We needed to get some lift to continue on and have a pathway forward and that didn’t happen.”… – Politico, 8-14-11
  • Tim Pawlenty leaving presidential race: After spending much of his money to finish a distant third in the Ames straw poll, Tim Pawlenty ended his presidential bid Sunday. Pawlenty revealed his decision on an early morning conference call with supporters, an aide told POLITICO…. – Politico, 8-14-11
  • Tim Pawlenty dropping out of presidential race: Former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty speaks during a town hall meeting Monday, May 23, 2011, at the State of Iowa Historical Building in Des Moines, Iowa. Former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty is dropping out of the presidential race, sources told…. – CBS News, 8-14-11
  • Pawlenty Withdraws From Race: Former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty has dropped out of the 2012 race for president, according to the Associated Press. Pawlenty told supporters on a conference call Sunday morning that he would announce on ABC’s “This Week”… – AP, 8-14-11

IN FOCUS: REP. MICHELE BACHMANN WINS IOWA AMES STRAW POLL

Michele Bachmann wins Ames Straw Poll: Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) won the Ames Straw Poll in Iowa on Saturday. The straw poll is a key test of organizational strength in the race to run against President Obama, although its winner has not necessarily gone on to win the Iowa caucus or the Republican presidential nomination. Those candidates who underperform in the contest, however, have sometimes dropped out of the primary race soon after competing.

“I want to thank the people of Iowa for this tremendous victory. Together we sent a message that we intend to make President Obama a one-term president. The Iowa Straw Poll was a important first step in what will be a long race for the presidency. Now we turn our attention toward winning the Iowa Caucuses and taking our message of reining in wasteful spending, keeping taxes low, growing our economy and creating jobs to the people of New Hampshire, South Carolina and all 50 states.” Rep. Michele Bachmann following the announcement of her victory

“It is time to get America working again. That’s why, with the support of my family, and an unwavering belief in the goodness of America, I declare to you today my candidacy for president of the United States.” — Texas Governor Rick Perry

Ames Straw Poll Results:
Michele Bachmann: 4,823
Ron Paul: 4,671
Tim Pawlenty: 2,293
Rick Santorum: 1657
Herman Cain: 1456
Rick Perry: 718
Mitt Romney: 567

Representative Michele Bachmann Tops Iowa Straw Poll: Michele Bachmann’s high-intensity, Tea Party-inspired critique of President Obama propelled her to a first-place finish in the straw poll in Ames, Iowa, on Saturday, giving her presidential campaign a boost as the field of rivals expanded to include Gov. Rick Perry of Texas. Mrs. Bachmann bested an incomplete collection of her presidential rivals in a nonbinding, early test of political organization in the state that will hold the first presidential voting early next year.
Representative Ron Paul of Texas came in second on the strength of his appeals for radically smaller government, a pullout of troops from American wars and stronger efforts to reduce the country’s debt.
Tim Pawlenty, the former governor of Minnesota, came in a distant third after struggling for weeks to create the kind of political buzz that could provide momentum for his candidacy…. – NYT, 8-13-11

  • Bachmann Victorious in Iowa Straw Poll; Paul Places Second: Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann took her surging candidacy to a new level by taking first place in the straw poll with 4,823 votes. Texas Rep. Ron Paul came in a very close second with 4,671 votes. Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty placed a distant third with 2,293 votes…. – PBS Newshour, 8-13-11
  • Bachmann talks like a front-runner: ‘It’s on to all 50 states': Newly minted Ames Straw Poll winner Michele Bachmann is already sounding like a front-runner – saying her win is the “first step” on the road to the White House…. – CNN, 8-13-11
  • Bachmann wins Iowa straw poll as Perry looms: Michele Bachmann captured the famed Iowa straw poll in Ames Saturday, reaching a high-profile benchmark in her meteoric rise to a top-tier presidential candidate…. – LAT, 8-13-11
  • Bachmann wins Iowa straw poll as Perry jumps in: Bachmann narrowly won the Iowa straw poll in a contest that dealt a major setback to third- place finisher Tim Pawlenty. The events of Saturday marked the opening of an accelerating chapter in a 2012 GOP campaign that has been slow to take shape…. – WaPO, 8-13-11
  • Iowa’s Straw Poll Suicide: Ames Now Irrelevant: With Michele Bachmann and Ron Paul leading the Ames Straw Poll and Tim Pawlenty, Rick Santorum and Herman Cain next — ahead of Rick Perry and Mitt Romney — only the local buttermilk cows should be holding their heads high…. – The Atlantic, 8-13-11
  • ‘History was made': Agile internet fundraiser Michele Bachmann, within two hours of her win, sent a fundraising email to her list off the fact that “history was made today in Iowa” at the Ames Straw Poll. The historic element was that she was the first woman ever to win…. – Politico, 8-13-11
  • Perry overshadows Bachmann’s Iowa victory: As the Texas governor makes a fiery entry into the Republican race, the Minnesota congresswoman narrowly defeats Ron Paul to win the Ames straw poll. Tim Pawlenty places a distant third…. – LAT, 8-13-11
  • Ames bragging rights: Perry edges Mitt: Neither was competing in Iowa, but Rick Perry won an in-your-face victory of sorts over Mitt Romney Saturday: The Texas governor bested the nominal frontrunner by 151 votes in the Ames Straw Poll…. – Politico, 8-13-11
  • Perry, Bachmann galvanize Republicans in US race: Popular Texas Governor Rick Perry hurdled into the forefront of the Republican White House race, overshadowing Tea Party darling Michele Bachmann’s victory in a telling early poll…. – AFP, 8-13-11
  • ‘Hi, y’all!': Texas Gov. Rick Perry hits N.H. running in GOP prez bid: Texas Gov. Rick Perry brought a little Lone Star swagger to New Hampshire this evening, promising he’d boost jobs nationwide if voters send him to the White House, as he officially entered the already crowded Republican Presidential campaign…. – Boston Herald, 8-13-11
  • Rick Perry arrives to excited crowd in New Hampshire: Rick Perry touched down in New Hampshire late Saturday for his first official campaign stop, hours after kicking off his presidential campaign, and fielded questions from the delighted crowd at a house party with ease…. – Politico, 8-13-11
  • Perry Releases New Campaign Video: On the heels of his official presidential announcement, Rick Perry has unveiled a new, two-minute campaign video. The biographical video describes the governor of Texas as “America’s jobs governor.”… – NYT, 8-13-11
  • Iowa GOP straw poll: The power of not being there: This year’s Iowa Republican straw poll was largely defined by the man who wasn’t there, Texas Gov. Rick Perry. Inside the Hilton Coliseum on Saturday, one candidate after another vowed to make Barack Obama a one-term president…. – Kansas City Star, 8-13-11
  • Sarah Palin casts shadow over Rick Perry, Iowa Straw Poll: The biggest draw at the Iowa State Fair on Friday wasn’t the butter cow. It was a human magnet named Sarah Palin…. – Sacramento Bee, 8-13-11
  • Iowa straw poll wins rarely lead to big time: It was a big day in Iowa for people who will not be president. Michele Bachmann crushed at the Ames straw poll, and Ron Paul came in a strong second. If history is any guide, that means neither candidate will make it to the White House. The man who many Republicans think will win the nomination was half a country away. In South Carolina, Texas Gov. Rick Perry announced that he is running for president.
    The two poles of energy in the Republican race highlighted the tension that faces the party: between sending a message to Washington and sending a candidate who can win an election. All parties face this tension, but it is particularly acute for the Republican Party at the moment. President Barack Obama is weak, which means a Republican candidate could appeal to independents who have soured on Obama. At the same time, Tea Party activists–who give the party its power and energy and who have reshaped politics in Washington–alienate those same independent voters…. – CBS News, 8-13-11

IN FOCUS: TEXAS GOV. RICK PERRY ANNOUNCES HE IS RUNNING FOR THE REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION

Rick Perry launches his 2012 presidential bid: Texas Gov. Rick Perry officially declared his presidential candidacy Saturday, telling a crowd in the key primary state of South Carolina that he will run for the nomination to challenge President Obama in 2012.
“I do not accept the path that America is on…Because a renewed nation needs a renewed president. It is time to get America working again,” Perry told the cheering crowd. “I declare to you today as a candidate for president of the United States of America.”
Perry formally announced his intentions to attendees of a conference run by the conservative blog RedState.
Perry’s speech, coming on the same day Republicans in Ames, Iowa cast the first votes of the GOP nomination contest, is the start of a campaign launch that includes a stop in New Hampshire later Saturday and then several days of events in the Hawkeye State starting Sunday.

“I came to South Carolina because I will not sit back and accept the path that America is on, because a great country requires a better direction, because a renewed nation needs a new president…. With the support of my family and unwavering belief in the goodness of America, I declare to you today as a candidate for president of the United States.” — Texas Gov. Rick Perry

“It’s time to get America working again…. Page one of any economic plan to get American working is to give a pink slip to the current residents in the White House….
This sure doesn’t feel like a recovery. Recovery is a meaningless word if the bank has foreclosed on your home….
America is not broken, Washington, D.C. is broken….
There is no taxpayer money that wasn’t first earned by the sweat and toil of one of our citizens.” — Texas Gov. Rick Perry

Transcript of Gov. Perry’s announcement of presidential campaign — RickPerry.org

www.rickperry.org

    • Texas Gov. Perry jumps into 2012 Republican race: Texas Gov. Rick Perry joined the 2012 GOP race for president Saturday with an announcement sure to reverberate halfway across the country as his rivals competed in Iowa for the support of party activists. “I full well believe I’m going to win.”… – AP, 8-13-11
    • Texas Governor Perry launches 2012 presidential bid: Rick Perry, the conservative governor of Texas, declared himself a candidate for president on Saturday, shaking up the race for the Republican nomination to face Democratic President Barack Obama…. – Reuters, 8-13-11
    • Rick Perry Enters G.O.P. Race for President: Gov. Rick Perry of Texas announced Saturday that he was running for president, declaring it was “time to get America working again” as he sought to offer the Republican Party a well-rounded candidate who appeals to fiscal conservatives and can also rally the evangelical base.
      As many of his fellow candidates flooded Iowa over the weekend to woo voters at the Ames Straw Poll, Mr. Perry headed here to announce that he was seeking the nomination at the RedState Gathering, an annual convention of conservative bloggers….. Mr. Perry, 61, whose spectral presence has lingered over the Republican primary contest — he was even the topic of a question at Thursday night’s Republican debate in Iowa — officially became a candidate for the Republican nomination…. – NYT, 8-13-11
    • Election 101: 11 questions about Rick Perry and his White House bid: James Richard Perry wants to hang his cowboy hat in the White House. The Texas governor announced Saturday at a campaign stop in South Carolina that he was running for president. He was also traveling later in the day to New Hampshire, and planned a visit to Iowa…. – CS Monitor, 8-13-11
    • Rick Perry joins 2012 race: Texas Gov. Rick Perry launched his campaign for the Republican presidential nomination in Charleston, South Carolina Saturday, scrambling the GOP field from afar on the same day Iowans were casting ballots in the Ames Straw Poll…. – Politico, 8-13-11
    • Texas Gov. Rick Perry declares GOP presidential bid: Scrambling the field of Republican hopefuls vying to replace President Obama, Texas Gov. Rick Perry announced his bid for the White House Saturday, arguing that America could not afford four more years of Barack Obama…. – LAT, 8-13-11
    • Perry Says He’s Running for President: Texas Gov. Rick Perry said Saturday that he was running for president, a move that recasts the GOP nominating contest with the addition of a tough campaigner and proven fund-raiser to an unusually unsettled field. … – WSJ, 8-13-11
    • Texas Gov. Rick Perry announces presidential run: Texas Gov. Rick Perry, speaking Saturday to a conservative group meeting in South Carolina, officially launched his bid for the Republican presidential nomination. Perry stated, “It’s time to get America working again.”… – CNN, 8-13-11
    • Texas Governor announces bid for presidency: Opinion polls indicate Texas Governor Rick Perry enters the race close on the heels of former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, the early front-runner to win the 2012 Republican nomination…. – National Post, 8-13-11
    • Rick Perry officially announces presidential bid: Texas Governor Rick Perry has announced his bid for the 2012 Republican nomination…. – CBS News, 8-13-11
    • With broad attack on Obama, Texan Rick Perry enters GOP fray: After more than a decade as his state’s longest serving governor, Texan Rick Perry moved onto the national political stage Saturday by declaring his entry into the 2012 presidential race, immediately transforming the scramble for the Republican nomination…. – Kansas City Star, 8-13-11

“Governor Perry’s economic policies are a carbon copy of the economic policies of Washington Republicans. He pledged to support the cut cap and balance plan that would preserve subsidies for oil and gas companies and tax cuts for the wealthiest while ending Medicare as we know it, eroding Social Security, eliminating hundreds of thousands of jobs and erasing investments in education and research and development. That’s the same approach he took in Texas, where middle class families know his economic record is no miracle – it’s a tall tale. Governor Perry allowed special interests to write their own rules, hired corporate lobbyists to oversee corporations, and cut funding for programs that would create opportunity for middle class families. In a Republican field that has already pledged allegiance to the Tea Party and failed to present any plan that will benefit the middle class or create the jobs America needs to win the future, Governor Perry offers more of the same.” — Obama Campaign

  • Barack Obama camp blasts Rick Perry’s record as ‘tall tale': The Obama campaign is out with a tough statement on Rick Perry’s campaign launch, accusing the Texas governor of telling a “tall tale” about his record on job growth and economic expansion, and previewing a line of attack on Perry’s close relationships…. – Politico, 8-13-11
  • Rick Perry’s entry sets up a clarifying contrast: Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s entry into the presidential race puts into especially sharp focus the clash of visions between Republicans and President Obama over the proper role of government.
    In Perry and the state he has led for more than a decade, Republican voters are being offered the Platonic ideal of the GOP model for economic growth — low taxes, scant regulation and limited public services…. – WaPo, 8-13-11

IN FOCUS: TEXAS GOV. RICK PERRY WILL ANNOUNCE HE IS RUNNING FOR THE REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION ON SATURDAY

Texas Governor Rick Perry will officially announce that he is running for the Republican Presidential nomination on Saturday in South Carolina

“He said, ‘You’ll do what’s right.’ He said, you don’t want to wake up when you’re 70 and go, ‘I wish I had tried that. I wish I had done that.'” — Gov. Rick Perry Perry of a June conversation with former president George W. Bush

“I’ve got a record. And that record, particularly when it comes to the most important issues in this campaign, which is creating the climate of America that gives incentives to job creators to risk their capital and create jobs for our citizens, I will put that up against anybody who’s running and particularly against this President we have today, whose jobs record is abysmal.” — Gov. Rick Perry

“This country’s begging for someone to lay out a vision of hope–real hope–and get America back working again….
I’ll put that record up against anybody that’s running, either on the Republican side or the Democratic side…. If you just want to look at the track record of when Mitt was the governor of Massachusetts versus my years being the governor of Texas, mine doesn’t need any propping up….
My hope is that in four years, people can take a look at what we’ve done in Washington, D.C., and they know that I’ve made Washington, D.C. less consequential in their lives” — Rick Perry in an interview Thursday with New Hampshire television station WMUR

Q&A: Rick Perry Is Ready to Run: Rick Perry is primed to announce his bid for the Republican presidential nomination on Saturday in South Carolina. TIME’s Mark Halperin caught up with the Texas governor in Austin and asked him about his feelings on a White House run, his conservative credentials and his rumored rocky relationship with the Bushes. Lightly edited highlights from their conversation follow…. – Time, 8-11-11

Perry near top of pack in GOP nomination battle: According to a CNN/ORC International poll, 15 percent of Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP pick Perry as their first choice for their party’s nomination, just two points behind former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who’s making his second bid for the White House. Romney’s two point margin over Perry is within the survey’s sampling error …
The survey indicates that former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who is making his third bid for the White House, are at 12 percent apiece. CNN, 8-11-11

Rick Perry strong in primary, weak in general election, poll finds: Rick Perry is just 3 percentage points out of first place in the GOP presidential primary, according to a McClatchy-Marist poll released this week. The national survey found Perry with 18 percent support, versus 21 percent for current front-runner Mitt Romney…. – Politico, 8-11-11

Before Declaring Rick Perry Polls 2nd: A key reason for Perry being the weakest opponent is that he’s weakest among independents.
Obama led Romney among independents by 41-35, a 6-percentage-point lead. The president led Pawlenty among the pivotal voting bloc by 49-37, a 12-point edge. Obama led Bachmann among independents by 46-34, also a 12-point advantage, and Perry by 49-30, a 19-point lead…. – McClatchy Newspapers, 8-9-11

Rick Perry May Challenge Mitt Romney’s Frontrunner Status: Texas Governor Rick Perry will seek the Republican presidential nomination. Mark Miner, Perry’s spokesman, confirmed Perry’s presidential intentions. “He will make a definitive announcement on Saturday for the race,” Miner said. However, when Perry’s spokesman was pressed to confirm the Texas Governor’s entry into the 2012 presidential race, he said “yes.”… – The State Column, 8-11-11

  • Perry to announce WH bid Saturday, reports say: Sounds like Rick Perry is still trying to take some attention from the happenings in Iowa. Hours before the big Republican debate in Ames tonight, Perry’s people are putting out the word that the Texas governor will indeed announce he is seeking the presidency in a speech at the Red State gathering in South Carolina on Saturday…. – USA Today, 8-11-11
  • CNN: Texas Gov. Rick Perry running for president: Texas Gov. Rick Perry will announce Saturday in South Carolina that he is running for president a Republican familiar with the plans told CNN. Previous reports had indicated that Perry would use a speech at the conservative Red State Gathering in South Carolina… – CNN, 8-11-11
  • CNN Poll: Perry Among the GOP Frontrunners: He’s not yet an official candidate, but a new CNN/ORC poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry is among the frontrunners for the GOP nomination. The poll, coming as GOP hopefuls convene in Ames, Iowa for a pivotal debate ahead of the Iowa straw poll…. – U.S. News & World Report, 8-11-11
  • Rick Perry on running for president: ‘This is what I’m supposed to be doing': On the same day many of his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination will compete in the Iowa Straw Poll, Texas Gov. Rick Perry will officially declare his candidacy Saturday, ending weeks of speculation…. – WaPo, 8-11-11
  • Texas Governor Perry to run for president: report: Texas Governor Rick Perry speaks during the 2011 Republican Leadership Conference in New Orleans, Louisiana June 18, 2011. WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Texas Governor Rick Perry will announce on Saturday that he will run for the 2012 Republican nomination … – Reuters, 8-11-11
  • Its offical (sort of): Spokesman says Rick Perry is indeed running for president: We know this will shock you, but Rick Perry is running for president. After three months of deliberation, the Texas governor is a “go,” our Austin bureau colleague Peggy Fikac reports. Of course, it’s been the worst-kept secret in Texas for weeks. … – Houston Chronicle, 8-11-11
  • Exclusive: Gov. Rick Perry’s All In: Texas Gov. Rick Perry will make “a definitive announcement that he is in the 2012 race for the presidency Saturday,” aides told Fox News. The language is significant…. – Fox News, 8-11-11
  • Perry to announce presidential run Sat.: reports: Texas Gov. Rick Perry will announce on Saturday in South Carolina that he is running for president, reports said Thursday. Reports cited Perry’s spokesman saying the Republican governor will seek the Republican Presidential nomination…. – CBS MarketWatch, 8-11-11
  • Texas Gov. Rick Perry Jumps In Presidential Race: After months of speculation and prodding by Republicans, Texas Governor Rick Perry has officially entered the 2012 race. His spokesman, Mark Miner, told the Associated Press today that Perry is running for president. Perry will deliver a speech at the Red State gathering in South Carolina… — ABC News, 8-11-11
  • Bachmann, Perry to cross paths in Iowa as Texas governor makes debut trip in Iowa: Republican Michele Bachmann isn’t ceding ground in her Iowa birthplace to possible presidential rival Rick Perry. Bachmann announced Thursday that she will appear at a GOP fundraiser in Waterloo on Sunday, the same event that … – WaPo, 8-11-11
  • Iowa website adds Perry to campaign tracker: IowaPolitics.com keeps a handy tally of how much time Republican presidential hopefuls have spent in the state that opens the primary season, and there’s a new face on the list: Gov. Rick Perry…. – Austin American-Statesman, 8-11-11
  • Perry: I’m ‘supposed to’ run for president: Texas Gov. Rick Perry has decided he wants to be president and received advice from former President George W. Bush before reaching his conclusion, according to a new interview with TIME’s Mark Halperin…. – CNN, 8-11-11
  • Perry begins to fill in the blanks: Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) is about to take the plunge into the presidential race. There are, as with any candidate who’s not well known on the national stage, multiple questions. Can he debate? Does he have some policy chops? … – WaPo, 8-11-11
  • Texas Gov. Rick Perry banks on high-dollar donors: Texas Gov. Rick Perry, poised to enter the presidential race this weekend, is a fundraising powerhouse who has relied on a cadre of Republican mega-donors to collect more than $100 million for his three gubernatorial campaigns, state records show…. – USA Today, 8-11-11
  • Perry to focus on jobs: Republican Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who’s set to announce his presidential bid Saturday, laid out his stance on one of the country’s top concerns: job creation. “This country’s begging for someone to lay out a vision of hope–real hope–and get … — CNN, 8-11-11
  • Perry prepares aggressive campaign in NH: While Texas Gov. Rick Perry prepares to declare his candidacy this weekend, behind the scenes his supporters are already planning an aggressive campaign schedule in the first-in-the-nation primary state. … – CNN, 8-11-11
  • Texas Governor Rick Perry to enter race for 2012 Republican nomination for President: Rick Perry’s entry into the GOP’s 2012 field is likely to reshape the contest for the nomination, experts say. Which GOP candidate would you like to see win the nomination? Texas Governor Rick Perry, a staunch conservative with a Washington outsider’s … – New York Daily News,8-11-11
  • Rick Perry’s path to the presidency: Ten steps on the road to 1600 Pennsylvania: After nearly three months of public posturing and private deliberation, Texas Gov. Rick Perry is finally a presidential candidate. A spokesman this afternoon confirmed the worst-kept secret in Texas: Perry will jump into a wide-open Republican race … – Houston Chronicle, 8-11-11
  • GOP insiders say Perry should do well in South Carolina: Texas Gov. Rick Perry will reshuffle the deck for Republican voters Saturday when he announces he is running for president during a visit to Charleston, SC “He’s the 800-pound gorilla who changes the whole makeup of the race,” said Dave Woodard, a Clemson University political scientist and sometimes Republican consultant. “There’s been such a ho-hum reaction to the (GOP) candidates so far. S.C. voters have been waiting for someone else to jump in.”… – Bellingham Herald, 8-11-11
  • 2012 campaign: Rick Perry, a Fred Thompson redux?: We all may remember (or, more likely, most of us don’t) Fred Thompson, the former senator from Tennessee who polled so well as a non-candidate that he belatedly jumped into the 2007-08 GOP primary race. Thompson’s campaign quickly stalled…. – LAT, 8-11-11

IN FOCUS: RICK PERRY INTENDS TO MAKE PRESIDENTIAL INTENTION CLEAR ON SATURDAY

Rick Perry to Make Clear That He Intends to Run for President: Gov. Rick Perry of Texas is preparing to make clear his intentions to join the Republican presidential race on Saturday, two associates said, by visiting South Carolina and New Hampshire on the same day that several of his potential rivals are taking part in the Iowa Straw Poll.
Mr. Perry, who has been inching closer to declaring his candidacy for weeks, is expected to stop short of making a formal announcement. But appearing before Republican crowds in the two early-voting states was intended to clear up any lingering questions about his plans…. – NYT, 8-8-11

“With President Obama’s dismal economic record and Texas’ success in creating jobs and balancing our budget, Governor Perry continues to consider a potential run for The White House…. Stay tuned.” — Mark Miner, a spokesman for Gov. Rick Perry, who declined to elaborate on the timing of any announcement

“There is still a thirst for another voice to come in. They are looking for the kind of leadership he has shown in Texas, while the country has gone the other direction.” — Craig Schoenfeld, an Iowa Republican who is leading a group here called Americans for Perry, which has been signing up supporters for the governor.

    • Perry Signals Intent to Enter Race, Sending a Jolt to GOP Candidates: Gov. Rick Perry of Texas delivered a long-distance jolt to the Republican presidential campaign on Monday by signaling that he intends to join the race and visit South Carolina and New Hampshire on Saturday, the same day his rivals are battling for survival in the Iowa Straw Poll…. — NYT, 8-8-11
    • Rick Perry to make 2012 intentions clear Saturday: Rick Perry intends to use a speech in South Carolina on Saturday to make clear that he’s running for president, POLITICO has learned.
      According to two sources familiar with the plan, the Texas governor will remove any doubt about his White House intentions during his appearance at a RedState conference in Charleston.
      It’s uncertain whether Saturday will mark a formal declaration, but Perry’s decision to disclose his intentions the same day as the Ames straw poll — and then hours later make his first trip to New Hampshire — will send shock waves through the race and upend whatever results come out of the straw poll…. – Politico, 8-8-11
    • Rick Perry to affirm plans for presidential bid: Texas’ GOP governor will probably signal his intentions Saturday in South Carolina before heading to a party in New Hampshire, another primary state. His plans will coincide with Iowa’s straw poll…. – LAT, 8-8-11

Perry expected to reveal White House plans Saturday: While a host of 2012 contenders slug it out in Ames, Iowa on Saturday, Texas Governor Rick Perry is expected to inch closer to a presidential run in another critical primary state. Perry expected to use his speech at the 2011 Red State Gathering in Charleston, SC to make it clear whether or not he will run for president, according to a report in Politico this afternoon. … – USA Today, 8-8-11

  • Busy schedule is clear sign of Perry’s political intentions, aides say: Gov. Rick Perry appears to be bounding toward a full-scale plunge into the 2012 presidential race with visits to two early battleground states later this week, where he is likely to tout Texas’ robust economic growth … – Fort Worth Star Telegram, 8-8-11
  • Perry prepares to launch campaign he promised wouldn’t happen: Gov. Rick Perry’s presidential campaign is now upon us. He’s going to the early primary states of South Carolina and New Hampshire on Saturday, and by the end of the day, it will be more obvious than ever that he will seek the presidency. … – Austin American-Statesman, 8-8-11
  • Politico: Perry to make clear hes running for president in S.C.: Gov. Rick Perry plans to “make clear” that he’s in the presidential race Saturday in Charleston, South Carolina, when he’s due to give a long-scheduled speech to the RedState conference, Politico is reporting. Perry’s office earlier confirmed… – Houston Chronicle, 8-8-11
  • As Rick Perry Nears 2012 Campaign, His Top Adviser Plots A ‘New Playbook’ Strategy: A top adviser to Texas Gov. Rick Perry was cagey about reports that Perry will make his intentions to run for president clear at a Saturday conference in South Carolina, but an organizer of the event said he expects an announcement … – Huffington Post
  • Santorum launches pre-emptive attack against Perry: With news trickling out Monday that Texas Gov. Rick Perry is poised to join the Republican presidential field, former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum isn’t wasting any time attacking his soon-to-be rival. … – CNN, 8-8-11

THE HEADLINES: WEEKLY RECAP

“I believe in a very limited role for government. But the prime reason that government exists in a free society is to protect liberty, but also to protect life. And I mean all life. You cannot have relative value for life and deal with that. We cannot play God and make those decisions. All life is precious.” — Rep. Ron Paul

“The country’s bankrupt, and nobody wanted to admit it. And when you’re bankrupt, you can’t keep spending.” Ron Paul said Thursday during a Fox News Channel debate.

    • Once a fringe candidate, Paul shaping 2012 race: Ron Paul, once seen as a fringe candidate and a nuisance to the establishment, is shaping the 2012 Republican primary by giving voice to the party’s libertarian wing and reflecting frustration with the United States’ international entanglements…. – AP, 8-14-11
    • Bachmann says she’s a proven leader: A day after winning a test poll of voters in Iowa, Rep. Michele Bachmann is seeking to distinguish herself from another tea party favorite and GOP presidential hopeful, Gov. Rick Perry of Texas…. – AP, 8-14-11

“I wish it would have been different. But obviously the pathway forward for me doesn’t really exist so we are going to end the campaign.
What I brought forward, I thought, was a rational, established, credible, strong record of results, based on experience governing — a two-term governor of a blue state. But I think the audience, so to speak, was looking for something different.” — Gov. Tim Pawlenty said on ABC’s “This Week” from Iowa

    • Ex-Minn. Gov. Tim Pawlenty ends White House bid: Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty dropped out of the race for the GOP presidential nomination on Sunday, hours after finishing a disappointing third in the Iowa straw poll…. – AP, 8-14-11

“We are going to make Barack Obama a one-term president… There is no doubt in my mind we are the team that can’t be beat in 2012….
This is the very first step toward taking back the White House!” — Rep. Michele Bachmann

    • Perry’s Full-Court Press to Get Donations: The Texas governor is already promising his top donors perks for a Republican National Convention that will not be held for more than a year…. – NYT, 8-14-11
    • Iowa Poll Goes to Bachmann; Paul Is Second: The results of the straw poll represented a turning point in the campaign but also underscored an uncertainty in the Republican contest to find a presidential nominee…. – NYT, 8-13-11
    • Bachmann wins GOP 2012 test vote: Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann won a test vote of Iowans on Saturday, a show of popularity and organizational strength for the tea party favorite five months before the state’s caucuses kick off the GOP presidential nominating season.
      The result is the first indication of what Iowans think of the field of Republicans competing for the chance to challenge President Barack Obama next fall. But it’s hardly predictive of who will win the winter Iowa contest, much less the party nod or the White House…. – AP, 8-13-11
    • Rick Perry Officially Joins Race for President: Rick Perry’s entrance into the already crowded presidential field is expected to reconfigure the race’s dynamics, offering Republicans both a fiscal and social conservative…. – NYT, 8-13-11

“It is time to get America working again. We just got to get back to the basic truths of economic success…. I full well believe I’m going to win.
We reject this president’s unbridled fixation on taking more money out of the wallets and pocketbooks of American families and employers and giving it to a central government. I will not sit back and accept the path that America is on. Because a great country requires a better direction. Because a renewed nation needs a new president. — Gov. Rick Perry

    • 2012 GOP race jolted with straw poll, Perry entry: The 2012 Republican presidential race lurched into a new phase Saturday as Iowans weighed in for the first time on their expanding field of presidential hopefuls, picking Michele Bachmann as their top choice for the GOP nomination. Halfway across the country latecomer Texas Gov. Rick Perry formally entered the race, declaring: “America is not broken. Washington, D.C. is broken.”… – AP, 8-13-11
    • G.O.P. Candidates Jockey for Advantage Before Iowa Straw Poll: A half-dozen Republican presidential hopefuls sought attention Friday on the eve of the Iowa straw poll, a ritual that has taken on outsize meaning…. – NYT, 8-13-11
    • Pawlenty targets Obama in sharp rhetorical attack: Republican presidential hopeful Tim Pawlenty isn’t holding back on his criticism of President Barack Obama.
      The former Minnesota governor describes Obama as being “like a manure spreader in a windstorm.”… – AP, 8-13-11

“We don’t see the role of government as guaranteeing outcomes, but allowing free men and women to flourish based on their own vision, their hard work and their personal responsibility….
The fact is for nearly three years President Obama has been downgrading American jobs. He’s been downgrading our standing in the world. He’s been downgrading our financial stability. He’s been downgrading our confidence, and downgrading the hope for a better future for our children. One in six work-eligible Americans cannot find a full-time job. That is not a recovery. That is an economic disaster.
“I intend to compete for every vote in every state. This isn’t a strategy just to go work in a few places. I’m going to be all across this country.” — Gov. Rick Perry

    • Texas Gov. Perry jumps into 2012 Republican race: Texas Gov. Rick Perry officially joined the Republican presidential race Saturday with a full-throated promise to reduce the role of the federal government, saying his goal as president would be to make Washington “as inconsequential in your lives as I can.”
      Speaking to voters here and later in New Hampshire, the Texan cast himself as a Washington outsider who would restore fiscal responsibility at home and U.S. “exceptionalism” in the world…. – AP, 8-13-11

“We come at this campaign from the private sector, from having been a successful governor and also someone who understands the world in which we live, and I think that’s going to be important to people. You don’t wait till the very end, as Gov. Romney did, and put your finger to the wind and basically come down on the safe side politically. I don’t think that’s leadership. The presidency is about exerting leadership, and if you’re not willing to show leadership on something as important as the debt ceiling, it begs the question, When are you going to show some leadership?” — Gov. Jon Huntsman

    • Huntsman, Romney leave rest of field in Iowa: Republican presidential hopefuls Mitt Romney and Jon Huntsman had New Hampshire to themselves Friday while the rest of the field remained in Iowa and much of the attention remained focused Rick Perry’s entrance into the race.
      Though both Romney and Huntsman will be on the ballot at Saturday’s Iowa straw poll, neither has competed aggressively there. After Thursday’s debate in Ames, they quickly headed to New Hampshire, positioning themselves in front of voters and activists before Perry swoops in for the first time on Saturday…. – AP, 8-12-11
    • Romney defends corporation comment in NH: Mitt Romney says his recent comment in Iowa that “corporations are people” was not a mistake.
      Speaking to reporters after a New Hampshire reception Friday night, the former Massachusetts governor said it was astonishing that President Barack Obama doesn’t feel the same way…. – AP, 8-12-11
    • Enter Rick Perry, Formidable Fund-Raiser: The Texas governor has a vast network of wealthy supporters eager to bankroll his presidential ambitions…. – NYT, 8-13-11

“We cannot and must not endure four more years of rising unemployment, rising taxes, rising debt and rising energy dependence on nations that intend us harm.” — Gov. Rick Perry is to say Saturday in Charleston, S.C., according to remarks prepared for delivery.

    • Instant GOP contender: Perry announcing Saturday: Months behind other GOP candidates, Rick Perry has something most of them don’t: Buzz. The Texas governor will enter the race Saturday with splashy appearances in South Carolina and New Hampshire.
      At the same time, he is putting together what looks a lot like a traditional presidential campaign. The path he hopes will lead to the Republican nomination starts here, in the leadoff caucus state of Iowa, with a message of jobs and values as he tries to set himself apart from GOP front-runner Mitt Romney…. – AP, 8-12-11
    • Romney’s wealth endures but conflicts persist: Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney’s personal wealth — up to $250 million — survived the nation’s economic crisis, according to figures released Friday. But his pledge to sell off interests that conflict with his GOP stances did not extend to some investments in a family charity…. – AP, 8-12-11

“There is still a whole world of work to be done in Washington, D.C., and we need to send truly fiscal conservatives to Washington to get it done.” — Gov. Rick Perry

    • Iowa test could make or break Pawlenty, Bachmann: Tim Pawlenty and Michele Bachmann, their presidential hopes on the line, made last-minute appeals Friday along with a slew of other Republican contenders ahead of a big weekend test in Iowa that could winnow the large field of GOP candidates. But the pack was expanding, too.
      Saturday’s Iowa Straw Poll results will be the first important measure of the GOP pack — just as Texas Gov. Rick Perry officially makes it a bit larger and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin works energetically to keep her door open…. – AP, 8-12-11

“We find it troubling that the party so closely associated with basic human rights would choose a state with the lowest unionization rate in the country due to regressive policies aimed at diluting the power of workers.” — Mark Ayers, president of the building trades unit, wrote in a letter to Democratic Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz.

    • Some unions to skip 2012 convention: About a dozen trade unions all part of the AFL-CIO’s building and construction trades unit plan to sit out the 2012 Democratic convention because they’re angry that it’s being held in a right-to-work state and frustrated that Democrats haven’t done enough to create jobs…. – AP, 8-12-11
    • Obama adviser questions Perry’s economic successes: Part of Perry’s pitch is the Texas economy, which has fared better than most states during the nation’s economic troubles. Obama senior political adviser David Axelrod says Texas benefited from booming oil prices and increased military spending on two wars. He says, “I don’t think many people would attribute it to the leadership of the governor down there.”…. – AP, 8-12-11
    • Bachmann wants Congress back to restore credit: Rep. Michelle Bachmann says if she were president, she would immediately call Congress back to Washington with the aim of “getting this AAA credit rating back.”… – AP, 8-12-11
    • Analysis: Perry may pose biggest threat to Romney: The biggest rumblings in the Republican presidential campaign are coming from Austin, Texas — 1,000 miles from the leadoff caucus state where front-runner Mitt Romney and seven opponents squared off ahead of an important test vote this weekend. Texas Gov. Rick Perry sent word that he would join the race, casting a shadow over the debate Thursday night and threatening to upend the race…. – AP, 8-12-11
    • 8 Republican Candidates Trade Attacks in Iowa Debate: Criticism of President Obama’s record was overshadowed by a burst of incivility among the Republican presidential candidates at a debate on Thursday in Ames, Iowa…. – NYT, 8-11-11
    • Republican Debate Frames Race Ahead: Six moments that offered a peek into what could be the durable narratives of the 2012 Republican nomination campaign…. – NYT, 8-11-11
    • Spokesman: Gov. Rick Perry running for president: Texas Gov. Rick Perry is running for president, a spokesman confirmed Thursday, a move certain to shake up the race for the GOP nomination much to the delight of conservatives looking for a candidate to embrace.
      Perry spokesman Mark Miner said the governor would make his intentions known on Saturday while visiting South Carolina and New Hampshire just as most of his presidential rivals compete in a test vote in Iowa…. – AP, 8-11-11
    • GOP debate: Hitting hard at each other and Obama: Minnesota rivals Tim Pawlenty and Michele Bachmann sparred bitterly Thursday night during an eight-candidate Republican debate, trying to break out of the GOP presidential pack ahead of an Iowa test vote with huge consequences. Each seeks to become the main challenger to Republican front-runner Mitt Romney.
      Their efforts were newly complicated by Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who stole some of the spotlight from afar by making it known hours before the debate that he was running for the GOP nomination…
      In the two-hour debate, the squabbling by Pawlenty and Bachmann allowed Romney, the GOP front-runner making his second presidential bid, to remain above the fray and emerge relatively unscathed by his rivals…. – AP, 8-11-11
    • Five Things to Watch for in Iowa Debate: Eight Republican presidential contenders will debate in Ames, Iowa, on Thursday night, two days before the straw poll there…. – NYT, 8-11-11
    • Bachmann to Attend Event With Perry: Bachmann will appear at the same event in Iowa Sunday where Perry is making his campaign debut in the state…. – NYT, 8-11-11
    • With Return to Iowa, Romney Heeds Call of G.O.P. Strategists: Mitt Romney’s wait-and-see approach to campaigning in Iowa has been complicated by Rick Perry’s expected candidacy…. – NYT, 8-11-11
    • Romney’s Covert Iowa Campaign: Mitt Romney will come to Iowa on Wednesday, even as he continues to treat political activity here like an sideshow that he can afford to ignore…. – NYT, 8-10-11
    • In Iowa, Romney Is Comfortable at the Round Table: Mitt Romney criticized President Obama for a planned bus tour amid an “economic crisis,” but he declined to directly engage Gov. Rick Perry of Texas…. – NYT, 8-10-11

“Wouldn’t it be nice if people in Washington spent a good part of their career working in a real economy?….
For those people who think the economy is what really is essential in providing a brighter future for our families and preserving our values, then I think they are going to look to me as someone who can understand how the economy works and can get it back on track.” — Gov. Mitt Romney

    • Fragile front-runner: Romney faces big challenges: Mitt Romney, the GOP’s fragile presidential front-runner, faces a string of challenges in the next few days that could knock him down a couple of rungs: a debate where he can expect his rivals to attack him, an attention-drawing straw poll he is bypassing and Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s expected entrance in the race…. – AP, 8-10-11

“Before we put the new person in that office, let’s make sure that he or she is ready for the job. This is a job that requires leadership experience, executive experience and a record of results.” — Gov. Tim Pawlenty

    • Pawlenty knocks Obama, Bachmann in same swipe: Republican presidential candidate Tim Pawlenty said Wednesday that President Barack Obama’s previous jobs as a community organizer and law professor didn’t prepare him for the White House. And, Pawlenty said, Iowa shouldn’t repeat the mistake of voting for another charismatic politician who lacks experience.
      It was an obvious reference Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, who is leading Pawlenty in polls in a state he has said he must do well in to keep his candidacy alive…. – AP, 8-10-11
    • Perry to Visit Bachmann’s Hometown in Iowa: Gov. Rick Perry plans to visit Waterloo, Iowa, the day after the state’s straw poll, in which Representative Michelle Bachmann is expected to do well…. – NYT, 8-10-11
    • Obama surprises campaign volunteers at lunch in DC: Volunteers on President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign have welcomed an unexpected lunch guest: Obama himself.
      The president joined the group at Ted’s Bulletin, a new Capitol Hill restaurant that serves classic American food, including burgers and shakes…. – AP, 8-10-11
    • Barack Obama’s 2012 plan: ‘Kill Romney': Smith and Martin peer ahead at the general election: Barack Obama’s aides and advisers are preparing to center the president’s re-election campaign on a ferocious personal assault on Mitt Romney’s character and business background, a strategy grounded … – Politico, 8-9-11
    • Bachmann Newsweek Cover Goes for Insult But Gets Criticism in Return: Rep. Michele Bachmann has declined to get into the scrum with Newsweek over its cover story of the presidential candidate called “The Queen of Rage,” accompanied by an unflattering photo of the Minnesota Republican, but others are calling the magazine … – Fox News, 8-9-11
    • Did Newsweek set out to make Michele Bachmann look like a loon?: Newsweek is coming under fire for a wild-eyed cover photo of Michele Bachmann. The headline calls her the ‘Queen of Rage.’ But was the rough treatment actually a compliment of sorts?… – CS Monitor, 8-9-11
    • Back on the Stump, Romney Blames Obama for the S&P Downgrade: The Republican candidate, campaigning in New Hampshire after a vacation, defended himself against critics who said he kept on the sidelines in the debt ceiling debate…. – NYT, 8-9-11
    • Perry seeking to change dynamics of GOP race: Though he’s not officially a candidate, Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s visits this weekend to three important presidential nominating states threaten to overshadow any lift his would-be rivals hope to gain from a big week in Iowa…
      All candidates — from GOP front-runner Mitt Romney on down — are bracing for a Perry candidacy…. – AP, 8-9-11
    • Perry Signals Intent to Enter G.O.P. Campaign: Advisers said the Texas governor has moved beyond the trial balloon stage of gauging support to executing a strategy…. – NYT, 8-9-11
    • Rick Perry to Make Clear He Intends to Run: Gov. Rick Perry of Texas is preparing to make clear his intentions to join the Republican presidential race…. – NYT, 8-8-11
    • Perry heads to early states as he leans toward bid: Leaning toward a full-fledged presidential run, Texas Gov. Rick Perry will visit at least two early primary states — South Carolina and New Hampshire — on Saturday at the same time most of his would-be opponents are competing in an important test vote in Iowa…. – AP, 8-8-11

“They’re not buying that bill of goods…. The good news is that I think there has been enough frustration at Washington, sort of reached a fevered pitch last week, that we’re now looking at 16 months in which there’s going to be a clear contrast and a clear choice.” — President Barack Obama

    • Obama sees political opportunity in debt crisis: President Barack Obama says there’s some good news from the bitterly partisan debt debate — it made people so frustrated with Washington that Democrats will be able to draw a clear divide with Republicans heading into the 2012 election…. – AP, 8-8-11
    • Romney Is Back, With S.&P. Ratings on the Brain: Mr. Romney cited flaws in President Obama’s leadership for the downgrade of the nation’s debt…. – NYT, 8-8-11
    • Romney shifting campaign into a higher gear: Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign is shifting into a higher gear. The former Massachusetts governor, who leads national and state polls in the race for the GOP nomination, has spent much of the year laying low, limiting his public appearances and rarely weighing in on the national debate…. – AP, 8-8-11
    • Romney blames Obama for credit downgrade: Mitt Romney says the nation’s credit problem arose because President Barack Obama has failed to show leadership on the economy…. – AP, 8-8-11

“You look at where the marketplace is today, you look at our downgrade, you look at all the economic woes that every American family has seen play out over the past little while — we’ve done this to ourselves. It’s time to reverse this business-unfriendly attitude of the past 2½ years….
“I can only imagine what the marketplace would look like today if we had defaulted on our debt. If we had defaulted on our debt, it would have been catastrophic.” — Gov. Jon Huntsmann

  • Huntsman faults anti-business climate under Obama: Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman says the downgrade in the nation’s credit rating shows America needs to do something about what he says is the Obama administration’s unfriendly attitude toward business…. -

CAMPAIGN 2012: ANALYSTS &S HISTORIANS COMMENTS

  • Politico Arena: Daily Debate with Policymakers, Opinionshapers & Academics Politico
  • Julian Zelizer: Americans want security for 2012: Just as the 2004 presidential election was all about the concept of security, the same term will shape the campaigns of 2012…. – CNN, 8-15-11
  • Julian Zelizer: Analysis: Palin boosts political influence, buffers brand: “Like every other Republican who potentially will run, she’s keeping her name out there, keeping her brand name but generally staying out of the debate, to avoid making any mistakes,” said Princeton University professor Julian Zelizer. “At a minimum, she keeps the Palin brand name going for other reasons,” he said…. – Reuters, 8-13-11

Campaign Recap August 8, 2011: Texas Gov. Rick Perry Leads Prayer Rally Prior to Decision to Run for the Republican Presidential Nomination

CAMPAIGN 2012

By Bonnie K. Goodman

Ms. Goodman is the Editor of History Musings. She has a BA in History & Art History & a Masters in Library and Information Studies from McGill University, and has done graduate work in history at Concordia University. Ms. Goodman has also contributed the overviews, and chronologies in History of American Presidential Elections, 1789-2008, 4th edition, edited by Gil Troy, Fred L. Israel, and Arthur Meier Schlesinger to be published by Facts on File, Inc. in late 2011.

CAMPAIGN BUZZ 2012

Texas Gov. Rick Perry prays at the rally.

STATS & POLLS

Republican Presidential Candidates: Primaries 2012 — NYT

Democratic Nominee 2012: President Barack Obama’s Official Reelection Campaign Website — BarackObama.com

Republican National Committee

Democratic National Committee

  • Gallup Poll: Election 2012 — Track GOP Contender’s Images Week by Week — Generic Ballot Gallup
  • Gallup: Presidential Job Approval Gallup
  • Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval: Each result is based on a three-day rolling average Gallup
  • Poll Watch: Polls and Related Articles From The New York Times NYT
  • Romney’s shaky front-runner perch: In the coming week, a debate and a straw poll in Iowa could sort out the still-unsettled GOP field. Mitt Romney has staked a claim as the Republican Party’s front-runner for 2012, but key events in Iowa this week could shake up his status…. – LAT, 8-8-11

POLITICAL QUOTES & SPEECHES

Mitt Romney: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts mittromney.com

Rick Perry: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts rickperry.org

Ron Paul: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ronpaul2012.com

Herman Cain: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts hermancain.com

Michele Bachmann: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts michelebachmann.com

Newt Gingrich: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts newt.org

Jon Huntsman: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts jon2012.com

Tim Pawlenty: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts timpawlenty.com

Rick Santorum: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ricksantorum.com

Lord, you are the source of every good thing. You are our only hope, and we stand before you today in awe of your power and in gratitude for your blessings and humility for our sins. Father, our heart breaks for America. We see discord at home. We see fear in the marketplace. We see anger in the halls of government, and as a nation we have forgotten who made us, who protects us, who blesses us, and for that we cry out for your forgiveness.” — Rick Perry, the Republican governor of Texas

“Any bobblehead can stand up here and give you the words like Barack Obama did — dupe the Democrats in Iowa to catapult him on his way to the presidency — but we don’t need any more speeches. What we need is results….
The proof will be in the pudding. And I think you’ll see our campaign moving up from back of the pack to closer to front of the pack.” — Tim Pawlenty, the former governor of Minnesota, on “Fox News Sunday”

“I call on the president to seek the immediate resignation of Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and to submit a plan with a list of cuts to balance the budget this year, turn our economy around and put Americans back to work.” — Representative Michele Bachmann of Minnesota

“America’s creditworthiness just became the latest casualty in President Obama’s failed record of leadership.” — Former Massachusetts governor and GOP frontrunner Mitt Romney

“What we should be talking about is downgrading Barack Obama from president of the United States. We need to have a president who understands what it means to put our full faith and credit in the American people.” — Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, campaigning Saturday in Grinnell, Iowa

“This president has destroyed the credit rating of the United States through … his inability to control government spending.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn., called for Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner’s ouster, told a Fox News interviewer

“America’s creditworthiness just became the latest casualty in President Obama’s failed record of leadership on the economy. Standard & Poor’s rating downgrade is a deeply troubling indicator of our country’s decline under President Obama. His failed policies have led to high unemployment, skyrocketing deficits, and now, the unprecedented loss of our nation’s prized AAA credit rating. The only way things will get better is with new leadership in the White House.” — Mitt Romney

“Out-of-control spending and a lack of leadership in Washington have resulted in President Obama presiding over the first downgrade of the United States credit rating in our history. For far too long we have let reckless government spending go unchecked, and the cancerous debt afflicting our nation has spread.” — Jon Huntsman

IN FOCUS: TEXAS GOV. RICK PERRY HELMS HOUSTON DAY OF PRAYER RALLY

“Father, our heart breaks for America. We see discord at home. We see fear in the marketplace. We see anger in the halls of government and, as a nation, we have forgotten who made us, who protects us, who blesses us.” – Texas Gov. Rick Perry, a possible White House candidate, speaking to 30,000 people at a prayer rally.

“Lord, you are the source of every good thing. You are our only hope and we stand before you today in awe of your power and in gratitude for your blessings, and humility for our sins. Father, our heart breaks for America. We see discord at home. We see fear in the marketplace. We see anger in the halls of government, and as a nation we have forgotten who made us, who protects us, who blesses us and for that we cry out for your forgiveness.” — Gov. Rick Perry of Texas

    • Perry Leads Prayer Rally for ‘Nation in Crisis': Standing on a stage surrounded by thousands of fellow Christians on Saturday morning, Gov. Rick Perry called on Jesus to bless and guide the nation’s military and political leaders and “those who cannot see the light in the midst of all the darkness.”
      “Lord, you are the source of every good thing,” Mr. Perry said, as he bowed his head, closed his eyes and leaned into a microphone at Reliant Stadium here. “You are our only hope, and we stand before you today in awe of your power and in gratitude for your blessings, and humility for our sins. Father, our heart breaks for America. We see discord at home. We see fear in the marketplace. We see anger in the halls of government, and as a nation we have forgotten who made us, who protects us, who blesses us, and for that we cry out for your forgiveness.”
      In a 13-minute address, Mr. Perry read several passages from the Bible during a prayer rally that he sponsored here. Thousands of people stood or kneeled in the aisles or on the concrete floor in front of the stage, some wiping away tears and some shouting, “Amen!”
      Mr. Perry, a lifelong Methodist who regularly attends an evangelical megachurch near his home in West Austin, has been speaking and preaching in sanctuaries throughout Texas since he was state agricultural commissioner in the 1990s. Organizers for the event, called The Response: A Call to Prayer for a Nation in Crisis, estimated that more than 30,000 people were at Reliant Stadium when Mr. Perry spoke. The seating capacity is 71,500, and tens of thousands of seats in the upper decks were empty.
      The prayer rally was seen as one of the biggest tests of Mr. Perry’s political career, coming as he nears a decision on whether he will seek the Republican nomination for president… – NYT, 8-6-11

“We pray for our nation’s leaders, Lord, for parents, for pastors, for the generals, for governors, that you would inspire them in these difficult times.” — Gov. Rick Perry

    • Perry to evangelicals: I’m one of you: Texas Gov. Rick Perry sent a strong message to the nation’s evangelicals Saturday: he is a member of the important constituency for Republicans that he soon may call upon to help him secure the GOP presidential nomination.
      The state’s longest serving governor hosted what he called a national day of prayer, an event at Reliant Stadium that drew roughly 30,000 people and that was broadcast on cable Christian channels and the Internet nationwide, including in at least 1,000 churches…. – AP, 8-7-11
    • “He has the best record in the field on jobs, and doesn’t have to get off message beefing up bona fides on social issues, since they are firmly established.” — Mary Matalin, a former adviser during both Bush presidencies.
    • Prayer Rally Draws Thousands in Houston: Standing on a stage surrounded by more than 30,000 Christians on Saturday morning, Gov. Rick Perry of Texas called on Jesus Christ to bless and guide the nation’s military and political leaders and “those who cannot see the light in the midst of all the darkness,” in a brief but rousing sermon-style spiritual address at the controversial prayer rally that he sponsored at the same time that he is weighing whether to run for president…. – NYT, 8-6-11

A Rick Perry Primer: Everything You Need to Know About the Texas Governor ABC News, 8-6-11

  • Texas Gov. Perry’s day of prayer: Thousands gathered in Houston for a day of prayer at a Christian-revival event organized by Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R), to pray for an America he described as “in crisis.” Texas Gov. Rick Perry bows his head in prayer at “The Response,” a call to prayer … – WaPo, 8-6-11
  • Gov. Rick Perry leads Christians in prayer at Texas rally: A crowd of more than 30000 cheers the likely Republican presidential candidate; protesters decry the anti-gay philosophy of the sponsoring group…. – LAT, 8-6-11
  • Rick Perrys presidential pulpit: Rick Perry has yet to announce a presidential run, but he’s made clear that his Christian faith will define it if he does…. – Politico, 8-6-11
  • Perry mixes political script with Scripture: Turning a Houston football stadium into a Texas-sized mega-church, Gov. Rick Perry took a political leap of faith just as he is contemplating a run for president. The potential GOP contender delivered a script laced with Scripture… – CNN, 8-6-11

THE HEADLINES….

    • Voters Want a Change Politicians Can’t Deliver: The bad news for President Obama and incumbents in both parties is that voters expect a return to the postwar economic conditions that cannot be repeated…. – NYT, 8-8-11
    • Republicans Jostle for Position as Important Week Begins in Iowa: Candidates are increasingly turning on one another as they try to overcome their own weaknesses and capitalize on President Obama’s vulnerabilities…. – NYT, 8-7-11

“He’s hiding on these issues. He’s ducking on these issues. He should be leading. We can’t find him. … We shouldn’t have to play ‘come out, come out, wherever you are’ with this president.” — Tim Pawlenty, the former Minnesota governor, said in an interview on “Fox News Sunday” while campaigning in Iowa

“He has the potential to appeal to both the economic conservatives and social conservatives. The economic conservatives are somewhat up for grabs. I really think it comes down to what does Perry do. I think there is the potential for him to change the race.” — Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad, a Republican who is unaligned in the race, said of Perry

“Perry can come here and legitimately go after the economic message and, if he does, Romney’s in trouble. Perry can build a sense of momentum, starting in Iowa, that he’s the jobs candidate. He’s got a perfect opportunity.” — Iowa Republican Doug Gross, who was a top Romney supporter in 2008 but is unaligned this year

“If he does run, his message will be about the economy, jobs and how messed up Washington is. And he will talk specifically about his philosophy of governance and how to allow the private sector to create jobs and what Texas has done.” — David Carney, Gov. Rick Perry’s senior political consultant

    • Iowa focal point for potential shifts in GOP race: A nationally televised debate, a test vote in Iowa and a candidacy by Texas Gov. Rick Perry — should he decide to seek the GOP nomination as many insiders, activists and party leaders expect — could shake up the Republican presidential race in the coming days.
      The entire field of Republican candidates planned to participate in Thursday’s debate in Iowa — the first that will include former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman — and most were staying in the leadoff caucus state for a straw poll two days later when GOP activists will indicate their presidential preferences for the first time. Perry planned to be elsewhere, but his likely candidacy was looming large in Iowa and across the nation…. – AP, 8-7-11
    • Obama Team Now Focuses on Tough Re-Election Campaign: Despite the advantages of incumbency and the absence so far of a strong opponent, President Obama’s re-election is far from assured, analysts say…. – NYT, 8-7-11
    • A First Lady Who Has Avoided the Spotlight Now Faces an Even Bigger One: Anita Perry is not only an admirable first lady of Texas, associates say, but has the characteristics to shine in a larger role, should her husband’s possible presidential run cast her in one…. – NYT, 8-5-11
    • Governor Perry Pushes Adult Stem Cell Therapy: The governor, a potential Republican presidential candidate, underwent the therapy for his back, and is now helping lay the groundwork for its commercialization…. – NYT, 8-5-11
    • G.O.P. Looks to Rebuild Bush Fund-Raising Machine: No Republican presidential candidate has yet shown the broad appeal that drew the party’s donor establishment to George W. Bush’s first run…. – NYT, 8-4-11
    • Debt Talk Over, Republicans Head to Iowa: For the 2012 presidential candidates, the fun gets under way in earnest this weekend…. – NYT, 8-4-11
    • Obama, on Verge of 50, Returns to Fund-Raising: President Obama attended a $35,800 a plate fund-raiser in Chicago on the eve of his birthday, with Jennifer Hudson and Herbie Hancock in attendance…. – NYT, 8-4-11
    • Huntsman Steps Up Critiques of Rivals: Once declining to attack his rivals, Jon M. Huntsman Jr. criticized both President Obama and Mitt Romney for their handling of the debt ceiling fight as he toured New Hampshire…. – NYT, 8-3-11
    • Republicans Seeking Election Remain Unsure About Embracing Tea Party: Despite the success of Tea Party lawmakers in the debt debate, Republican candidates in 2012 are still unsure about moving too far from the center…. – NYT, 8-3-11
    • Obama hits campaign trail with Chicago fundraisers: Trying to make up for lost time, President Barack Obama plunged back into his re-election campaign Wednesday, urging supporters not to be discouraged by the frustrating debt negotiations that consumed Washington and kept him from raising money for his 2012 bid… – AP, 8-3-11

“We’re going to raise significantly less in the third quarter than we did in the second quarter. We will not be able to replace all of these events just because of his busy schedule. We always knew that he had his job and we had to do this around his schedule, and the truth is we just have to deal with canceling a month’s worth of events.” — Jim Messina, Obama’s campaign manager

    • Obama returns to Chicago to resume fundraising: Trying to make up lost time, President Barack Obama plunged back into the search for money for his re-election campaign Wednesday with a coast-to-coast series of parties marking his 50th birthday after he was forced to cancel fundraisers because of the debt-ceiling crisis.
      Lowering expectations, Obama’s campaign said it would raise tens of millions of dollars less this summer than it did last spring because it had to scrap 10 fundraisers headlined by Obama and others in California, New York and elsewhere and now faces a sluggish time of the year to raise campaign cash…. – AP, 8-3-11
    • Texas Gov. Perry’s day of prayer shadows 2012 bid: “”One thing Republicans are going to demand this election is a candidate who can beat Barack Obama,” said Alex Castellanos, a Republican strategist who has worked for Perry opponents but is now unaligned. “The election is all about him. … – AP, 8-3-11
    • 3 MSNBC hosts predict winner of presidential race: Lawrence O’Donnell, host of “The Last Word,” flatly predicted the re-election of President Barack Obama. Rachel Maddow also named Obama, attributing her pick to a thus-far weak Republican field. But “Hardball” host Chris Matthews waffled … – AP, 8-2-11

“While this framework is not my preferred outcome, it is a positive step toward cutting our nation’s crippling debt. Because the legislation promises cuts commensurate with the debt-ceiling increase, forces a vote on a much-needed federal balanced budget amendment and provides the only avenue to avoid default, I encourage members of Congress to vote for this legislation.” — Jon Huntsman

  • Conservatives warn 2012 field on debt deal: Conservatives are warning of lasting political consequences as the Republican presidential field offers conflicting positions on the debt-ceiling compromise…. – AP, 8-2-11
  • Among G.O.P. Hopefuls, Only Huntsman Supports Budget Deal: Jon M. Huntsman Jr. stood alone among the candidates in not embracing Tea Party sentiment…. – NYT, 8-2-11
  • Romney opposes debt deal: Mitt Romney said Monday he opposes the compromise to raise the nation’s debt ceiling, becoming the second Republican presidential contender to oppose a deal backed by President Barack Obama and congressional leaders in both parties. … The former Massachusetts governor says the compromise, backed by President Barack Obama and congressional leaders in both parties, opens the door to higher taxes and defense cuts. Romney opposes anything other than the House Republican “cut, cap& balance”…. – AP, 8-1-11
  • Gay marriage: awkward issue for some GOP hopefuls: Obama, though still not ready to endorse gay marriage, says he’s “evolving” on the issue and is supporting a bill that would extend federal recognition to same-sex couples who marry in the six states that allow it…. – AP, 8-1-11
  • Herman Cain wins straw poll of conservatives in Denver: Cain spoke to the Western Conservative Summit moments before the poll Sunday and drew the crowd to its feet with his life story and biting criticisms of President Barack Obama. With 508 people voting, 48 percent chose Cain as their favored presidential candidate… – AP, 7-31-11
  • Dem group raises $5M to counter Republican ads: An outside group founded this spring by two former Obama White House advisers has raked in millions in donations since April, relying in part on top-flight fundraisers and labor unions to counter GOP-leaning ads critical of the president and congressional Democrats…. – AP, 7-31-11
  • Niceness aside, Huntsman finds fault with rivals: But now, as Huntsman struggles against better-known opponents, he is both subtly and directly criticizing GOP front-runner Mitt Romney as well as the Democrat who named him US ambassador to China just a few years ago, President Barack Obama. … – AP, 7-31-11
  • Perry backs a constitutional limit on marriage: Perry said the stimulus and job creation efforts of President Barack Obama haven’t worked. “I think we poured about $4 trillion down that rat hole and government has not created a job,” he said…. – AP, 7-31-11

CAMPAIGN 2012: ANALYSTS &S HISTORIANS COMMENTS

  • Politico Arena: Daily Debate with Policymakers, Opinionshapers & Academics Politico
  • Larry Sabato: Predictions Grow of 2012 Obama Defeat: The long thread of bad economic reports, unemployment growth, and ineffective government spending is undermining President Obama’s efforts to build a path to re-election, according to political analysts.
    “If the economy doesn’t pick up soon, Obama’s once-bright prospects for re-election could be history, along with his White House tenure—assuming, of course, Republicans nominate a mainstream candidate that can appeal to swing voters and appears to be a credible possible occupant of the Oval Office,” said the University of Virginia’s Larry Sabato. Said a former Reagan aide, “when it rains, it pours. It is tremendously hard to get your positives up when they have been pounded into the toilet. And it takes a very long time, something he doesn’t have.”
    “If a challenge to President Obama arises at all, we would expect it to be minor. But it is difficult to say precisely how angry liberals are at what they regard as a ‘cave-in’ to the Republicans on the debt deal—after a similar Republican-leaning agreement on the Bush tax cuts last December. On the one hand, the left might fear inadvertently helping the rising Tea Party, and once again give Obama the benefit of the doubt. On the other hand, Sanders’ view might prevail, reminding Obama that the left has somewhere else to go, at least for the nomination contest,” Sabato wrote in his weekly column…. – US News, 8-4-11

Campaign Buzz July 2011: Republican Presidential Candidates Take on the Debt Ceiling Crisis & Negotiations & Debate on Twitter — Michele Bachmann Enters the Race — Will Texas Gov. Rick Perry Run? — Tim Pawlenty Focuses on Iowa

CAMPAIGN 2012

By Bonnie K. Goodman

Ms. Goodman is the Editor of History Musings. She has a BA in History & Art History & a Masters in Library and Information Studies from McGill University, and has done graduate work in history at Concordia University. Ms. Goodman has also contributed the overviews, and chronologies in History of American Presidential Elections, 1789-2008, 4th edition, edited by Gil Troy, Fred L. Israel, and Arthur Meier Schlesinger to be published by Facts on File, Inc. in late 2011.

CAMPAIGN BUZZ 2012

Charlie Neibergall/Associated Press

Representative Michele Bachmann spoke in Waterloo, Iowa, where she lived until age 12.

STATS & POLLS

Republican Presidential Candidates: Primaries 2012 — NYT

Democratic Nominee 2012: President Barack Obama’s Official Reelection Campaign Website — BarackObama.com

Republican National Committee

Democratic National Committee

  • Gallup Poll: Election 2012 — Track GOP Contender’s Images Week by Week — Generic Ballot Gallup
  • Gallup: Presidential Job Approval Gallup
  • Gallup Daily: Obama Job Approval: Each result is based on a three-day rolling average Gallup
  • Poll Watch: Polls and Related Articles From The New York Times NYT
  • Herman Cain wins straw poll of conservatives in Denver: Cain spoke to the Western Conservative Summit moments before the poll Sunday and drew the crowd to its feet with his life story and biting criticisms of President Barack Obama. With 508 people voting, 48 percent chose Cain as their favored presidential candidate… – AP, 7-31-11
  • Republican Voters Lack Enthusiasm for Presidential Contenders, Poll Shows: Republican voters are not satisfied with the candidates running for the Republican nomination for president and wish they had more choices, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll…. – NYT, 6-29-11
  • Tea Party Leaders Look to Bachmann, Paul and Perry: An informal straw poll of attendees at a FreedomWorks training session showed little enthusiasm for Sarah Palin and Mitt Romney…. – NYT, 6-27-11
  • 6 Candidates Bid for G.O.P. Iowa Straw Poll: Six Republican presidential campaigns offered bids for the best real estate at the Aug. 13 Iowa Straw Poll…. – NYT, 6-23-11

POLITICAL QUOTES & SPEECHES

Mitt Romney: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts mittromney.com

Rick Perry: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts rickperry.org

Ron Paul: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ronpaul2012.com

Herman Cain: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts hermancain.com

Michele Bachmann: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts michelebachmann.com

Newt Gingrich: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts newt.org

Jon Huntsman: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts jon2012.com

Rick Santorum: Speeches & News — Full Text & Transcripts ricksantorum.com

“Governor Pawlenty said in 2006, “‘The era of small government is over.’ ‘The government has to be more proactive and more aggressive.’ That’s the same philosophy that, under President Obama, has brought us record deficits, massive unemployment and an unconstitutional health care plan.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann, 7-25-11

“Congresswoman Bachmann has her facts wrong. The truth is that there is very little difference between Governor Pawlenty and Congresswoman Bachmann on their issue positions. The difference is that when Governor Pawlenty was scoring conservative victories to cut spending, pass market-based health care reform and transform a supreme court from liberal to conservative, and was elected twice in a very blue state, Congresswoman Bachmann was giving speeches and offering failed amendments.” — Alex Conant, Tim Pawlenty spokesman, 7-25-11

“Governor Pawlenty has changed his positions in recent years, but he can’t run from his big government record as governor of Minnesota that left the state’s budget in a multibillion dollar mess. That’s not executive experience we need.” — Alice Stewart Michele Bachmann spokeswoman, 7-25-11

“This is the same president who wants to slam Americans with tax hikes to cover his reckless spending, but has threatened to veto a bill proposing a balanced budget amendment. This is the same president who hasn’t put forward a responsible plan himself, but has rejected reasonable proposals that would tackle our debt. This is the same president who still refuses to understand that the American electorate rejected his big government agenda last November…. Thank you, GOP House leaders. Please don’t get wobbly on us now. 2012 can’t come soon enough.” — Sarah Palin, the former governor of Alaska, 7-25-11

“I can no sooner separate my public life from my values — I can’t do that. But am I going to say that if you don’t believe this particular way, you’re wrong? Far be it from me. The idea that I have an idea about who’s going to go to heaven and who’s not, I don’t. That is way above my capability.” — Gov. Rick Perry in an interview with the New Hampshire Union Leader, 7-25-11

“I’m going to give him an F, and I’m not going to do it with any joy in my heart. Ultimately, I love my country more than I love the Republican Party. And I want the president to succeed because I want America to succeed. But he’s not succeeding, and this is not personal.” Senator Marco Rubio of Florida in an interview for the Daily Caller with Ginni Thomas, 7-18-11.

He’s “not ready to tell you that I’m ready to announce that I’m in….. I’m getting more and more comfortable every day that this is what I’ve been called to do. This is what America needs. I’ll be real honest with you, I don’t wake up in the morning – never did and still don’t today – and say, ‘Gee, I want to be president of the United States.'” — Gov. Rick Perry, the Republican governor of Texas in an interview with the Des Moines Register, 7-18-11

“The people of America are desperate for positive change, and deserving of positive change, to get us off of this wrong track,I’m not so egotistical as to believe that it has to be me, or it can only be me, to turn things around. But I do believe that I can win.” — Sarah Palin, the former governor of Alaska, in a new article in Newsweek, 7-11-11

Michele Bachmann’s “record of accomplishment in Congress is nonexistent. We’re not looking for folks who just have speech capabilities. We’re looking for who can lead a large enterprise in a public setting and drive it to conclusion. I have done that, she hasn’t.” — Tim Pawlenty, the former governor of Minnesota on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” 7-11-11

“Voters will have to decide who is best equipped to lead our nation by looking at our records, as well as our vision for the nation. Instead of negativity, I want to focus on my accomplishments.” — Representative Michele Bachmann of Minnesota in a statement reported by Politico, 7-11-11

“I was called a radical because I’ve embraced the Ryan plan. Now if you take a look at the Ryan plan, there’s some pretty good fixes and solutions here. All I can say is, guilty as charged.” — Jon Huntsman, the former governor of Utah at an event in Florida, 7-11-11

“Our numbers will not be as good as we would like, and candidly, the consultants left us in debt. But every single week since they left we’ve been cutting down the debt, and we raise more than we spend in a week. — Newt Gingrich, the former Republican speaker of the House told The Los Angeles Times, 7-5-11

“What we need in Washington is someone who knows the future is not big government.” — Representative Thaddeus McCotter, Republican of Michigan, announced on Saturday that he was running for president, 7-5-11

“If the Democrats are waiting for Mitt Romney to ease up on his criticism of President Obama’s economic record, it’s simply not going to happen” — Mitt Romney spokeswoman, Andrea Saul, 7-5-11

“Are you a flake? That would be insulting to say something like that. I’m 55 years old. I’ve been married 33 years. I’m not only a lawyer, I have a post-doctorate degree in federal tax law from William & Mary. I’ve worked in serious scholarship…. Of course, a person has to be careful with what their words are. And now I will have an opportunity to speak fully.” — Chris Wallace, Michele Bachmann appearing on Fox News Sunday, 6-27-11

“I believe marriage should be between one man and one woman. I wouldn’t sign a bill like the one that was in New York…. I’m huggable and lovable. I am not abrasive at all. I — listen, I’m honest. And I wish we had more of it in politics. You know what people are tired of in politics? They’re tired of blow-dried — tested answers that are given by political consultants to politicians and everybody sounds the same.” — Chris Christie, the governor of New Jersey on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” 6-27-11=

“I won’t support any candidate who does not support balancing the budget. So for me, he’s out.” — Senator Jim DeMint, Republican of South Carolina, has said presidential candidates must sign a “Cut, Cap, Balance” pledge if they wish to have his support in the Republican primary. That apparently cuts out Jon M. Huntsman Jr., the former governor of Utah, who has said that he will not sign such pledges, 6-27-11

    • What Bill Clinton thinks of GOP 2012ers: Bill Clinton thinks Mitt Romney is much improved from his last presidential run, admits he kind of likes Jon Huntsman and says Michele Bachmann is looking like “a better candidate than he thought.
      The former president went on to say that he believes President Barack Obama will win in 2012 and outlined what he believes would be a winning argument…. – Politico, 7-4-11

“I’m always reluctant to say the strongest candidates, because I’m afraid I’ll kill ’em, and I don’t have the right to do that.”
But, y’know, I like the governors: I like Huntsman and Romney. Romney’s a much better candidate than he was last time, because he’s not apologizing for signing the health care bill. He’s got another creative way of saying we oughta repeal Obamacare, but that’s prob’ly the price of gettin’ the nomination.
Huntsman hasn’t said what he’s for yet, but I just kinda like him. [laughter] He looks authentic — he looks like a real guy. [laughter] I mean, a real human being. I like his family, I like his kind of iconoclastic way. And he was a pretty good governor. And he wasn’t a right-wing ideologue.
Bachmann’s been a better candidate than I thought she’d be, and I don’t agree with her on nearly anything. But she’s got a very compelling personal story, and she gotta lot of juice, and she turns [on] a lot of those anti-government crowd.”

“He [Barack Obama] can talk about what he did do. He took steps which avoided a depression. He saved the automobile industry — by not just bailing them out but by requiring a serious restructuring. … When he took office, we had 2 percent of the global market for the electric batteries that will power the next generation of all-electric cars and hybrid vehicles. And on Jan. 1 of this year, we had 20 percent of the global market.
He’s gonna have a lot to say about America’s role in the world. He’s been very tough in fighting terrorists. Long before Mr. bin Laden was dispatched, we had redeployed and had more drone attacks on terrorists, where they were really a problem for us — the Pakistan-Afghanistan almost borderless region and in Iraq.
So I think he’ll have a good record on national security. I think he’ll have a lot of things to point to on the economy. And I think his work in education has been laudable. … He’ll be able to paint quite a [pretty] picture.”

IN FOCUS: REP. MICHELE FORMALLY ANNOUNCES CANDIDACY FOR REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION

Des Moines Register Iowa Poll of likely 2012 caucus participants:
Mitt Romney: 23 percent
Michele Bachmann: 22 percent
Herman Cain: 10 percent
Newt Gingrich: 7 percent
Ron Paul: 7 percent
Tim Pawlenty: 6 percent
Rick Santorum: 4 percent
Jon Huntsman: 2 percent
Margin of error: 4.9 percentage points — Poll by Selzer and Co. of Des Moines

    • FACT CHECK: Bachmann bomblets raising eyebrows: Michele Bachmann’s claim that she has “never gotten a penny” from a family farm that’s been subsidized by the government is at odds with her financial disclosure statements. They show tens of thousands in personal income from the operation. … This was among the latest examples of how the Minnesota congresswoman has become one to watch — for inaccuracies as well as rising support — in the Republican presidential race…. – AP, 6-27-11
    • Outspoken Bachmann launches White House bid: Republican Michele Bachmann officially launched her White House bid on Monday, casting herself as hard-charging conservative capable of carrying the party into the 2012 election over a crowded field of GOP rivals so far treading lightly around the tea party favorite.
      On a sun-splashed morning in the yard of an historic mansion in Waterloo, the three-term Minnesota congresswoman insisted the nation can’t afford another four years of President Barack Obama and railed against debt, joblessness and the president’s sweeping health care law. She argued that she has the appeal to capture the GOP nod and oust the Democratic president.
      “Americans agree that our country is in peril today and we must act with urgency to save it,” Bachmann told the crowd of family, friends and supporters. “And Americans aren’t interested in affiliation; they are interested in solutions, and leadership that will tell the truth. And the truth is that Americans are the solution and not the government.”… – AP, 6-27-11
    • On Michele Bachmann announcement day, a tea party nod to Rick Perry: An informal poll of tea partyers gathered for training in Washington found the strongest support for a noncandidate, Rick Perry. Michele Bachmann came in a close second…. – CS Monitor, 6-27-11
    • Two key tests for Michele Bachmann and her presidential bid: Rep. Michele Bachmann announced her presidential candidacy Monday, saying she is a ‘bold choice.’ Can she win the Iowa caucuses? And can she broaden her appeal beyond the tea party?… – CS Monitor, 6-27-11
    • Bachmann Opens Campaign as Expectations Grow: Representative Michele Bachmann’s presidential candidacy, which she formally opened here on Monday, shakes up an already unsettled Republican field and creates one of the biggest tests yet for the breadth of the Tea Party movement’s appeal.
      As she returned to her childhood home in Waterloo, where she lived until the age of 12, Mrs. Bachmann asked voters to “make a bold choice” as they weigh the Republican contenders. She presented herself as a forceful conservative, unafraid to confront the party establishment and unwilling to compromise on its principles in her quest to win the nomination to challenge President Obama.
      “I seek the presidency not for vanity,” she said, “but because America is at a crucial moment.”… – NYT, 6-28-11
    • Will Michele Bachmann’s gaffes hurt her presidential candidacy?: Flaps about Michele Bachmann’s grasp of Colonial history or movie-star birthplaces probably won’t mean a lot to many voters. But her misstatements of fact about current political history could be a problem…. – CS Monitor, 6-28-11

“You have to say that she’s a phenomenon. Usually, at this early stage, it’s only people with name recognition who register [with voters], and she’s already got that. But it has happened so fast that she’s not been fire-tested. She will be now.” — Iowa pollster J. Ann Selzer

  • Michele Bachmann’s Moment: Can She Sustain It?: Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) waves to a Waterloo, Iowa, crowd as she officially announces her intent to seek the Republican presidential nomination on June 27…. – NPR, 6-27-11

IN FOCUS: GOV. BUDDY ROEMER ANNOUNCES HIS PRESIDENTIAL BID

  • Election 101: Eleven facts about Buddy Roemer and his presidential bid: Charles “Buddy” Roemer is trying to stage a comeback. After nearly two decades out of office, the four-term congressman and one-time Louisiana governor declared his candidacy for president on Thursday in New Hampshire.
    An old-fashioned, charismatic Southern pol, the thrice-married, twice-divorced candidate may be hamstrung by his negligible name recognition, constituency, and funds…. – CS Monitor, 7-21-11
  • Buddy Roemer officially kicks off W.H. campaign: Buddy Roemer formally launched his presidential campaign on Thursday, trying to cast himself as a viable reform candidate instead of the quintessential long shot.
    The former Louisiana governor detailed his “Free to Lead” campaign theme: he’s promising to limit contributions he accepts to $100 per person, swear off PAC dollars and target the influence of Big Money on politics.
    “I have deliberately chosen a path requiring the help of many because that’s the way to win and, more importantly, that’s the way to get these mighty things done after the election,” Roemer told people gathered at Dartmouth’s Hanover Inn. “Stand with me against the special interests. Spread the word. It will change.”
    Roemer, who left office in 1992 after a single term as governor and three terms in Congress, also pitched himself as an experienced leader among a field of novices without the temerity to confront the real problems facing America.
    “We’re a nation at risk. Neither the president nor any of the other candidates for this office addresses or has solutions for the major problems facing America,” Roemer said…. – Politico, 7-21-11
  • Former Louisiana Gov. Buddy Roemer makes presidential bid official: Kicking off his presidential campaign in Hanover, N.H., former Louisiana Gov. Buddy Roemer says he may be no one, but he’s the only one ready to fight a corrupt political system.
    Roemer, who’s been out of office for 16 years, officially launched his campaign Thursday at Dartmouth College. But he already has been campaigning hard in New Hampshire, going so far as to move to Manchester recently.
    Roemer is focusing on two issues: unfair trade practices and campaign finance…. – DesMoines Register, 7-21-11
  • David Peterson: Former Louisiana Gov. Buddy Roemer makes presidential bid official: David Peterson, an associate professor of political science at Iowa State University, said Roemer is a respected politician, but he has been out of office for almost 20 years.
    “He has no name recognition, no money, no ties to key parts of the party,” Peterson said. “Some (Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney) obviously have good shots at being president, so the answer is obvious. Some (Ron Paul, Gary Johnson) are running because they have issue positions that aren’t being heard otherwise,” Peterson said. “Some are running because their political careers are over and they think that raising their profile by running can increase their speaker fees. “I have no idea what category Roemer is in.” – DesMoines Register, 7-21-11

IN FOCUS: TEA PARTY EXPRESS HOSTS FIRST EVER REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL TWITTER DEBATE

Full Text Transcript: Presidential Twitter Debate, 140townhall.com

  • GOP candidates debate on Twitter: What could they say in 140 characters?: Herman Cain got 4,500 retweets and Michele Bachmann got the most @ references. Does that make them the winners of the first Twitter-based debate, held among six Republican candidates?…. – CS Monitor, 7-20-11
  • Republicans Gather (Virtually) for Twitter Debate: A handful of Republican Presidential candidates took to Twitter on Wednesday afternoon and came up with 140-character answers to a wide range of questions during the first debate to be held on Twitter for the 2012 contest.
    Sponsored by theteaparty.net on a new platform, 140TownHall.com, the candidates made their opening statements in Twitter-size bites and then answered questions from S.E. Cupp, a conservative commentator, including several inquiries from Twitter users.
    While some argue that politicians can avoid tackling tough policy questions when they only have 140 characters to explain their positions, others say the strict limit forcing brevity and eliminates opportunities to obfuscate their messages…. – NYT, 7-20-11
  • Republican presidential field participates in first-ever Twitter debate: Six Republican presidential hopefuls are participating in the first presidential debate conducted through Twitter, outlining their agendas 140 characters at a time.
    Wednesday’s debate is sponsored by TheTeaParty.net and allows people to submit questions to the presidential candidates through the popular social media service.
    The online forum includes former House Speaker Newt Gingrich of Georgia, former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson, Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, Michigan Rep. Thaddeus McCotter and Georgia businessman Herman Cain.
    Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman and Texas Rep. Ron Paul declined to participate…. – AP, WaPo, 7-20-11

THE HEADLINES: RECAP JULY 2011

    • Perry’s Legion: The Folks Behind the Man: If Gov. Rick Perry decides to seek the presidency, he will be relying heavily on an inner circle of confidants…. – NYT, 7-31-11
    • Dem group raises $5M to counter Republican ads: An outside group founded this spring by two former Obama White House advisers has raked in millions in donations since April, relying in part on top-flight fundraisers and labor unions to counter GOP-leaning ads critical of the president and congressional Democrats…. – AP, 7-31-11
    • Niceness aside, Huntsman finds fault with rivals: But now, as Huntsman struggles against better-known opponents, he is both subtly and directly criticizing GOP front-runner Mitt Romney as well as the Democrat who named him US ambassador to China just a few years ago, President Barack Obama. … – AP, 7-31-11
    • Perry backs a constitutional limit on marriage: Perry said the stimulus and job creation efforts of President Barack Obama haven’t worked. “I think we poured about $4 trillion down that rat hole and government has not created a job,” he said…. – AP, 7-31-11
    • Tim Pawlenty aims for strong showing in Iowa: He was at ease in the midst of a 1500-mile Iowa campaign tour, playing a pickup hockey game, joking with audiences and sticking to his pitch: Republicans need to nominate as the challenger to Democratic President Barack Obama a pragmatic, swing-state … – AP, 7-30-11
    • Huntsman praises House for debt vote, dings rivals: Huntsman, Obama’s former ambassador to China and a veteran of three GOP administrations, says Obama has failed to lead the nation and he says his Republican White House rivals stood on the sidelines during the debate…. – AP, 7-29-11
    • Pro-Democratic outside groups raised $10M: Outside fundraising groups supporting President Barack Obama and Democratic candidates raised a combined $10 million during the first six months of 2011, providing the first glimpse into how Democrats intend to compete…. – AP, 7-29-11
    • Missed Out on a Washington Job? A Second Chance Glimmers: Texas Republicans who did not go to Washington in the Bush years may unexpectedly have another chance at the brass ring if Rick Perry runs for president and wins…. – NYT, 7-29-11
    • Texas Gov. Rick Perry Recovering From Back Surgery: As he travels across the country to gather momentum and donors for a possible presidential run, Gov. Rick Perry has let nothing slow him down. Not even spinal fusion surgery…. – NYT, 7-29-11

“They’re so addicted to the spending, they spend their time debating raising the debt ceiling instead of making cuts.” — Potential Republican presidential candidate Gov. Rick Perry of Texas

    • Perry stresses personal opposition to gay marriage: Potential Republican presidential candidate Gov. Rick Perry of Texas repeated his personal opposition to gay marriage in a speech to conservatives in Denver Friday…. – AP, 7-29-11
    • Huntsman: ‘Conservation is conservative': “We will be judged by how well we were stewards of those (natural) resources,” said Huntsman, a veteran of three Republican administrations who until this spring was President Barack Obama’s ambassador to China. “Conservation is conservative. … – AP, 7-28-11

“I’m running for the presidency of the United States. My husband is not running for the presidency. Neither are my children. Neither is our business. I am more than happy to stand for questions on running for the presidency of the United States. I have no doubt that every jot and tittle of my life will be fully looked at and inspected prior to November of 2012.” — Rep. Michele Bachmann

    • Bachmann says she, not husband, running for office: She said President Barack Obama has misled the American people on when the government would run out of borrowing authority and has employed “scare tactics” that have needlessly spooked Wall Street…. – AP, 7-28-11
    • Pataki says GOP field lacking debt focus: Former New York Gov. George Pataki’s comments came after a roundtable discussion with top state officials Thursday at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at St. Anselm College. Pataki, a three-term governor, says he’s seriously thinking about a run and will make a decision very soon…. – AP, 7-28-11
    • Perry for President Announcement Expected By End of August: Advisers and elected allies of Texas Gov. Rick Perry tell Whispers that the Republican will join the crowded field of presidential hopefuls by the end of August.
      Perry’s entry will be a “game changer,” said Mark Meckler, cofounder of the Tea Party Patriots, the nation’s largest umbrella group for the movement. “It changes the equation because he has a record to run on.” That record, added Meckler, is the “Texas miracle” of growth and economic prosperity.
      Associates say two things have slowed his jump into the race. First he wasn’t planning on getting in in the first place, expecting other like-minded governors, like Indiana’s Mitch Daniels or Mississippi’s Haley Barbour, to get in, or that Newt Gingrich would take off. [See a slide show of who’s in and out for the GOP in 2012. Perry’s sponsorship of “The Response” has also delayed his entry. That event takes place August 6 in Houston…. – US News, 7-28-11
    • Romney looks past primary, campaigns against Obama: Republican front-runner Mitt Romney is focused on a match-up against President Barack Obama. “The president when he was a candidate said that he was going to take China to the mat,” the former Massachusetts governor said Wednesday…. – AP, 7-27-11
    • Huntsman building big NH team, changing tone: With a laser focus on New Hampshire, President Barack Obama’s recently departed ambassador to China is quietly assembling what may end up being the largest paid GOP primary effort in the state’s history…. – AP, 7-26-11
    • Prospect of Extended Primary Season Alarms Republican Leaders: At least a half dozen states are threatening to defy party rules and move up their primaries…. – NYT, 7-26-11
    • Pawlenty says Bachmann gets her facts on him wrong: Wrote Bachmann: “That’s the same philosophy that, under President Obama, has brought us record deficits, massive unemployment, and an unconstitutional health care plan.” She refrained from such direct criticism of Pawlenty on Monday. … – AP, 7-25-11
    • Bachmann, Pawlenty debate conservative credentials: Later Sunday, Bachmann press secretary Alice Stewart reiterated her candidate’s earlier remarks, saying, “There is very little difference between Governor Pawlenty’s past positions and Barack Obama’s positions on several critical issues…. – AP, 7-24-11
    • Pawlenty: Obama not showing courage in debt crisis: GOP presidential candidate Tim Pawlenty says President Barack Obama is showing no courage in the debt showdown. “If you’re the leader of the free world, would you please come to microphone and quit hiding in the basement about your proposals, and come on up and address the American people? Is he chicken?” the former Minnesota governor told CNN’s “State of the Union.”… – AP, 7-24-11
    • Herman Cain’s Bigotry: Herman Cain stands out in the field of Republican presidential candidates by using religious bigotry to gain political traction…. – NYT, 7-24-11
    • Enthusiasm for Perry at Iowa Event: Supporters of Rick Perry get a generally good response in Iowa, even though he is not officially a candidate…. – NYT, 7-24-11
    • Romney Seeing Smaller Pool of Donors: Though Mitt Romney has raised more money than the other Republican presidential hopefuls, he is still hampered in efforts to formally establish front-runner status…. – NYT, 7-23-11

“In just under three months Gov. Huntsman has returned from China, launched a campaign and created a strong infrastructure in the three early primary states. Now the campaign is moving into phase two, which will be more aggressive from a messaging and tactical standpoint, and Matt is prepared to take that on.” — Jon Huntsman campaign manager Susie Wiles

    • Campaign manager for GOP presidential candidate Jon Huntsman resigns: Republican Jon Huntsman’s campaign manager resigned Thursday only a month after the former Utah governor launched his presidential bid, raising fresh questions about the campaign’s prospects in a crowded GOP field.
      The campaign has struggled to gain traction, ranking in the single digits in early national polls as well as in surveys in early nominating states.
      Huntsman’s campaign said in a statement that campaign manager Susie Wiles would be replaced by Matt David, who had served as the campaign’s communications director. John Weaver, a senior Huntsman adviser, said Wiles was “vital in getting (the campaign) off the ground in such a short time-frame.”… – AP, 7-21-11
    • Huntsman’s Campaign Manager Resigns: Jon M. Huntsman Jr.’s campaign manager, Susie Wiles, has left the campaign and will be replaced by Matt David, the communications director…. – NYT, 7-21-11
    • Huntsman’s campaign manager resigns: Huntsman, who served as President Barack Obama’s ambassador to China, opened his presidential campaign in June with a high-profile announcement at the same northern New Jersey park where Ronald Reagan launched his 1980 presidential run, with the Statue Liberty…. – AP, 7-21-11
    • As Rivals Stir, Romney Sticks to Playing It Safe: As the Republican presidential campaign intensifies, Mitt Romney’s determinedly low-key approach could be fraught with peril…. – NYT, 7-21-11
    • GOP presidential candidates join Twitter debate: You think presidential debates are challenging? Try limiting your answers to 140 characters.
      Six Republican presidential hopefuls traded tweets in the first presidential debate conducted through Twitter on Wednesday, outlining their agendas across the popular social media service…. – AP, 7-20-11
    • Iowa GOP straw poll means more to some than others: But Pawlenty, who says his campaign is more about substance than spitfire, has ratcheted up his tone lately, especially when challenging President Barack Obama. “He was in the United States Senate long enough to have a cup of coffee before it got cold.”… – AP, 7-20-11

“I’m not sure anybody can bridge both camps, but Perry has a chance” — Republican consultant Rich Galen

  • Analysis: Perry candidacy would reshape 2012 race: The likely entrance of Texas Governor Rick Perry in the 2012 Republican White House race promises to dramatically reshape the field, pushing aside lesser contenders and threatening early leader Mitt Romney.
    Perry, who last week said he felt “called” to a presidential run, is a staunch conservative with a Washington outsider’s political resume and a pro-business record of job growth during more than a decade as chief executive in Texas.
    A Perry candidacy could steal support from conservative Tea Party favorite Michele Bachmann, replacing her as Romney’s top rival and potentially narrowing the gap between the party’s establishment center and right-wing activists…. – Reuters, 7-21-11
  • Perry courts potential fundraisers at LA meeting: Texas Gov. Rick Perry met privately Wednesday with potential fundraisers in Los Angeles as he neared a decision on whether to enter the 2012 presidential race…. – AP, 7-20-11
  • Republicans Are Signing Away the Right to Govern: Republican candidates are signing pledges that undermine the basic principle of a democratic government…. – NYT, 7-19-11
  • Christie’s answer to White House bid remains ‘no': The first-term governor and GOP favorite continues to be talked about as a possible challenger to President Barack Obama, but his answer has consistently been “no.” Christie met with Langone and the others in Manhattan…. – AP, 7-19-11
  • Perry Eyes Religious Voters: Gov. Rick Perry has promoted his economic record in Texas, but if he runs for president, it is clear that he plans to appeal to social conservatives…. – NYT, 7-19-11
  • Rick Perry’s most rapt audience: Michele Bachmann and Mitt Romney: A Perry candidacy for the 2012 GOP nomination could be devastating for conservative rival Michele Bachmann. Rick Perry would also be a bigger threat than Bachmann to moderate Mitt Romney…. – CS Monitor, 7-18-11
  • Is Obama Against Romney a Toss-Up?: Approached with sufficient caution, head-to-head polls can probably provide some insight as to how different types of Republican candidates would fare against President Obama…. – NYT, 7-19-11
  • Obama vs. Romney, an Early Skirmish: Two advisers do battle over economic policy via Twitter…. – NYT, 7-19-11
  • RNC raises $19 million, still owes $17.5 million: The RNC’s goal is to build up a fund to give to the party’s eventual presidential nominee who will face President Barack Obama and his deep- pocketed re-election campaign. The Democratic National Committee raised $38 million in the same April-to-June … – AP, 7-18-11
  • G.O.P. Chairman Questions Legality of Obama Campaign Video: Reince Priebus called for an investigation into whether the president broke the law by filming a fund-raising video in the White House…. – NYT, 7-18-11
  • GOP-leaning group targets House Democrats with ads: The ads target lawmakers on tax and spending issues and for their support of President Barack Obama’s policies, including the stimulus package passed in 2009. Crossroads is spending $1.4 million on the campaign, or a little more than $100000 per … – AP, 7-17-11
  • Obama Has Early Fund-Raising Lead for 2012 Elections: President Obama recruited about 150 new elite donors, who raised as much as a half a million dollars each…. – NYT, 7-17-11
  • Bachmann Off to Fast Start on Funds, but Plays Catch-Up: President Obama and Mitt Romney enjoy a big advantage in the size of their war chests for next year’s presidential race…. – NYT, 7-16-11
  • Obama releases names of top fundraisers: President Barack Obama’s campaign team has signed up an early wave of elite fundraisers who have collected at least $34.95 million combined since April, helping bankroll the president’s re-election bid…. – AP, 7-15-11
  • Pawlenty Filing Shows Money Raised Close to Home: Tim Pawlenty’s campaign filing on Friday suggests that he has has struggled to raise money nationwide…. – NYT, 7-15-11
  • Pawlenty Raises $4.5 Million for Race: Tim Pawlenty, the first to declare his candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination, will report raising $4.5 million when fund-raising numbers are due Friday…. – NYT, 7-15-11
  • Liberal group threatens to pull Obama support: A liberal group upset over potential cuts to Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security delivered pledges Friday to President Barack Obama’s national campaign headquarters threatening to pull its support…. – AP, 7-15-11
  • Obama Raises $47 Million for Campaign: The $86 million total breaks a record for a joint effort by a president and his party…. – NYT, 7-14-11
  • Palin to decide on White House bid by late summer: Palin told Fox News’ Sean Hannity Wednesday night that she thinks she could win a campaign against President Barack Obama, a sentiment first reported in a Newsweek cover story. Palin says she would campaign for a candidate with “good executive … – AP, 7-13-11
  • Obama Campaign Reports Big Fund-Raising Quarter: President Obama raised more than $86 million for his reelection campaign and the Democratic National Committee in the last three months…. – NYT, 7-13-11
  • What Obama’s Numbers Don’t Tell Us: There’s much that will not be clear about President Obama’s fund-raising numbers until he files his formal paperwork to the Federal Election Commission some time before midnight on Friday…. – NYT, 7-13-11
  • Pawlenty’s Playbook for Skipping Marriage Pledge: The former governor of Minnesota on Wednesday offered a textbook, three-step process that he hopes will lessen the impact of his decision not to sign on to the Family Leader Marriage Pledge…. – NYT, 7-13-11
  • Herman Cain Can Sing!: Turns out, Herman Cain has a pretty good singing voice…. – NYT, 7-12-11
  • Presidential Candidates Warn About Debt Deal: As Republican leaders negotiate over the federal debt limit, the candidates are campaigning against an outcome that involves compromise…. – NYT, 7-10-11
  • Pawlenty Campaign Puts Hopes on Iowa: Tim Pawlenty’s path has been complicated by new faces, an unruly nominating contest and a handful of missteps…. – NYT, 7-10-11
  • Debt Deal Could Rewrite 2012 Political Calculus: A grand bargain that plays to the political center could reset the electoral playing field…. – NYT, 7-8-11
  • Pawlenty Runs on a Homespun Tale: Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty brings a biographical peculiarity to his quest for the White House. Were he to win, he’d be the first president who had never lived outside his home state…. – WSJ, 7-7-11
  • Bachmann Says ‘No’ to Debt Limit Increase in First Ad: Representative Michele Bachmann of Minnesota released her first presidential television ad in Iowa, declaring that she will not vote to increase the nation’s debt ceiling…. – NYT, 7-7-11
  • Presidential election: Mitt Romney top GOP fundraiser, but behind 2007 pace: Mitt Romney took in more campaign funds than any other Republican during the second quarter of 2011, but not as much as he raised during the same period in the presidential election four years ago…. – CS Monitor, 7-6-11
  • Huntsman Stays on Message: Jon M. Huntsman Jr. campaigned in New Hampshire and kept his promise to keep it civil…. – NYT, 7-5-11
  • Thaddeus McCotter launches campaign for GOP presidential nomination: Thaddeus McCotter, a Livonia congressman, announced to a Michigan rock festival crowd Saturday he’s seeking the Republican nomination for president, saying the future of the country is not big government but self government.
    Joined on stage with his wife and two children (a third was at work — something, he said, all Americans should have the opportunity to do), McCotter laid out his principles of liberty, sovereignty, security and prosperity to a festival crowd of more than 400 people who were unsure about his presidential chances…. – The Detroit News, 7-5-11
  • Thaddeus McCotter jumps into presidential race. Thaddeus who?: US Rep. Thaddeus McCotter of Michigan says he’s running for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination. His biggest challenge is name recognition…. – CS Monitor, 7-5-11
  • Gov. Rick Perry Breaks With His Former Patron, George W. Bush: Gov. Rick Perry’s criticisms of George W. Bush expose a long rivalry and the Republican Party’s rightward drift…. – NYT, 7-6-11
  • Gingrich Marches, Philosophically: Newt Gingrich, who has spent the last month trying to reassure supporters and donors that his campaign is alive and well, spent the Fourth of July campaigning…. – NYT, 7-5-11
  • Will Rick Perry join the presidential race?: Supporters are urging Texas Gov. Rick Perry to seek the GOP nomination for the 2012 presidential race. He’s fueled speculation by making high-profile appearances around the country…. – CS Monitor, 7-2-11
  • G.O.P. Candidates’ Fund-Raising Starts Slowly: The struggling economy and the absence of a clear front-runner might be taking a toll on campaign contributions…. – NYT, 7-1-11
  • Romney Blasts Obama as ‘a Failure’ on the Economy: Mitt Romney made a campaign stop outside a shuttered steel plant in Allentown, Pa., blaming its closing on the president’s economic policies…. – NYT, 7-1-11
  • Romney Video Attacks Obama on Stimulus and Economy: Mitt Romney visits a manufacturing plant that the economic stimulus plan did not save…. – NYT, 6-29-11
  • 2012 Republicans Ignore Each Other, for Now: The odd truth about this primary is that there really isn’t one yet, in contrast to this time four years ago…. – NYT, 6-29-11
  • Campaign Heats Up in Iowa as Obama and Republicans Call: President Obama returned to Iowa, the state that set him on a course to the White House, visiting an aluminum factory as Republicans criticized his economic and health care policies…. – NYT, 6-29-11
  • GOP 2012 race: Does it boil down to ‘purity’ vs. electability?: If the moderate Mitt Romney gets the nomination in the GOP 2012 race, the question is whether he could marshall the tea party movement’s energy…. – CS Monitor, 6-28-11
  • Running Against Bachmann Poses Challenges for Male Rivals: For the second time in four years, American voters will watch as a mostly male field engages, sometimes awkwardly and sometimes gingerly, with a female presidential candidate…. – NYT, 6-28-11
  • Michele Bachmann Opens Campaign as Expectations Grow: Michele Bachmann’s presidential candidacy, which she formally opened in Iowa on Monday, shakes up an already unsettled Republican field and tests the broader appeal of the Tea Party movement…. – NYT, 6-28-11
  • Will Romney Begin Attacking Bachmann Now?: Based on his experience with Mike Huckabee in 2007, could Mitt Romney wind up regretting not dealing with Michele Bachmann when he had the chance?… – NYT, 6-27-11
  • Bachmann Readies Presidential Campaign: Michelle Bachmann holds a rally in advance of announcing officially that she is running for president…. – NYT, 6-26-11

CAMPAIGN 2012: ANALYSTS &S HISTORIANS COMMENTS

  • Politico Arena: Daily Debate with Policymakers, Opinionshapers & Academics Politico
  • Christopher Arterton: Analysis: Can Romney capitalize on weak jobs numbers?: “It (the poor jobless report) makes Obama look vulnerable and therefore within the Republican party they get more serious about putting up a serious contender,” said Christopher Arterton, a political scientist at George Washington University who has consulted for Democratic candidates. “Romney has a flavor of being a serious contender and somewhat more moderate,” he said…. – Reuters, 7-8-11
  • Julian Zelizer: Analysis: Can Romney capitalize on weak jobs numbers?: “This is Obama’s greatest vulnerability. It’s his losing war, the economy and unemployment,” said Julian Zelizer, a professor at Princeton University….
    “Republicans really don’t have their alternative — including Romney — to what the president has done,” Zelizer said. “Budget cuts are popular, but I don’t think they are enough of an answer,” he said. “People see jobs going to other countries. I don’t see how cutting Social Security is going to solve that problem,” he said of the retirement program…. – Reuters, 7-8-11
  • Richard Eichenberg: Analysis: Can Romney capitalize on weak jobs numbers?: “Candidate qualities do play a role,” said Richard Eichenberg, a political scientist at Tufts University which is near Boston, noting the former Massachusetts governor’s difficulties connecting with voters.
    “The Democrats will challenge Romney’s credentials as an economic steward, primarily because of his experience as a venture capitalist,” Eichenberg said…. – Reuters, 7-8-11
  • Will Rick Perry join the presidential race?: Supporters are urging Texas Gov. Rick Perry to seek the GOP nomination for the 2012 presidential race. He’s fueled speculation by making high-profile appearances around the country.
    “Thompson didn’t want to run that hard, and he wasn’t the best candidate,” says Julian Zelizer, a presidential historian at Princeton University. General Clark had never run for office before, and “was kind of an eclectic choice.”… – CS Monitor, 7-2-11
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