Campaign Buzz May 15, 2012: New New York Times – CBS News has Mitt Romney Leading President Obama 46 – 43% & Leading Among Women Voters — Obama Campaign Claims Bias


By Bonnie K. Goodman

Ms. Goodman is the Editor of History Musings. She has a BA in History & Art History & a Masters in Library and Information Studies from McGill University, and has done graduate work in history at Concordia University. Ms. Goodman has also contributed the overviews, and chronologies in History of American Presidential Elections, 1789-2008, 4th edition, edited by Gil Troy, Fred L. Israel, and Arthur Meier Schlesinger published by Facts on File, Inc. late 2011.



New York Times/CBS News poll — Full poll report

67% In Survey Believe Politics Is Why Obama Backed Gay Marriage The CBS-New York Times Poll makes unpleasant reading for Team Obama:
The talk of the day in political circles in the United States was the New York Times CBS poll. The poll showed that President Barack Obama’s statement in support of gay marriage may have cost him doubly with the public.
The poll confirmed the Gallup findings that among those affected by the statement there were more whom it affected negatively, making them less likely to support Obama in November.
What the Obama campaign team should find even more disturbing is that 67% of those polled believe that Obama delivered his statement due to political considerations rather than out of moral conviction.
One of the pluses that Obama had going for him was that even when people disagreed with him, they still found him likable and a cut above the average politician. This rejection of the president’s sincerity is a bad sign for him.
Another sign in the wind is the weakening of the routinized halo effect. To appropriate Max Weber, in 2008 Obama was genuinely charismatic to the American voter. Now, that charisma has attenuated and Obama’s allies in the press are trying to provide a routinized charisma by heaping constant praise on him to substitute for the genuine article…. – Israel National News, 5-16-12

  • Obama campaign complains about poll that shows Romney leading: The Obama campaign is not happy with a new poll that suggests Mitt Romney has closed the gender gap. The poll published last night by CBS/New York Times shows Obama trailing former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney 46%-43%…. – USA Today, 5-15-12
  • Romney leads Obama 46 – 43 in new NYTCBS poll: Presumptive Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has a slight edge over President Obama in the race for the White House in the latest CBS News/New York Times poll. According to the survey, conducted May 11-13…. – Politico, 5-14-12
  • New CBS/NY Times poll shows Romney leading Obama among women voters: A new CBS News/New York Times national poll of registered voters shows presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney edging President Obama, 46% to 43%.
    Last month, CBS/NYTimes showed Obama and Romney tied at 46%, with other polls echoing the same outcome.
    However, the most telling result of this new survey was that the key-voting block of women now favors Romney over Obama, 46% to 44%. Obama resoundingly won women in 2008, garnering 56% of the vote to then-Republican nominee John McCain’s 43%…. – Washington Times, 5-15-12
  • Obama’s popularity contest: This week, a New York Times/CBS News poll shows women tilting toward Mitt and voters overall favoring him by 46 percent to 43 percent. But you know how girls are. A month ago, according to a CNN/ORC poll, women loved Obama 55 percent to 39 percent…. – Washington Post, 5-15-12
  • Alarm Grows Among Dems About Obama’s Chances: It has taken months of bad news, but Democrats increasingly believe that President Obama might just lose his re-election bid. The latest wake-up call comes in the form of a New York Times/CBS poll showing Republican Mitt Romney in the lead not just…. – Fox News, 5-15-12
  • The New York Times CBS News poll: 5 takeaways: The New York Times/CBS News poll released Monday shows a highly competitive race, with Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama 46 percent to 43 percent – a result that’s within the poll’s 4-percentage-point margin of error…. – Politico, 5-15-12
  • Obama campaign: NYT/CBS poll ‘biased’: The Obama campaign is criticizing today’s New York Times/CBS News poll, which suggests that Mitt Romney is leading among female voters and that two-thirds of voters think Obama supported same-sex marriage “for political reasons.”
    Forty-six percent of the 615 surveyed said the would vote for Mitt Romney, against 43 percent for the president. 46 percent of women also said they would vote for Romney, versus 44 for the president.
    But the principle issue for the Obama campaign is the motivation behind his support for same-sex marriage: 67 percent of those polled said he made his decision “for political reasons,” against just 24 percent who said he did so because he thinks it is right.
    “The methodology was significantly biased,” Stephanie Cutter, Obama’s deputy campaign manager, said on MSNBC this morning. “It is a biased sample.”… – Politico, 5-15-12
  • Countering Obama, NY Times stands by poll: The New York Times has sent in its response to the Obama campaign’s heavy criticism of today’s NYT/CBS News poll (see previous post), which the campaign objected to, in part, because it surveyed the same group of people surveyed for a poll last month.
    That now controversial poll has Mitt Romney leading Obama among those surveyed — including women — and shows two-thirds believe the president supported same-sex marriage “for political reasons.”
    “We stand by our latest poll with CBS News on same-sex marriage and its use of a call-back survey of respondents from our most recent poll in mid-April,” Times spokesperson Eileen Murphy explained, via email. “While The Times and CBS regularly conduct fresh random sample surveys on a variety of issues, we occasionally employ a short-term callback method of previous respondents when we are interested in analyzing changes in public opinion on timely subjects, as we did, for example, upon the death of Osama bin Laden. As we pointed out when we published the article, results on subgroups from call back surveys have a larger sampling error.”…. – Poltico, 5-15-12
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